{"id":333448,"date":"2026-08-31T00:04:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T00:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/333448\/"},"modified":"2026-08-31T00:04:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T00:04:12","slug":"heres-what-nyc-can-expect-from-brewing-powerful-super-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/333448\/","title":{"rendered":"Here’s what NYC can expect from brewing powerful Super El Nino"},"content":{"rendered":"

A rare and extremely powerful Super El Nino<\/a> is brewing this season \u2014 and set to leave the Northeast warmer and with little snow in the fall and winter.<\/p>\n

The dangerous weather phenomenon is a heightened version of the more typical El Nino, which develops when warm air in the Pacific region turns hotter than normal, triggering various fallout.<\/p>\n

The current El Nino that is developing is expected to bring local temps above average for the coming seasons, while rainfall and other precipitation are forecast to run below average, at least at the start, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Carl Erickson.<\/p>\n

\u201cWarmth may linger through September, brief shots of cooler air should arrive in October,\u201d Erickson told The Post on Sunday.<\/p>\n

\"TwoNew Yorkers could see a warmer winter with more rain and less snow because of the El Nino weather pattern. Getty Images<\/p>\n

\u201cEl Ni\u00f1o is expected to play a greater role in the overall weather pattern by late fall and winter.<\/p>\n

\u201cSome snow is possible by late October or November if a storm happens to coincide with enough cold air. But it is too early to predict any specific event,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Once winter fully settles, some forecasts call for a still warm but then wetter season, with El Nino sometimes bringing elevated precipitation to the Atlantic Coast during the winter.<\/p>\n

New York currently faces a roughly 50% to 60% chance of seeing higher than average precipitation between December and February, while its chance of higher than average temperatures during the same period are about 40% to 50%, according to CNN Weather<\/a>.<\/p>\n

That means snow-loving New Yorkers may have their hopes dashed \u2014 and have to settle for a winter of rain and sleet instead of drifts of white stuff.<\/p>\n

All of that is all the more likely to occur if the weather pattern<\/a> becomes a Super El Nino, an extremely strong manifestation of the phenomenon, which would likely come to fruition by October.<\/p>\n

\"TheWarmer-than-average temperatures could be headed for New York City this winter \u2014 and also wetter days \u2014 thanks to the latest El Nino. Getty Images<\/p>\n

El Ninos themselves are not unique phenomena \u2014 they happen every few years when temperatures across the Pacific equatorial region surge above average.<\/p>\n

Those regions of warm air spark chain reactions which shift jet streams and seasonal weather expectations across the globe.<\/p>\n

In the US, that typically means the Southeast experiences wetter and colder winters with more storms, while swaths of the Midwest become drier and northern states see warmer temperatures.<\/p>\n

The East Coast tends to have less predictable weather, though higher rain and coastal storms flowing up from the South are often expected, according to the American Geosciences Institute<\/a>.<\/p>\n

This year\u2019s El Nino is shaping up to be one of the strongest on record \u2014 with there currently about a 70% chance of it becoming a Super El Nino.<\/p>\n

New York City has already been swimming its way through a particularly wet August, with more than 8 inches of rain falling so far and making it the wettest August in five years<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The last time New York saw as much rain was in 2021 when more than 10 inches fell.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A rare and extremely powerful Super El Nino is brewing this season \u2014 and set to leave the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":333449,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[85856,899,20233,57,9,24,56,63,65,64,274,58,133,8993],"class_list":["post-333448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york-city","tag-el-nino","tag-extreme-weather","tag-forecast","tag-metro","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-ny","tag-nyc","tag-nyc-headlines","tag-nyc-news","tag-storms","tag-us-news","tag-weather","tag-winter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333448","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=333448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333448\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/333449"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=333448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=333448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=333448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}