{"id":367199,"date":"2026-10-07T21:04:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T21:04:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/367199\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T21:04:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T21:04:13","slug":"hochul-leads-blakeman-by-11-points-but-losing-ground-with-this-key-voting-bloc-in-new-marist-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/367199\/","title":{"rendered":"Hochul leads Blakeman by 11 points, but losing ground with this key voting bloc in new Marist poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gov. Kathy Hochul holds an 11-point lead over <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/10\/04\/us-news\/star-dem-backer-debra-messing-endorses-gops-bruce-blakeman-for-ny-governor-what-we-need\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman<\/a>, but is losing ground among independents with just four weeks to go in the race for governor, a newly released Marist poll shows.<\/p>\n<p>The survey sampled 1,361 registered voters across New York state and found the Democratic governor ahead of her Republican rival 53% to 42%.<\/p>\n<p>But Blakeman had a strong showing among independent voters, carrying 49% in the survey compared to 42% who backed Hochul. And the two are in a dead heat in the the Empire State\u2019s suburbs, split at 48%.<\/p>\n<p><img style=\"aspect-ratio:1.49926794;display:block\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"   data-modal-image=\"41214036\" width=\"885\" height=\"590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/2026-candidate-ny-state-governor-144124120.jpg\" alt=\"Nassau County Executive and candidate for New York State Governor Bruce Blakeman speaks surrounded by supporters and campaign signs.\" class=\"wp-image-41214036\"\/>Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman speaking at a campaign event on Roosevelt Ave. in Queens on Oct. 7, 2026. James Messerschmidt for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>The governor crushed Blakeman in New York City by a 69% to 24% margin, the poll found.<\/p>\n<p>The survey mirrors a <a href=\"https:\/\/maristpoll.marist.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Marist-Poll_NY-NOS-and-Tables_202210101405.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Marist 2022 poll<\/a> that had Hochul with a 10-point lead over her Republican opponent, then-Rep. Lee Zeldin.<\/p>\n<p>Hochul wound up <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/11\/08\/kathy-hochul-beats-lee-zeldin-in-ny-gov-race\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">beating Zeldin by 6 points.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Blakeman blasted the poll as \u201cwoke\u201d while speaking to reporters at a Queens event. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe phony Marist poll by the woke university that always favors Democrats over Republicans,\u201d he charged, before predicting he\u2019ll get \u201crecord turnout\u201d in New York City. \u201cI\u2019ve been in the South Bronx, Brooklyn, here in Queens many times just this week.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Hochul dismissed questions over whether she was concerned about the race.<\/p>\n<p><img style=\"aspect-ratio:1.49926794;display:block\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"   data-modal-image=\"41214072\" width=\"885\" height=\"590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/2026-hopewell-junction-new-york-144015634.jpg\" alt=\"Gov. Kathy Hochul speaks during a roundtable on data centers at Fishkill Farms in Hopewell Junction.\" class=\"wp-image-41214072\"\/>Gov. Kathy Hochul speaking at a roundtable event on data centers in Hopewell Junction, NY on Oct. 6, 2026. Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBeing ahead by half a point or 1% is concerning. Double digits means something,\u201d she told reporters Wednesday. \u201cSo, I\u2019ll just let you all analyze that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A Siena University poll last month showed <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/23\/us-news\/bruce-blakeman-within-single-digits-of-kathy-hochul-in-new-york-governors-race-poll\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">her with a 9% lead over Blakeman<\/a>, while a <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3967\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Quinnipiac University poll<\/a>, which was released the same day, had Hochul with a commanding 19% margin.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\tStart your day with all you need to know\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"inline-module__cta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tMorning Report delivers the latest news, videos, photos and more.\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tThanks for signing up!\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>The Marist poll also found respondents favoring national Democrats over Republicans ahead of the pivotal midterms, 55% to 42%.<\/p>\n<p>Asked how much <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/10\/07\/us-news\/susan-collins-nudges-trump-to-stay-away-from-maine-im-not-exactly-his-favorite-senator\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">President Trump influences their vote for congress<\/a> in next month\u2019s election, 33% indicated he\u2019s not much of a factor either way, while 44% said they\u2019re casting their vote \u201cagainst\u201d Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Almost half \u2013 49% \u2013\u00a0of independents surveyed said Trump is not much of a factor.<\/p>\n<p>The survey, conducted between Oct. 1 and Oct. 4, has a margin of error of 3.6%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gov. Kathy Hochul holds an 11-point lead over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, but is losing ground among&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":367200,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1626,426,57,46937,9,11,10,49,51,50,13895,7782,58],"class_list":["post-367199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-bruce-blakeman","tag-kathy-hochul","tag-metro","tag-midterm-elections-2026","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-new-york-state","tag-new-york-state-headlines","tag-new-york-state-news","tag-ny-governor-election-2026","tag-polls","tag-us-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=367199"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367199\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/367200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=367199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=367199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=367199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}