{"id":250040,"date":"2026-05-31T21:44:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/250040\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T21:44:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:44:12","slug":"trump-is-dominating-gop-primary-elections-does-that-mean-victory-in-the-midterms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/250040\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Is Dominating GOP Primary Elections. Does That Mean Victory in the Midterms?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Last week, President Trump celebrated his grip over the Republican Party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cLook at what happened last night,\u201d Mr. Trump boasted at <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2026\/05\/27\/us\/trump-news\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a cabinet meeting<\/a> on Wednesday, after yet another MAGA-aligned candidate he had endorsed walloped an establishment Republican, this time in the Texas primary. \u201cThat was the prelude to the midterms.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">But it\u2019s far from clear that Mr. Trump\u2019s winning streak in the Republican primaries will translate into victory in November, when the party will need the support of voters outside of Mr. Trump\u2019s base \u2014 many of whom are deeply dissatisfied with the economy and the Iran war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Already, there are signs that his hold over Republicans in Washington may be slipping.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In a rare show of dissent, Senate Republicans earlier this month blocked Mr. Trump on money for his White House ballroom and pushed back on <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/30\/us\/politics\/trump-irs-lawsuit-deal.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a $1.8 billion fund<\/a> to reward Trump supporters who claim political persecution by Democrats. The opposition was so intense that the White House has considered scrapping it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has also been blocked by the courts: a federal judge on Friday <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/29\/us\/politics\/trump-irs-lawsuit-ruling.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">temporarily barred<\/a> Mr. Trump from setting up the fund for his supporters, and another court ordered him <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2026\/05\/29\/us\/trump-news\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to remove his name<\/a> from the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts. The Kennedy Center ruling prompted an incensed president to consider backing down \u2014 something he never likes to be seen doing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cWe are going to be working with Congress to transfer this failing Institution back to them so they can make a determination as to what to do with it,\u201d Mr. Trump said as he complained that there had \u201cnever been a President of the United States who has been treated so unfairly by the Courts as I.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In a matter of days, Mr. Trump had gone from dominant in the primary races to facing enormous pushback by Republican elected officials in Washington and the courts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">The split-screen illustrates an emerging paradox of the Trump presidency: He has an iron grip on his most loyal supporters, even as his overall popularity slips.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThe challenge of the administration right now,\u201d said Douglas Heye, a former communications director for the Republican National Committee, \u201cis the issues that they bring up, that Trump brings up, are not where voters are. They don\u2019t need a ballroom, they don\u2019t need a weaponization fund, they need lettuce to be affordable.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">According to a Quinnipiac poll published last week, some <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3959\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">73 percent<\/a> of Republican voters still widely approve of the job Mr. Trump is doing. But Mr. Trump\u2019s overall approval rating has hit a second-term low as gas prices and the economic concerns of Americans remain high.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Most voters think Mr. Trump made the wrong decision to go to war with Iran, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2026\/05\/18\/polls\/times-siena-national-poll-crosstabs.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a New York Times\/Siena poll found<\/a>, deepening concerns among the Republican establishment about the party\u2019s near-term future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Olivia Wales, a spokeswoman for the White House, said Mr. Trump \u201cis the unquestioned leader of the Republican Party.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cHis endorsement is the most powerful endorsement in the history of American politics \u2014 look no further than his perfect record in the past year for proof,\u201d Ms. Wales said. \u201cPresident Trump is committed to maintaining Republican majorities in Congress to continue delivering wins for the American people.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Despite the White House\u2019s committing repeatedly this year to have Mr. Trump fan out across the country and focus on addressing the economic concerns of Americans, he has appeared more interested in talking about his construction projects and retribution against his political enemies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has made clear that he is not concerned about the economic or political fallout of the war in Iran. When it comes to Iran, he said he does not think about the economic hardship of Americans \u2014 <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/17\/us\/politics\/trump-billionaire-iran-war-cost.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cnot even a little bit\u201d<\/a> \u2014 and that he does not care about the midterms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">While those economic concerns have not yet hurt Mr. Trump\u2019s standing in the low-turnout Republican primaries, it could be a factor in a general election in November.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In some cases, Mr. Trump\u2019s success on the campaign trail has fueled the pushback he is facing in Washington.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump notched another win last week when another ally beat Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who voted to convict Mr. Trump in his impeachment trial after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Cassidy days later <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/19\/us\/politics\/senate-iran-war-authorization.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">provided a vote<\/a> to advance a resolution to end the war in Iran. Mr. Cassidy joined other Republicans in pushing back against Mr. Trump\u2019s fund to reward his allies, as well as additional funding for his ballroom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">And after <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/19\/us\/politics\/trump-paxton-endorsement-cornyn-texas-senate.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mr. Trump turned on Senator John Cornyn of Texas<\/a> \u2014 helping pave the way for Ken Paxton\u2019s win \u2014 Mr. Cornyn signaled his disappointment by sharing a post about the fable of the frog and the scorpion crossing a river. In the tale, the scorpion stings the frog, dooming them both to drown.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThe dying frog asks the scorpion why it stung despite knowing the consequence, to which the scorpion replies: \u2018I am sorry, but I couldn\u2019t help myself,\u2019\u201d Mr. Cornyn wrote. \u201c\u2018It\u2019s my character.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Some former Republican members of Congress have referred to the growing number in their ranks leaving office and increasingly willing to criticize Mr. Trump as \u201cthe new freedom caucus\u201d or the \u201cYOLO caucus.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Patrick McHenry, the former Republican congressman of North Carolina, said in an interview that the Republicans were now \u201crelying on retirees, that have no political incentive to be a part of the team, to be on the team.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">But while loyalty to Mr. Trump in Washington may be fading, Republicans are cleareyed that Mr. Trump\u2019s endorsement remains one of the more powerful weapons in politics \u2014 in large part because of his ironclad hold over the more passionate voters in the MAGA movement more likely to participate in the primaries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThe long-term thinkers on Capitol Hill are thinking about where you are in two, four, six years, not just the next six months and what they would tell you is that President Trump is a part of that calculus,\u201d Mr. McHenry, the former interim speaker of the House, said in an interview.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThere\u2019s a way to leadership within the Republican Party with his blessing or without his opposition,\u201d Mr. McHenry said. \u201cBut not with his opposition.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Last week, President Trump celebrated his grip over the Republican Party. \u201cLook at what happened last night,\u201d Mr.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":250041,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[82363,82362,52492,61690,1452,10332,182,52491,4671,46937,9,11,10,5285,855,1069,901,1876],"class_list":["post-250040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-bill-1957","tag-cassidy","tag-center-for-the-performing-arts","tag-cornyn","tag-donald-j","tag-endorsements","tag-john","tag-john-f","tag-kennedy","tag-midterm-elections-2026","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-republican-party","tag-senate","tag-trump","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-politics-and-government"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/250040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=250040"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/250040\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/250041"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=250040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=250040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=250040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}