{"id":21971,"date":"2025-10-29T23:47:17","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T23:47:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/21971\/"},"modified":"2025-10-29T23:47:17","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T23:47:17","slug":"poll-mamdani-forecast-to-win-nyc-mayoral-race-by-double-digits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/21971\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll: Mamdani forecast to win NYC mayoral race by double digits"},"content":{"rendered":"

Zohran Mamdani is forecast to win the New York City mayoral race by double\u00a0digits, according to yet another opinion poll<\/a>, this one released on Wednesday showing that support for Andrew Cuomo has remained relatively static over the past few weeks.<\/p>\n

Mamdani, a state assemblyman, would get 43%; Cuomo, the former governor, 33%; and Curtis Sliwa, founder of the Guardian Angels crime patrol, would get 14%; with 6% undecided, according to the poll, released by Quinnipiac University.<\/p>\n

Early voting began on Saturday; Nov. 4 is Election Day.<\/p>\n

The race isn’t a sure thing, according to Mary Snow, the poll’s assistant director.<\/p>\n

“The percentage of likely voters not weighing in has increased a bit since earlier this month, suggesting there’s room for movement in the final stretch,” she said.<\/p>\n

In a poll Quinnipiac released on Oct. 9<\/a>, Mamdani had 46% of likely voters\u2019 support. Next up was Cuomo, with 33%, and Sliwa, with 15%. That poll showed that Cuomo had picked up almost all of Mayor Eric Adams\u2019 support after he dropped out from the race on Sept. 28.<\/p>\n

But Mamdani\u2019s dominant support remained essentially static between that\u00a0poll and the previous\u00a0one from Quinnipiac.<\/p>\n

In recent weeks, polls by various<\/a> organizations<\/a> have shown Mamdani with greater or lesser degrees of the same conclusion: a Mamdani victory in the double digits. The prediction markets also foretell<\/a> a similar outcome.<\/p>\n

Still, polls and prediction markets are sometimes wrong.<\/p>\n

For months, nearly every one of them\u00a0predicted that Cuomo, buoyed by name recognition, millions of dollars of support from billionaires and union support, was a shoo-in to become the Democratic nominee. But in the closing days of the race, the polls tightened, with some predicting a dead heat and a few forecasting Mamdani eking out a slight victory.<\/p>\n

Mamdani wound up winning the primary by 12.8 percentage points.<\/p>\n

In a statement, Cuomo spokesman Rich Azzopardi said: “Make no mistake: The race is tightening, and Andrew Cuomo is closing in fast.”<\/p>\n

The survey, conducted Oct. 23-27, was of 911 New York City likely voters, with a margin of sampling error of +\/- 4.0 percentage points.<\/p>\n

\"Matthew<\/p>\n

\n\tMatthew Chayes, a Newsday reporter since 2007, covers New York City.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Zohran Mamdani is forecast to win the New York City mayoral race by double\u00a0digits, according to yet another…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21972,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[4275,9,24,63,134,136,135],"class_list":["post-21971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-staten-island","tag-local-politics","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-nyc","tag-staten-island","tag-staten-island-headlines","tag-staten-island-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21971\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}