{"id":357132,"date":"2026-09-25T22:36:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T22:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/357132\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T22:36:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T22:36:39","slug":"nyc-housing-affordability-worsens-as-mortgage-rates-climb-above-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/357132\/","title":{"rendered":"NYC housing affordability worsens as mortgage rates climb above 7%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Buying a starter home in New York was already a stretch for the average household.<\/p>\n<p>Now mortgage rates <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/24\/business\/mortgage-rates-top-7-5th-straight-weekly-increase\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">are back above 7%<\/a> \u2014 adding yet another hurdle for would-be homeowners already contending with stubbornly high prices and a shortage of homes for sale.<\/p>\n<p>The New York metropolitan area is the fifth-hardest place in the country to get on the property ladder, according to new research from personal-finance company Achieve.<\/p>\n<p>NYC buyers need $114K to afford an entry-level home. Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>An entry-level home in the metro costs about $489,359, while the median household earns $99,155.<\/p>\n<p>Assuming a 10% down payment and keeping mortgage payments to 30% of gross income, Achieve calculated that a household would need to earn $114,380 a year to comfortably afford that home \u2014 15.4% more than the typical household actually makes.<\/p>\n<p>And that calculation comes as borrowing costs are heading in the wrong direction.<\/p>\n<p>The average 30-year fixed mortgage climbed back above 7% this week after years of languishing inflation, further eroding the purchasing power of buyers who need financing.<\/p>\n<p>For buyers, however, the problem is much bigger than the mortgage rate alone.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/24\/real-estate\/sherry-netherland-sees-prices-fall-as-buyers-flock-there\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Appraiser Jonathan Miller<\/a>, of StreetMatrix, told The Post that an acute shortage of homes for sale is preventing the normal market correction that might otherwise give buyers some relief.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen we think about affordability, I think the influence of inadequate inventory is more powerful on the affordability topic than actual rates themselves,\u201d Miller said.<\/p>\n<p>Normally, Miller explained, a sharp increase in borrowing costs would cause sales to fall, inventory to build and prices to soften.<\/p>\n<p>This time, that last part isn\u2019t happening.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMortgage rates are over 7%, and prices are still rising, right? That\u2019s not logical to many people,\u201d Miller said. \u201cBut the reason it\u2019s not logical is because the limited inventory is distorting everything.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Mortgage rates are back above 7%. Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Buyers are getting squeezed from every direction<\/p>\n<p>Part of the problem is the so-called mortgage \u201clock-in effect.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Millions of homeowners secured ultra-low mortgage rates in previous years and now have little financial incentive to sell their homes and take out a new mortgage at around 7%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou\u2019ve got to get all the people that are sort of locked in because they\u2019ve got a 2.75% mortgage,\u201d Miller said. \u201cThere\u2019s no way they\u2019re gonna trade that for a new house with a 7.2% mortgage. They\u2019re gonna sit tight.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The result is <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/23\/real-estate\/nyc-gets-crushed-in-affordability-ranking-for-renters\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a vicious circle<\/a>: higher rates make buying more expensive, but they can also discourage existing owners from selling, restricting inventory and helping keep home prices elevated.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe bigger problem for affordability is rising rates keep inventory from coming into the market,\u201d Miller said.<\/p>\n<p>Jessica Peters of Douglas Elliman said buyers who expected higher borrowing costs to bring substantially cheaper homes have largely been disappointed.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBuyers are being squeezed from both sides,\u201d Peters told The Post. \u201cBorrowing costs remain elevated, but New York home prices have remained resilient, particularly in desirable neighborhoods where inventory is limited.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>High prices and scarce inventory are squeezing buyers. Christopher Sadowski for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>And the mortgage is only one line on a New York homeowner\u2019s bill.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNew Yorkers also have to account for maintenance or common charges, taxes and closing costs, so the monthly carrying cost can become substantial very quickly,\u201d Peters said.<\/p>\n<p>Buyers are responding by recalibrating rather than necessarily giving up altogether, according to Peters \u2014 increasing down payments, lowering their budgets, expanding their searches into different neighborhoods or choosing a smaller apartment or co-op instead of a condo.<\/p>\n<p>But those with the least cash have fewer options.<\/p>\n<p>First-time buyers who rely more heavily on financing \u201cfeel every movement in mortgage rates,\u201d Peters said, while buyers with proceeds from a previous sale or greater liquidity have more room to maneuver.<\/p>\n<p>That divide is especially stark in Manhattan, where Miller said the upper half of the market is currently performing better than the lower half.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs you move higher in price, there\u2019s less reliance on mortgage rates, and as you move lower in price, there\u2019s more reliance on mortgage rates,\u201d Miller said.<\/p>\n<p>Donald Brennan, broker\/owner of Engel &amp; V\u00f6lkers New York City, Brownstone Brooklyn, North Fork and Hoboken, said the divide has become striking among his firm\u2019s current New York clientele.<\/p>\n<p>The buyers currently working with advisers in his New York City office are all paying cash, Brennan said \u2014 compared with a more balanced mix of cash and financed buyers in the past.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe people that are still buying are the cash buyers,\u201d Brennan said.<\/p>\n<p>Low-rate homeowners are reluctant to sell. Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Waiting for lower rates may not solve it<\/p>\n<p>For buyers struggling to make the numbers work, waiting for mortgage rates to fall might seem like the obvious answer.<\/p>\n<p>But a lower rate doesn\u2019t necessarily translate dollar-for-dollar into greater affordability.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA lower mortgage rate absolutely helps the monthly payment, but it doesn\u2019t solve the affordability equation by itself,\u201d Peters said.<\/p>\n<p>If rates fall and more buyers rush back into a market where inventory remains scarce, that new demand could put additional pressure on prices.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor affordability to meaningfully improve, buyers need not only cheaper financing but also more housing options at a wider range of price points,\u201d Peters said.<\/p>\n<p>Realtor.com senior economist Jake Krimmel also cautioned against looking at a mortgage rate in isolation. For buyers, what ultimately matters is the rate in relation to the price they\u2019re paying and their overall housing budget.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/rate-volatility-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Realtor.com research<\/a> suggests buyers three months from closing should prepare their budgets to withstand roughly 50 basis points of movement in either direction, rather than assuming today\u2019s rate will still be available when they close.<\/p>\n<p>Cash buyers have an edge as financing gets pricier. Aboltin \u2013 stock.adobe.com<\/p>\n<p>And the old real-estate mantra of \u201cbuy now, refinance later\u201d isn\u2019t a guarantee either.<\/p>\n<p>Miller said that strategy made more sense a few years ago, when there was a stronger case that buyers could refinance into a lower rate down the road.<\/p>\n<p>Today, he said, \u201cyou\u2019re gambling on more affordability later on.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you\u2019re waiting for rates to come down, I think that\u2019s gonna be a long wait,\u201d Miller said.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because many of the forces currently putting upward pressure on borrowing costs aren\u2019t disappearing, he said, pointing to inflationary pressures, the federal deficit and geopolitical and trade uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>While the Federal Reserve doesn\u2019t directly set mortgage rates, its monetary policy and the broader inflation outlook influence the market in which mortgage rates are determined.<\/p>\n<p>Miller believes those conditions could keep borrowers in a \u201chigher for longer\u201d mortgage-rate world for at least the next several years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s no expectation that any of those will be leaving us over the next couple of years,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>The outlook is murky enough that Miller has another way of describing the current housing market:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur uncertainty has uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Higher mortgage rates are also adding pressure to rents. Chawan Creative \u2013 stock.adobe.com<\/p>\n<p>The squeeze doesn\u2019t end with homebuyers<\/p>\n<p>Higher mortgage rates can also make life more expensive for people who aren\u2019t buying at all.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRising mortgage rates make rental prices rise,\u201d Miller said.<\/p>\n<p>Would-be buyers who can no longer afford to purchase remain renters for longer, he explained, leaving fewer apartments available for newcomers and adding pressure to an already expensive rental market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen we talk about impacting affordability, it\u2019s not just the purchase market,\u201d Miller said. \u201cIt\u2019s the rental market as well.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That leaves some New Yorkers caught between an expensive purchase market and an expensive rental one.<\/p>\n<p>And for families who genuinely need more space, waiting indefinitely isn\u2019t always an option.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cChildren generally don\u2019t stop growing just because the borrowing rates have increased,\u201d Brennan said.<\/p>\n<p>For those buyers, the question isn\u2019t whether the market will suddenly become cheaper \u2014 but whether they can make the numbers work under the conditions that exist today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Buying a starter home in New York was already a stretch for the average household. Now mortgage rates&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":357133,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[98,5043,17409,5013,75,9,24,55,54,56,1491,4753],"class_list":["post-357132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york-city","tag-brooklyn","tag-douglas-elliman","tag-hoboken","tag-homeowners","tag-manhattan","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-new-york-city-headlines","tag-new-york-city-news","tag-ny","tag-real-estate","tag-rentals"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/357132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=357132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/357132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/357133"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=357132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=357132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=357132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}