{"id":22383,"date":"2025-10-30T11:08:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T11:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22383\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T11:08:10","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T11:08:10","slug":"emerson-poll-shows-mamdani-with-25-lead-over-cuomo-in-nyc-mayoral-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22383\/","title":{"rendered":"Emerson poll shows Mamdani with 25% lead over Cuomo in NYC mayoral race"},"content":{"rendered":"

A new poll shows Democratic mayoral front-runner Zohran Mamdani<\/a> holding a sizable 25% lead over his main opponent, independent candidate Andrew Cuomo.<\/p>\n

The poll<\/a>, released early Thursday by Emerson College, PIX11 and The Hill, is an outlier from most other surveys<\/a>, which have shown Mamdani leading Cuomo by between 10 and 16% in next week\u2019s mayoral election.<\/p>\n

Conducted between this past Saturday and Monday, it shows Mamadani clinching 50% compared to 25% secured by Cuomo. Republican mayoral nominee Curtis Sliwa<\/a>, who has consistently ranked third and last in the race, nets 21% support, with another 5% of voters undecided, the new survey finds.<\/p>\n

In addition to putting Mamdani far ahead of Cuomo, the poll<\/a> marks one of the first predicting that the Democratic nominee would attract support from at least half of voters participating in Tuesday\u2019s election.<\/p>\n

By contrast, the last Emerson\/PIX11\/The Hill poll from Sept. 10<\/a> showed Mamdani leading the race with 43% support, compared to Cuomo at 28% and Sliwa at 10%.<\/p>\n

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said Mamdani\u2019s surge and Cuomo\u2019s setback in the latest survey can in part be attributed to the opinions of Black voters.<\/p>\n

\u201cMamdani appears to have built a coalition across key demographics, increasing his margin among Black voters since last month, from 50% to 71%, whereas Cuomo dropped ten points among Black voters since September,\u201d Kimball said. \u201cMamdani continues to have a base of young voters; 69% of voters under 50 support him, whereas 37% of voters over 50 support Mamdani, while 31% support Cuomo and 28% Silwa.\u201d<\/p>\n

Emerson\u2019s latest inquiry lands as hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers have already cast ballots in the high-stakes 2025 contest for City Hall. Early voting started Saturday, and more than 370,000 voters had cast ballots as of Wednesday night<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The poll, which has a margin of error of +\/- 3.8%, asked a total of 640 New Yorkers who had either already voted or were very likely to. Those quizzed who had already voted supported Mamdani by a 33-point margin, 58% to 25%, while those who had yet to cast their ballots broke for Mamdani by a 19-point margin, 45% to 26%, per the poll.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new poll shows Democratic mayoral front-runner Zohran Mamdani holding a sizable 25% lead over his main opponent,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22384,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[80,14839,154,7661,14838,9,56,63,65,64,14840,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-22383","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-city","8":"tag-andrew-cuomo","9":"tag-black-voters","10":"tag-curtis-sliwa","11":"tag-democratic-nominee","12":"tag-emerson-college","13":"tag-new-york","14":"tag-ny","15":"tag-nyc","16":"tag-nyc-headlines","17":"tag-nyc-news","18":"tag-spencer-kimball","19":"tag-zohran-mamdani"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22383","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22383"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22383\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}