{"id":299259,"date":"2026-07-18T03:02:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T03:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/299259\/"},"modified":"2026-07-18T03:02:24","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T03:02:24","slug":"trump-faces-the-limits-of-u-s-firepower-and-the-lessons-of-past-wars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/299259\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Faces the Limits of U.S. Firepower and the Lessons of Past Wars"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">President Trump has held fast to one belief over the course of the nearly five-month war with Iran: If the U.S. military hit Iran hard enough, eventually the country\u2019s leaders would bend to his demands.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cWe\u2019re going to knock out all their power plants,\u201d Mr. Trump <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/1210031630\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">told Fox News<\/a> this week. \u201cWe\u2019re going to knock out all their bridges unless they get to the table and negotiate.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cDo you believe the Iranians are serious about making a deal?\u201d he was asked.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cI think they have no choice,\u201d Mr. Trump replied.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Only a few years earlier, the long, frustrating wars in Iraq and Afghanistan had largely discredited this vision of military power.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">In their early months, both wars were fueled by a <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Effects-based_operations\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">novel military strategy<\/a> that rose to prominence after the 1991 Persian Gulf war. It posited that by simultaneously attacking with precision weapons on multiple fronts, the U.S. military could paralyze its enemy and achieve a swift, low-casualty victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">As the Iraq and Afghanistan wars dragged on, the military\u2019s faith in this new approach began to wane. By 2007, a new theory of warfare \u2014 summed up in the Army\u2019s <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/07\/29\/books\/review\/Power-t.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">counterinsurgency doctrine<\/a> \u2014 took hold.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">The strategy preached that too much firepower, poorly applied, would only produce more enemies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cSometimes, the more force is used, the less effective it is,\u201d the new doctrine counseled.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cSometimes doing nothing is the best reaction,\u201d it paradoxically advised.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Today, that same decades-long debate over the best use of America\u2019s massive firepower advantage is playing out at the Pentagon, inside the White House and in the skies over Iran.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">The initial 38-day military campaign that started on Feb. 28 hit Iran hard. It opened with a stunning series of Israeli strikes that killed <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/02\/28\/world\/middleeast\/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-dead.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ayatollah Ali Khamenei<\/a>, the nation\u2019s supreme leader for almost 37 years, and his top military commanders in a Tehran compound.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">In the weeks that followed, the Pentagon says it hit around 13,000 targets, eviscerated the country\u2019s Navy and Air Force, vastly degraded Iran\u2019s missile and drone arsenals, and killed some 40 high-level military and intelligence leaders.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">The attacks weakened the Iranian military, but they did not eliminate Iran\u2019s ability to threaten its neighbors with missile or drone attacks. And they did not end Tehran\u2019s ability to effectively close the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic international waterway.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">A cease-fire, which began on April 8, was supposed to produce a deal that would end the war, reopen the strait and ensure that Iran never acquired a nuclear weapon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Instead it collapsed this month, reigniting hostilities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has said that the U.S. military used the break in attacks to identify Iranian vulnerabilities. \u201cOur ability to see, our ability to get into networks has only been vastly improved over time,\u201d he <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dvidshub.net\/video\/1010333\/hegseth-addresses-media-florida\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">told reporters<\/a> last month after a briefing on the war at U.S. Central Command.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">The campaign, when it restarted, would be more efficient and lethal than the earlier efforts, he promised.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">But, so far, that does not seem to be true. Since the cease-fire first took effect, Iran has been able to restore or reconstitute much of its ability to project power, two senior U.S. officials said. That includes Iran\u2019s ballistic missiles and missile launch sites, armed droned launch sites and other underground facilities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Many of the more than 300 sites that American warplanes have hit this month are targets the military struck during the initial assault that began in February, the officials said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">The new round of strikes so far has been mostly limited to military targets, like command centers, missile sites and coastal surveillance facilities, that threaten commercial vessels in the strait.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">U.S. forces also appeared to have hit sites that have military and civilian purposes, including a railway bridge in northeastern Iran more than 700 miles from the strait. The Iranians relied on the bridge to ferry bombs and other military supplies to units launching attacks on the strait, a defense official said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Despite the strikes, Iran has continued to fire at commercial shipping.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Mr. Trump has suggested that there may not be many Iranian military targets left along the strait. \u201cWe\u2019re finding it hard to find where they have anything,\u201d he told Fox News.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">And so, he vowed that the U.S. military would expand the campaign and start striking civilian targets, like bridges and electrical infrastructure, that the Iranian military needed to fight back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">A big question inside the Pentagon is whether such strikes constitute war crimes. Another concern is whether they will work: Will they cause Iran\u2019s leaders to capitulate or simply harden their resistance as the death toll rises?<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">One theory holds that the Trump administration has struggled to achieve its goals because the U.S. and Israeli militaries used too much force in the opening days of the air war, decimating Iran\u2019s leadership and leaving the Trump administration without a coherent negotiating partner.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cDecapitation campaigns work, but not always in the way you want,\u201d said S. Clinton Hinote, a retired Air Force lieutenant general who served as a senior air strategist in the Middle East in the 2000s. They produce confusion and paralysis, but do not destroy the enemy\u2019s ability to fight back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Such is the case so far in Iran. \u201cThe enemy might have been brain-dead, but the body kept functioning as it had been trained to do for the last decade,\u201d General Hinote said. Iranian troops fired back at U.S. bases in the Middle East, struck America\u2019s Gulf Arab allies and effectively closed the strait.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Now the Trump administration is in a spot where it is sitting across the negotiating table from a discombobulated, embittered and dug-in enemy that is either not willing or not capable of making lasting concessions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Mr. Trump alluded to this possibility in his interview this week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cI knew the first group for a little while, and they were evil, and they\u2019re no longer with us,\u201d he said. \u201cI knew the second group also a little bit better, and they were evil, and they\u2019re no longer with us.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">He described the latest group of Iranian leaders as having \u201csome very bad ones in there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cI think they\u2019re the ones that are stopping a deal,\u201d Mr. Trump said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">David Deptula, a retired lieutenant general who is widely credited as the creator of the <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2003\/03\/25\/IHT-effectsbased-warfare-values-precision-over-massive-force-front-lines.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">firepower-focused strategy<\/a> that took hold in the early 1990s, said that a more intense air campaign aimed at Iran\u2019s power generation and electrical distribution network could cripple the Iranian military\u2019s ability to resist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">Those targets, he said, could be attacked in a calibrated and \u201creversible\u201d manner that would not violate the laws of war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cThe air power lesson Trump must understand is that military action must be tied to clearly defined political objectives and sustained until the desired effects are achieved,\u201d General Deptula said. \u201cSporadic retaliation followed by pauses, shifting demands or premature declarations of victory gives Iran opportunities to absorb the blows, adapt and wait Washington out.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">General Hinote was skeptical that more American bombs would produce new Iranian concessions. The U.S. campaign has achieved most, if not all, of its military objectives. The same was true in 2001 when U.S. forces shattered the Taliban and in 2003 when they destroyed the Iraqi military and Saddam Hussein\u2019s dictatorship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">But U.S. presidents have consistently failed to translate those military successes into anything resembling a lasting victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-18blb2c e1me5xab0\">\u201cThat\u2019s been a constant disappointment throughout my career,\u201d General Hinote said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"President Trump has held fast to one belief over the course of the nearly five-month war with Iran:&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":299260,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[29880,15019,1452,14670,67339,164,9,11,10,1069,5251,1554,1876],"class_list":["post-299259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-afghanistan","tag-defense-department","tag-donald-j","tag-iran","tag-iraq","tag-middle-east","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-trump","tag-united-states-defense-and-military-forces","tag-united-states-international-relations","tag-united-states-politics-and-government"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299259","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=299259"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299259\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/299260"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=299259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=299259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=299259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}