{"id":160820,"date":"2026-03-11T22:06:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T22:06:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/160820\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T22:06:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T22:06:14","slug":"moodys-lowers-new-york-citys-rating-outlook-to-negative","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/160820\/","title":{"rendered":"Moody&#8217;s lowers New York City&#8217;s rating outlook to negative"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>  <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"Image\" data-image-size=\"articleImage\" alt=\"Mark Levine at The Bond Buyer National Outlook 2026\"  width=\"740\" height=\"482\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1773266774_713_.jpeg\"\/>  New York City Comptroller Mark Levine called the new negative outlook a &#8220;sobering wake-up call.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Donna Alberico<\/p>\n<p>Moody&#8217;s Ratings lowered New York City&#8217;s rating outlook to negative from stable Wednesday. It&#8217;s the latest consequence in the ongoing fallout from the city&#8217;s budget gaps.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Processing Content<\/p>\n<p>Moody&#8217;s, which affirmed its Aa2 issuer rating of the city, cited the city&#8217;s updated spending projections, which will create larger-than-expected multi-year budget gaps. This is the first negative bond rating action to hit New York City since the COVID-19 pandemic.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The outlook change to negative reflects New York City&#8217;s updated spending projections, which give rise to larger multi-year budget gaps than previously forecast,&#8221; Moody&#8217;s analysts wrote in its rating report. &#8220;That the city projects large and persistent imbalances under still-favorable economic and revenue conditions highlights the extent of its underlying structural budget challenges.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In January, New York City Comptroller Mark Levine announced that the city had a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bondbuyer.com\/news\/new-york-city-budget-gets-12-billion-of-bad-news\" class=\"Link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">combined budget gap<\/a> of more than $12 billion for fiscal years 2025 and 2026. The gap comes from former Mayor Eric Adams&#8217; habit of consistently under-budgeting certain expenses, according to Levine and Zohran Mamdani, who took office as mayor Jan. 1.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>When <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bondbuyer.com\/news\/property-tax-hikes-and-reserve-spending-mamdani-tries-to-close-nycs-budget-gap\" class=\"Link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Mamdani presented his preliminary budget<\/a> in February, he said the gap had shrunk to $5.4 billion thanks to stronger-than-expected revenue and support from New York Gov. Kathy Hochul.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Mamdani has pushed the state to increase the city&#8217;s taxes on the wealthy and on corporations. In lieu of income tax hikes, his plan would raise property taxes and spend more than $1 billion of the city&#8217;s reserves.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;While the mayor&#8217;s proposal is technically in balance for FY26, when we account for both the reduced operating surplus and the rainy-day fund draw down, the plan indicates that operating expenses this year exceed revenues by $4.5 billion,&#8221; Levine testified before the City Council on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Levine also told the council that Mamdani&#8217;s revenue projections were too optimistic.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Levine said the outlook cut should serve as a &#8220;sobering wake-up call.&#8221;\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I will be pushing hard between now and the June budget deadline to help put the city on a stronger fiscal path,&#8221; Levine said in a statement Wednesday. &#8220;I am relieved to see that the city&#8217;s credit rating remains strong, and I have every confidence that our bonds remain safe and secure.\u00a0 With an economy \u2014 and tax revenues \u2014 that continue to grow, the City&#8217;s present financial position is still solid.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>City Hall spokesperson Dora Pekec said the outlook cut was &#8220;premature.&#8221; She pointed to support for Mamdani&#8217;s requested tax hikes in the state legislature.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Given the $5 billion in additional funding to the city proposed in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityandstateny.com\/policy\/2026\/03\/state-legislators-gear-budget-fight-one-house-proposals\/412024\/\" class=\"Link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">both the Senate and Assembly budgets<\/a>, Moody&#8217;s decision to revise the outlook on New York City&#8217;s credit rating \u2014 while maintaining it at Aa2 \u2014 is premature,&#8221; Pekec said. &#8220;These proposals reflect a real commitment by Albany to investing in the services New Yorkers rely on, and the fiscal health of our city.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Hochul does not support raising taxes. <\/p>\n<p>Moody&#8217;s said it will monitor the city&#8217;s handling of its budget gaps over the next year, paying attention to the revenue sources that close them.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Gap-closing strategies that rely on non-recurring measures, including the use of reserves, would limit financial flexibility, especially if economic growth slows sharply or an outright downturn materializes,&#8221; Moody&#8217;s rating report said. &#8220;State-level proposals to enhance revenue or other spending policy changes that benefit the city could have a stabilizing effect over time, if enacted.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The budget includes out-year gaps of $6.66 billion in FY 2028, $6.75 billion in FY 2029, and $7.1 billion in FY 2030.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bondbuyer.com\/news\/so-it-begins-new-york-city-state-get-moodys-downgrades\" class=\"Link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Moody&#8217;s last downgraded New York<\/a> to Aa2 from Aa1 in October 2020 as the pandemic set in. That move came with a negative outlook, although it was eventually lifted to stable in May 2021. Fitch Ratings also downgraded the city in 2020, and S&amp;P Global Ratings lowered its outlook to negative.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New York City is now rated AA by S&amp;P, AA by Fitch and AA-plus by KBRA. Every rating agency besides Moody&#8217;s assigns the city a stable outlook.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In its report, Moody&#8217;s wrote it could downgrade the city based on &#8220;forecast budget gaps, excluding one-time solutions, that drive them closer to 10% of city funds revenue.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Factors that could lead to an upgrade included the &#8220;maintenance of sustainable, structurally balanced budgets;&#8221; &#8220;stronger reserves, including replenishment after the planned draw on revenue stabilization fund and establishment of a mechanism to make regular deposits to it,&#8221; and &#8220;reductions of fixed costs ratio closer to Aa median of about 11%.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New York City Comptroller Mark Levine called the new negative outlook a &#8220;sobering wake-up call.&#8221; Donna Alberico Moody&#8217;s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":160821,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[19216,8096,9,24,55,54,56,66371],"class_list":["post-160820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york-city","tag-budgets","tag-city-of-new-york","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-new-york-city-headlines","tag-new-york-city-news","tag-ny","tag-ratings"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160820\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/160821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}