{"id":269899,"date":"2026-06-17T18:56:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/269899\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T18:56:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:56:23","slug":"fed-meeting-live-updates-kevin-warsh-speaks-on-u-s-economy-as-fed-holds-interest-rates-steady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/269899\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Meeting Live Updates: Kevin Warsh Speaks on U.S. Economy as Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and officials readied for <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/fomcprojtabl20260617.pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">higher borrowing costs<\/a>, as inflation fears dominated Kevin M. Warsh\u2019s first meeting as chairman of the central bank.<\/p>\n<p>The decision on Wednesday to maintain rates at a range of 3.5 percent to 3.75 percent for a fourth-straight meeting was supported by all 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee. It was the first policy vote since June of last year that did not feature some form of opposition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">But the apparent unanimity among officials belies the very challenging position Mr. Warsh finds himself in now that he is <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/15\/us\/politics\/jerome-powell-kevin-warsh-federal-reserve.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">at the helm<\/a> of the Fed. Mr. Warsh was handpicked for the job by President Trump, who has waged a <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/04\/30\/business\/powell-fed-trump.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">relentless pressure campaign<\/a> on the central bank in a bid for lower borrowing costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">Delivering that has become all but impossible because of the war with Iran and the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2026\/06\/10\/business\/inflation-report-cpi\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">inflation surge<\/a> that it has unleashed. A tentative deal has been reached to end the conflict, but the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/06\/15\/us\/politics\/iran-war-deal-trump-economic-rebound.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">economic blow<\/a> is poised to be much longer lasting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">Mr. Warsh\u2019s new colleagues have not only rejected the idea that rates can fall anytime soon, but many have also <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/20\/business\/economy\/fed-minutes-interest-rates.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">embraced<\/a> the possibility of having to raise them to bring inflation back to 2 percent \u2014 a target they have missed for five years. New projections released alongside Wednesday\u2019s rate decision underscored this shift.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">According to the latest \u201cdot plot,\u201d which tracks what policymakers think will happen to borrowing costs over the coming years, roughly half of the officials forecast one or more quarter-point increases from the Fed by year-end. Three people penciled in just one increase, while five thought the Fed would need to raise rates by half a percentage point. One person thought the Fed would need to raise rates by three-quarters of a percentage point.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">Eight officials were of the view that rates could remain unchanged by year-end, and only one person penciled in a quarter-point cut.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">The dot plot had fewer entries than usual. Mr. Warsh confirmed he was the only official who did not submit any projections, while another policymaker opted against submitting projections just for 2028. Mr. Warsh has argued that Fed officials should speak less frequently and forgo providing specific guidance about where rates may be headed in the near term to avoid limiting their ability to pivot if the economic backdrop changes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">On Wednesday, the Fed significantly scaled back its <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/monetary20260617a1.pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">policy statement<\/a> and opted to scrap a portion that had previously included a steer on the conditions under which the Fed would consider cutting rates again. It had become <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/01\/business\/economy\/fed-inflation-interest-rate-dissents.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">problematic<\/a> for many officials, who preferred more neutral language that conveyed that a rate increase was just as feasible.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">This change aligns with Mr. Warsh\u2019s call for less overt communication from the Fed about its next move. But it also likely reflects heightened concern that many officials harbor about the trajectory of inflation, which is running at a three-year high. Even before the war, price pressures were proving unexpectedly sticky in services sectors like hospitality and transportation. A surge in spending related to the proliferation of artificial intelligence and a booming stock market have helped to further turn up the heat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">Rising inflation and a steady policy rate translate to a lower inflation-adjusted or \u201creal\u201d interest rate, meaning the Fed is not restraining the economy as much as it once was. That risks making the Fed\u2019s inflation problem even worse, especially at a time when the labor market has strengthened and the economy more broadly is holding up well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">In their new projections on Wednesday, policymakers substantially raised their forecast for inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, compared with three months ago. They now expect overall inflation to end the year at 3.6 percent and for \u201ccore\u201d inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, to register a 3.3 percent pace. As of the latest data in April, P.C.E. inflation accelerated to 3.8 percent compared with the same time last year, while core P.C.E. was up 3.3 percent. The Fed aims for 2 percent inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">They also forecast the economy growing at a steady 2.2 percent clip this year and unemployment remaining stable at 4.3 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"live-blog-post-content css-ei0myh e1me5xab0\">Mr. Warsh is having to navigate these economic crosscurrents while also trying to make good on his pledge to lead a \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/05\/22\/us\/politics\/kevin-warsh-federal-reserve-swearing-in.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reform-oriented<\/a>\u201d Fed. His priorities include shrinking the Fed\u2019s $6.7 trillion balance sheet and reworking how the central bank both models and measures inflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and officials readied for higher borrowing costs, as inflation fears dominated&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":269900,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[58382,20601,81979,81981,9,11,10,9272,2052,81980],"class_list":["post-269899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-federal-reserve-system","tag-interest-rates","tag-jerome-h","tag-kevin-m","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-powell","tag-united-states-economy","tag-warsh"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=269899"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269899\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/269900"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=269899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=269899"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=269899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}