{"id":22439,"date":"2025-10-30T12:24:13","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T12:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22439\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T12:24:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T12:24:13","slug":"mamdani-holds-commanding-lead-in-nyc-mayors-race-with-voting-underway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22439\/","title":{"rendered":"Mamdani holds commanding lead in NYC mayor\u2019s race with voting underway"},"content":{"rendered":"

NEW YORK CITY (PIX11) \u2014 Democratic nominee for mayor of New York City Zohran Mamdani<\/a> holds a 25-point lead in the race with just days left until Election Day, according to new exclusive polling from PIX11, Emerson College Polling, and The Hill.<\/p>\n

Mamdani, a Democratic Socialist Assemblyman for Queens<\/a>, is the choice of a little less than 50% of New York City voters surveyed.\u00a0Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo \u2014 running as an independent after losing to Mamdani in the Democratic Primary \u2014 is at 25%, and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa is at 21%.<\/p>\n

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If the poll is reflective of the outcome on\u00a0Election Day<\/a>, it would mark a stunning political rise for the once little-known 34-year-old assemblyman, who is making big promises of free buses, universal childcare, and rent freezes.\u00a0He would be the youngest mayor<\/a> since Hugh Grant assumed office in 1889 at age 31.\u00a0Mamdani would also be the city\u2019s first Muslim mayor and the first immigrant mayor<\/a> in modern times.<\/p>\n

Early voting<\/a> so far has been significantly higher than it was four years ago, when New Yorkers elected Eric Adams as the 110th mayor.\u00a0Turnout has been roughly five times higher<\/a> than in 2021. Initial data from the NYC Board of Elections indicates that those voting are older than the cohort of voters who delivered Mamdani\u2019s primary victory<\/a> in June.<\/p>\n

However, the new PIX11 Poll indicates that Mamdani has strength even among\u00a0New Yorkers\u00a0over\u00a050.\u00a0Mamdani is the choice of 37% of surveyed voters over 50, with Cuomo at 31% and Sliwa at 28%.<\/p>\n

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In the broader context of other recent polls, Emerson\u2019s survey found the race getting less competitive toward Election Day<\/a>\u2014 as opposed to a Quinnipiac poll release Tuesday that showed Cuomo trailing by 10 points: Mamdani was at 43% in that survey with Cuomo at 33% and Sliwa at 14%.<\/p>\n

\u201cMamdani appears to have built a coalition across key demographics, increasing his margin among Black voters since last month, from 50% to 71%, whereas Cuomo dropped ten points among Black voters since September,\u201d said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.<\/p>\n

The latest poll numbers come despite Cuomo recently securing the support of Mayor Eric Adams<\/a>, the city\u2019s second Black mayor, and David Paterson, New York\u2019s first Black governor.<\/p>\n

In a statement, Cuomo spokesman Rich Azzopardi told PIX11 News, \u201cFor weeks this has been a tightening race with early voting showing a surge of older voters \u2014 the exact inverse of the primary \u2014 with turnout on track for between 1.9 and 2 million. With those dynamics, every poll out there is essentially meaningless from this point out.\u201d<\/p>\n

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 4.<\/p>\n

Methodology:<\/p>\n

The Emerson College Polling New York City survey was conducted October 25-27, 2025. The overall sample of NYC very likely voters\/those who have already voted, n=640, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll\u2019s margin of error (MOE), of +\/- 3.8 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, previous vote history, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.<\/p>\n

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.<\/p>\n

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to PIX11. <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEW YORK CITY (PIX11) \u2014 Democratic nominee for mayor of New York City Zohran Mamdani holds a 25-point…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22440,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[80,154,7661,4866,7496,14838,3650,9,56,63,65,64,14878,82],"class_list":["post-22439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york-city","tag-andrew-cuomo","tag-curtis-sliwa","tag-democratic-nominee","tag-democratic-primary","tag-election-day","tag-emerson-college","tag-mayor-of-new-york-city","tag-new-york","tag-ny","tag-nyc","tag-nyc-headlines","tag-nyc-news","tag-youngest-mayor","tag-zohran-mamdani"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22439\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}