{"id":22580,"date":"2025-10-30T15:01:23","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T15:01:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22580\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T15:01:23","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T15:01:23","slug":"oct-30-election-update-latest-betting-odds-new-nyc-mayor-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/22580\/","title":{"rendered":"Oct. 30 election update: Latest betting odds, new NYC mayor polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/D21D4C49CC7C8EF2ED339A2252110724.jpg\" alt=\"NYC mayor race latest: Mamdani, Cuomo pick up endorsements\" class=\"sr-only\" data-v-7a5d4fdb=\"\"\/>    <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">NEW YORK CITY &#8211; With <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/watch-nyc-mayoral-debate-tonight-live\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Election Day<\/a> in New York City just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/election-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">5 days away<\/a>, the mayoral race between Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa is heating up.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">FOX 5 NY is your home on Election Night. <a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/election-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Bookmark our Election Results page<\/a> to track in real-time, and tune into our Election Night coverage live right here on <a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/fox5ny.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">fox5ny.com<\/a> and <a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/fox-local\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">FOX LOCAL New York<\/a> as the night unfolds. Coverage begins at 4 p.m.<\/p>\n<p> Early voting underway  <\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">By the numbers:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Here are the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/nyc-voter-guide-how-when-vote-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">early voting numbers<\/a> after day 5, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BOENYC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">NYC Board of Elections:<\/a><\/p>\n<p> Manhattan: 111,068Bronx: 30,633Brooklyn: 117,297Queens: 85,548Staten Island: 27,565 The latest: Where were the candidates on Wednesday? <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">The United Bodegas of America endorsed Mamdani on Wednesday despite expressing concerns over the summer that his plan to open city-run grocery stores could put bodegas out of business. Mamdani, however, said there\u2019s room for both sorts of establishments in the city.<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/6e4826d0-mamdani.jpg\" alt=\"NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 29: New York Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks during a press conference on October 29, 2025 in the Belmont neighborhood of the Bronx borough in New York City. Mamdani was joined by members of United Bodegas of America as he received their endorsement with Election day less than a week away where Mamdani is the front runner against Independent New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo and Republican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago\/Getty Images)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">NEW YORK, NEW YORK &#8211; OCTOBER 29: New York Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks during a press conference on October 29, 2025 in the Belmont neighborhood of the Bronx borough in New York City. Mamdani was joined by members of United Bodegas of Amer <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;Some of the highest points of revenue in a bodega have to do with cigarette sales, lottery sales,&#8221; Mamdani said. &#8220;These are not the things that a city is interested in making it easier for New Yorkers to purchase. What we are speaking about are groceries at a very small scale that will be done alongside supporting these bodegas.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Meanwhile, Cuomo picked up some endorsements of his own, including former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg \u2013 who <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MikeBloomberg\/status\/1983658192283316676\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">reiterated his support<\/a> for the former governor \u2013 Democratic Congressman Tom Suozzi of Long Island and Republican Hudson Valley Congressman Mike Lawler, who called Cuomo &#8220;the lesser of two evils.&#8221; Cuomo again called on Sliwa to drop out.<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/3b03a0a8-cuomo.jpg\" alt=\"NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 29: Former Governor Andrew Cuomo holds a news conference at an Italian American organization in Staten Island to highlight an image purporting to show his mayoral challenger, New York State Assembly member Zohran Mamdani (D), making a rude gesture to a statue of Christopher Columbus on October 29, 2025 in New York City. According to the latest polling, Mamdani is leading Cuomo by 10 points in the New York City mayoral race to succeed outgoing Mayor Eric Adams. (Photo by Spencer Platt\/Getty Images)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">NEW YORK, NEW YORK &#8211; OCTOBER 29: Former Governor Andrew Cuomo holds a news conference at an Italian American organization in Staten Island to highlight an image purporting to show his mayoral challenger, New York State Assembly member Zohran Mamdani  <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;I don&#8217;t believe he&#8217;s a viable candidate, but I believe he serves as a spoiler and can make a difference that way,&#8221; Cuomo said. &#8220;I think a vote for Curtis Sliwa is a vote for Zohran Mamdani.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1761836479_748_016db0d6-sliwa.jpg\" alt=\"NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 28: New York mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa attends a Turning Point USA event as he campaigns outside of Baruch College on October 28, 2025, in New York City. Sliwa, a Republican, is trailing behind fellow candidates Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani. (Photo by Spencer Platt\/Getty Images)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">NEW YORK, NY &#8211; OCTOBER 28: New York mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa attends a Turning Point USA event as he campaigns outside of Baruch College on October 28, 2025, in New York City. Sliwa, a Republican, is trailing behind fellow candidates Andrew Cuo <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;First, I&#8217;m not dropping out,&#8221; Sliwa responded. &#8220;Number two, if a Mack truck hit me and I was turned into a speed bump out here, I&#8217;m still on the ballot.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> Who&#8217;s winning the NYC mayor race? New polls released <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">A newly-released <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-city-mayor-and-new-jersey-governor-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Emerson College Polling\/PIX11\/The Hill poll<\/a> of likely voters shows Mamdani up 50% to 25% over Cuomo. Sliwa is at 21%, while 4% remain undecided.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">A <a href=\"https:\/\/maristpoll.marist.edu\/polls\/nyc-mayors-race-october-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Marist Poll<\/a> also released on Thursday, shows Mamdani getting 48%, Cuomo 32%, Sliwa 16% and 3% undecided.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">The two polls follow a <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3940\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Quinnipiac survey<\/a> on Wednesday that showed Mamdani up by 10 percentage points.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p> When is Election Day in NYC?\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">What&#8217;s next:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Election Day 2025 is Tuesday, Nov. 4 \u2013 5 days away.<\/p>\n<p> Timeline, key dates Saturday, Oct. 25 through Sunday, Nov. 2: The early voting period. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vote.nyc\/elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Early voting hours<\/a> vary.Tuesday, Nov. 4: Election Day. Polls are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">You can check your registration status <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vote.nyc\/page\/am-i-registered\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">online here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">To find your local poll site, <a href=\"https:\/\/vote.nyc\/page\/poll-site-locator.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">click here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">By the numbers:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Here&#8217;s a look at some of the latest polls in the race for NYC mayor:<\/p>\n<p> Emerson College Polling\/PIX11\/The Hill: The <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-city-mayor-and-new-jersey-governor-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a>, conducted between Oct. 25-27, found Mamdani with a 25-point lead over Cuomo \u2013 50% to 25% \u2013 with 21% support for Sliwa; 4% were undecided.Marist Poll: The <a href=\"https:\/\/maristpoll.marist.edu\/polls\/nyc-mayors-race-october-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a>, conducted between Oct. 24-28, shows Mamdani at 48%, Cuomo at 32%, Sliwa at 16% and 3% undecided.Quinnipiac University: The <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3940\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a>, released on Oct. 29, shows Mamdani with 46% support among likely voters, Cuomo with 33% support, and Sliwa with 15% support; 3% were undecided and 2% refused to respond.Manhattan Institute: The <a href=\"https:\/\/media4.manhattan-institute.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/Toplines_NY_combined.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">poll<\/a>, conducted between Oct. 22-26, has Mamdani up 15% points over Cuomo. Sliwa remains in third with 19%; 8% are undecided.Suffolk University: The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.suffolk.edu\/-\/media\/suffolk\/documents\/academics\/research-at-suffolk\/suprc\/polls\/other-states\/2025\/10_27_2025_new_york_city_press_release.pdf?la=en&amp;hash=29E66C2E3D25A148940F2E3BB98DAC3E5A7C6D6F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a> shows Mamdani\u2019s lead over Cuomo shrinking to 10 points. The survey shows Mamdani leading Cuomo 44% to 34%.Victory Insights: The <a href=\"https:\/\/irp.cdn-website.com\/07e08705\/files\/uploaded\/PollSummary_NYC_2025-10-24.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a> has Mamdani at an 18-point lead, while the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/patriotpolling.com\/our-polls\/f\/new-york-city-mayoral-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Patriot Polling poll<\/a> has him at an 11-point lead.Gotham Polling and the city AARP: The <a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/states.aarp.org\/new-york\/aarp-new-york-gotham-polling-analytics-poll-mamdani-leads-in-nyc-mayoral-race\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">report<\/a> found 44.6% of New Yorkers would vote for Mamdani if Sliwa quit the race, compared to 40.7% saying they\u2019d back Cuomo \u2013 with a margin of error of 4 points that puts Cuomo within striking distance.Fox News: The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/fox-news-poll-mamdani-maintains-significant-lead-nyc-mayoral-race\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">poll<\/a> shows Mamdani with a 24-point lead among registered voters in New York City. He&#8217;s at 52% support among likely voters, while Cuomo polls at 28% and Sliwa polls at 13%. <a name=\"Betting%20odds\" id=\"Betting odds\">Betting odds<\/a> <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Some companies have begun taking what amounts to bets on the outcome of the NYC mayoral election.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/new-york-city-mayoral-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Polymarket<\/a>: The latest odds from Polymarket have Mamdani at an 93% chance of winning.<a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxmayornycparty\/mayor-of-nyc-party-winner\/kxmayornycparty-25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Kalshi<\/a>: The latest odds from Kalshi have Mamdani at an 91% chance of winning.   Where are the candidates on Thursday? Zohran Mamdani Noon \u2013 Attends &#8220;Paint and Pour&#8221; at Senior Center in Brooklyn.6 p.m. \u2013 Launches a Canvass in Bed-Stuy.Midnight \u2013 Holds a midnight press conference in Jackson Heights. Andrew Cuomo 9:30 a.m. \u2013 Meeting with NYCHA leaders with New York City Mayor Eric Adams.11:30 a.m \u2013 Making an announcement.1:15 p.m. \u2013 Interviewed by ABC\u2019s Lindsey Davis.2 p.m. \u2013 A guest on &#8220;In Focus&#8221; with Cheryl Wills. Curtis Sliwa 9:30 a.m. \u2013 Subway press availability, F Train 57th Street Station, 57th Street &amp; 6th Avenue.11 a.m. \u2013 Interview, Newsweek, The1600 podcast, virtual.11:30 a.m. \u2013 Interview, Univision.12:15 p.m. \u2013 Interview, Telemundo.3 p.m. \u2013 Interview on early voting, NY1, in-studio.6 p.m. \u2013 Interview, Bret Baier, FOX News, in-studio, live.7:20 p.m. \u2013 Interview, LiveNow From FOX, virtual, live.8:30 p.m. \u2013 Interview, My Expert Opinion (MEO) podcast. How to track election results <\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">What you can do:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Bookmark <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/election-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">FOX 5 NY&#8217;s election results<\/a> page to track results in real time when polls close on Tuesday, Nov. 4.<\/p>\n<p> Meet the candidates Curtis Sliwa &#8211; Republican  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1761655750_346_3B9B4476E290E03A22D6E86CA8F6D41B.jpg\" alt=\"Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa takes off his beret: Politics Unusual\" class=\"sr-only\" data-v-7a5d4fdb=\"\"\/>   <\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">The backstory:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Returning to the mayoral race after his 2021 defeat to New York City Mayor Eric Adams, Curtis Sliwa brings his tough-on-crime message back to the Republican forefront. The Guardian Angels founder and outspoken radio host is banking on his core base in conservative outer-borough neighborhoods.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">He has focused his campaign on public order and community-focused housing.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p> Andrew Cuomo &#8211; Independent  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1761655751_540_DC7836185474F0002304CEB738172351.jpg\" alt=\"Cuomo talks Sliwa, Mamdani, bail reform on GDNY\" class=\"sr-only\" data-v-7a5d4fdb=\"\"\/>   <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">After conceding defeat in the Democratic primary, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has officially qualified to run as an independent in the general election, staging a late comeback that could reshape the race. Cuomo is presenting himself as a steady hand with deep experience, seeking to appeal to moderates, independents and disaffected Democrats wary of both Mamdani\u2019s progressivism and Sliwa\u2019s conservatism.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">He has focused his campaign on restoring public safety and affordability. \u00a0He calls for adding 5,000 officers to the NYPD and increasing patrols in subways and retail corridors.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p> Zohran Mamdani &#8211; Democrat  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1761655751_295_E0917F1F805D935DE3A23745D7EEE4D5.jpg\" alt=\"Mamdani reacts to Adams\u2019 'insidious forces' claim, warning\" class=\"sr-only\" data-v-7a5d4fdb=\"\"\/>   <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/who-is-zohran-mamdani\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Zohran Mamdani<\/a> stands out as a Democratic Socialist and a rising star in New York City politics. As a state assemblyman, Mamdani surged ahead on a fiercely progressive platform promising rent freezes, fare-free public transit, universal childcare, and an unprecedented push for public housing expansion.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">His campaign is centered on housing, affordability and equity.<\/p>\n<p> Election resources\u00a0      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/tag\/politics\/nyc-mayor-2025\" class=\"tags-tag\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2025 election for NYC mayor<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEW YORK CITY &#8211; With Election Day in New York City just 5 days away, the mayoral race&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22581,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[2659,9,56,63,65,3334,64,87],"class_list":{"0":"post-22580","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-city","8":"tag-election","9":"tag-new-york","10":"tag-ny","11":"tag-nyc","12":"tag-nyc-headlines","13":"tag-nyc-mayor-2025","14":"tag-nyc-news","15":"tag-politics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22580\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}