What about the Philadelphia region?
As of now, the latest model guidance for our region still depicts a glancing blow late Saturday into Sunday afternoon.
Model consensus keeps the center of the storm almost 275 miles southeast of Atlantic City, with the biggest impacts likely to be felt at the shore. Some of those impacts include 40-50 mph wind gusts and tidal flooding, especially with a full moon on Sunday, leading to already high astronomical tides.
What remains unknown is how close the precipitation shield will get to the East Coast. With such a moisture-laden storm, a shift of just 30 to 45 miles could significantly change snowfall totals.
How much snow?
As it stands now, a blend of the GFS and Euro models shows about a 40-60% chance of 3 inches or more of snow for the Delaware beaches and the Jersey Shore. That number drops to near 20% for the I-95 corridor, suggesting a 3-inch snowfall is not likely for Philadelphia at this point and the city could even remain dry.
Nor’easters along the East Coast get their name because the winds over coastal areas typically come from the northeast. These storms may occur any time of year, but are most frequent and most powerful between September and April.