{"id":3998,"date":"2025-10-15T21:00:16","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T21:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/3998\/"},"modified":"2025-10-15T21:00:16","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T21:00:16","slug":"betting-odds-for-mamdani-cuomo-sliwa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/3998\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting odds for Mamdani, Cuomo, Sliwa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The Brief<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Zohran Mamdani leads the New York City mayoral race in both the polls and betting markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Betting odds heavily favor Mamdani, with most markets giving him over an 85% chance to win.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">However, a recent poll suggests Andrew Cuomo has gained support since Mayor Adams dropped out of the race.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">NEW YORK CITY &#8211; Election Day is just three weeks away, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/tag\/politics\/nyc-mayor-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:New York City mayoral race;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">New York City mayoral race<\/a> is coming down to the wire between Queens assemblymember Zohran Mamdani, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-lg\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/fc590dad9e6f04e0aa0be093b60a08e9.jpeg\"\/>Betting odds for New York City mayor<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">By the numbers<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">While most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/nyc-mayoral-race-latest-polls-after-adams\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:polls;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">polls<\/a> heavily favor Mamdani, what do the betting odds suggest?<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/new-york-city-mayoral-election\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Polymarket;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Polymarket<\/a> has Mamdani at an 88% chance to win the race, followed by Cuomo at 11%. New York City Mayor Eric Adams, who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/eric-adams-nyc-2025-campaign-drops-out-mayors-race\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:abruptly dropped out;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">abruptly dropped out<\/a> of the race last month, is at 1%. Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa resides at under 1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxmayornycparty\/mayor-of-nyc-party-winner\/kxmayornycparty-25\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Kalshi;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Kalshi <\/a>has similar odds, with Mamdani at 87%, Cuomo at 13%, and both Adams and Sliwa under 1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddschecker.com\/us\/politics\/us-politics\/mayoral-elections\/new-york-city-mayoral-election-winner\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Oddschecker;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Oddschecker<\/a> has Mamdani at -1250 to win, which means you&#8217;ll need to wager $1,250 to win $100 \u2013 if Mamdani wins. Cuomo is at +600, which means if you wager $100, and Cuomo wins, you&#8217;d get $600. Sliwa is at +5000.<\/p>\n<p>New poll shows Cuomo gaining momentum<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Dig deeper<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">According to a new <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3935\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Quinnipiac University poll;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Quinnipiac University poll<\/a>, Cuomo has gained momentum since Adams dropped out, reshaping what once looked like a settled race. The poll shows Mamdani leading with 46% of likely voters. Cuomo follows at 33%, and Sliwa trails with 15% support.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">In Quinnipiac\u2019s previous <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3930\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:survey on Sept. 10;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">survey on Sept. 10<\/a>, when Adams was still in the race, Mamdani had 45%, Cuomo 23%, Sliwa 15%, and Adams 12%. The new numbers suggest Cuomo picked up most of Adams\u2019 supporters but still trails Mamdani by double digits, underscoring a race that has shifted on the surface but not in structure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;The numbers changed but the contours of the race haven\u2019t,&#8221; said Mary Snow, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. &#8220;Andrew Cuomo picked up the bulk of Adams\u2019 supporters cutting into Zohran Mamdani\u2019s lead, but Mamdani\u2019s frontrunner status by double digits stays intact.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Brief Zohran Mamdani leads the New York City mayoral race in both the polls and betting markets.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3999,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[80,4235,154,81,9,24,55,54,56,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-3998","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-city","8":"tag-andrew-cuomo","9":"tag-betting-odds","10":"tag-curtis-sliwa","11":"tag-eric-adams","12":"tag-new-york","13":"tag-new-york-city","14":"tag-new-york-city-headlines","15":"tag-new-york-city-news","16":"tag-ny","17":"tag-zohran-mamdani"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3998","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3998"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3998\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3998"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3998"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3998"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}