{"id":359387,"date":"2026-09-29T01:24:26","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T01:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/359387\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T01:24:26","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T01:24:26","slug":"whos-winning-the-race-for-congress-2026-midterm-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/359387\/","title":{"rendered":"Who\u2019s Winning the Race for Congress? 2026 Midterm Elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">The map just keeps getting bigger and better for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Over the last week, The Cook Political Report <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/analysis\/house\/house-overview\/gop-track-lose-house-majority-15-race-ratings-shift-towards-dems\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">shifted 15 races toward Democrats<\/a>, creating three new \u201ctossup\u201d districts in conservative swaths of North Carolina, Texas and Florida. It made another 10 red districts a little less red.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">One notable development: Cook moved a Republican incumbent running for re-election in a seat not redrawn by redistricting to the lean Democratic column for the first time. It is Representative Thomas Kean Jr. of New Jersey, who was <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/06\/24\/nyregion\/tom-kean-missing-found.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">absent from the House for months<\/a> this year, which <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/06\/30\/nyregion\/tom-kean-new-jersey-absence.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he said was because of depression<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Top Talker<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Trump is increasingly leaning on taxpayer funds to boost his image ahead of the midterm elections.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">This weekend, <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/27\/us\/politics\/trump-ad-government-campaign.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a black-and-white video<\/a> created during his 2024 presidential run began airing on televisions. Except that this time, the video had a new disclaimer: \u201cPaid for by the U.S. Government.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Critics say the president is violating laws against using public funds for propaganda. The White House is calling the ads <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/releases\/2026\/09\/presidential-public-service-announcements-are-nothing-new\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cpublic service announcements.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">At least three such ads have run so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">The ads have received some bipartisan criticism.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">\u201cI don\u2019t think any public official, including President Trump or Kristi Noem or John Kennedy, should spend public money on \u2014 on private ads for themselves,\u201d Senator John Kennedy, Republican of Louisiana, said Sunday on CBS News\u2019s \u201cFace the Nation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Money<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Trump\u2019s MAGA Inc. super PAC is spending in deeply Republican territory in an apparent effort to hold down the size of a Democratic wave.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">The group is investing in two districts in Texas \u2014 the Ninth and the 15th Districts \u2014 which Trump would have won by nearly 20 points, if they had existed in their current shape in 2024.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">This strategy isn\u2019t limited to Texas. Trump\u2019s group has spent nearly $2 million on the open seat in the 11th District in North Carolina, which the president won by 9.5 percentage points in 2024. Democrats, hungry for a pickup, are also spending big there.<\/p>\n<p>One Key Metric<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">The average price for a gallon of gas as of Sunday: $4.48, per AAA. That\u2019s almost 40 cents more per gallon than a month ago.<\/p>\n<p>One Poll Number<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">66 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">That\u2019s the percentage of voters who disapprove of Trump\u2019s handling of the war in Iran, according to the <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2026\/09\/15\/polls\/times-siena-poll-likely-voter-crosstabs.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NYT\/Siena poll<\/a> released last week \u2014 a figure that has alarmed Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>On the Ground<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Two defining political issues of 2026 <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/25\/us\/politics\/ice-raids-kansas-texas-oklahoma-beef-prices.html\" title=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">collided last week when federal immigration raids hit cattle country<\/a>. Industry associations in Oklahoma, Texas and Kansas warned that the immigration enforcement could cause beef prices to jump higher than they already are \u2014 and that it could create new problems for cattle farmers who are already struggling with drought, pests and tariffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">\u201cWe need some help, and these ICE raids do not help,\u201d said Sid Miller, the Texas agriculture commissioner and a Republican.<\/p>\n<p>Quote of the Week<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">\u201cI was trying to warn people that if they actually wanted to hold the seat, that I would be a safer bet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12m5bll evys1bk0\">Senator John Cornyn of Texas <a class=\"css-povzk\" href=\"https:\/\/punchbowl.news\/article\/campaigns\/texas-pac-pours-more-money-into-state\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">speaking to Punchbowl News<\/a>, essentially saying: Told you so. Cornyn lost his primary to Ken Paxton after Trump threw his weight behind the Texas attorney general; now he\u2019s watching his party spend nine figures to help Paxton keep a seat that Cornyn handily won four times.<\/p>\n<p>Worth a Thousand Words<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The map just keeps getting bigger and better for Democrats. Over the last week, The Cook Political Report&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":359388,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1253,651,1452,416,859,46937,9,11,10,49,51,50,1707,5285,855,1069,1876],"class_list":["post-359387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-campaign-finance","tag-democratic-party","tag-donald-j","tag-elections","tag-house-of-representatives","tag-midterm-elections-2026","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-new-york-state","tag-new-york-state-headlines","tag-new-york-state-news","tag-polls-and-public-opinion","tag-republican-party","tag-senate","tag-trump","tag-united-states-politics-and-government"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/359387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=359387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/359387\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/359388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=359387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=359387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=359387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}