{"id":368866,"date":"2026-10-09T12:48:21","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T12:48:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/368866\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T12:48:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T12:48:21","slug":"blakeman-has-big-lead-over-hochul-among-independent-voters-but-dem-ahead-overall-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/368866\/","title":{"rendered":"Blakeman has big lead over Hochul among independent voters \u2014 but Dem ahead overall: poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman leads incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul by 21 percentage points among independent voters \u2014 even as she holds a healthy double-digit lead in the deeply blue Empire State, a new poll found.<\/p>\n<p>Hochul leads Blakeman by 12 percentage points, 52% to 40%, with 8% undecided, <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-2026-poll-governor-hochul-leads-blakeman-by-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">according to an Emerson College\/PIX 11 survey of 900 likely voters<\/a> released Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHochul\u2019s lead is driven by strong support among New York Democrats, 84% to 8%, but independents break for the Republican, Blakeman, 55% to 34%, a notable contrast with other Emerson statewide polls this cycle, in which independent voters have generally favored the Democratic candidate,\u201d said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.<\/p>\n<p>Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman has a large lead over Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul among independent Empire State voters.  Tomas E. Gaston for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>The Emerson College survey tracks other recent independent polls <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-2026-poll-governor-hochul-leads-blakeman-by-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">that show Hochul leading Blakeman<\/a> from a range of 11-19 points. Republican polls claim the race is much closer.<\/p>\n<p>Emerson found Hochul is not popular \u2014 only 40% approve of her job performance, 46% disapprove, and the remainder of voters are undecided.<\/p>\n<p>The poll had worse news for Sen. Chuck Schumer, the Democratic minority leader.<\/p>\n<p>Only 30% approve of Schumer\u2019s job performance, 50% disapprove and 20% are unsure \u2014 a startlingly low number in Democratic-dominated New York.<\/p>\n<p>A poll from Emerson College, however, indicates Gov. Hochul has a 12-point lead over Blakeman. Stephen Yang for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>Schumer\u2019s approval rating was 5 points lower than President Trump\u2019s, who had a 35% approval rating and a 57% disapproval rating, the poll found.<\/p>\n<p>Democratic socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/27\/us-news\/crowd-sings-from-the-river-to-the-sea-at-aoc-event-promoting-dems-ahead-of-midterms\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has been stumping upstate<\/a>, which many see as a networking bid to run for Schumer\u2019s seat when it\u2019s up for grabs in 2028.<\/p>\n<p>First-year democratic socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani has a higher approval rating than statewide elected officials, with 47% giving him a thumbs up and 41% disapproving, and 13% undecided, the poll found.<\/p>\n<p>The Nassau County Executive has the upper hand among independent voters by 21%, according to Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. James Messerschmidt for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>The Emerson College Polling\/PIX11 News New York surveyed 900 likely voters Oct. 3-5, and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans statewide 6 million to 3.4 million \u2014 but there are also 3.4 million who aren\u2019t affiliated with a party, according to the state Board of Elections active enrollment logs.<\/p>\n<p>Hochul, 68, is seeking her second full term after the former lieutenant governor ascended to the top post when former <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2021\/08\/10\/andrew-cuomo-resigns-as-governor-of-new-york\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gov. Andrew Cuomo resigned<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Hochul is seeking her second full term, while Blakeman looks to upset the incumbent governor on Election Day. Luiz C. Ribeiro for NY Post<\/p>\n<p>Blakeman, 71, is <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/11\/04\/us-news\/blakeman-poised-to-win-re-election-as-nassau-county-executive\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">now serving as<\/a> the elected Nassau County executive on Long Island.<\/p>\n<p>The governor serves a four-year term at an annual salary of $250,000.<\/p>\n<p>Election Day is Nov. 3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman leads incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul by 21 percentage points among independent voters \u2014&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":368867,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1626,426,57,9,11,10,49,51,50,13895,7782,58,16670],"class_list":["post-368866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-bruce-blakeman","tag-kathy-hochul","tag-metro","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-headlines","tag-new-york-news","tag-new-york-state","tag-new-york-state-headlines","tag-new-york-state-news","tag-ny-governor-election-2026","tag-polls","tag-us-news","tag-voters"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=368866"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368866\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/368867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=368866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=368866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=368866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}