The Indianapolis Colts (7-1) and Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) meet in Week 9. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Colts are 3-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread (Colts -3); the game total is set at 50.5 points. Indianapolis is a -170 favorite to win on the moneyline; Pittsburgh is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Colts vs Steelers prediction for Sunday, November 2.
Colts vs Steelers pick: Steelers +3.5 (-120)
My Colts vs Steelers best bet is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Colts vs Steelers Odds
Sunday, Nov. 2
1 p.m. ET
CBS
Colts OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline
-3
-120
50.5
-110o / -110u
-170
Steelers OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline
+3
+100
50.5
-110o / -110u
+145
Colts vs Steelers Week 9 Preview
The Colts are an offensive juggernaut. Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, and the offensive line have been near perfect this season.
However, the price here is just too expensive.
The Steelers might not be flashy, but they match up well against Indianapolis structurally. The Steelers utilize multiple tight ends on over 50% of their snaps — the Colts are the second-worst team in the league at defending tight ends.
Add in some injuries to Colts corners on the outside, and Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers passing attack should have plenty of opportunities.
The Colts have been living indoors this season as seven of their eight games have been in a dome, either at Lucas Oil Stadium or SoFi Stadium. This is basically their first true outdoor test of the season.
That, combined with the Steelers’ ability to run the ball to methodically move the chains, should provide them with a path to stay in the game. They can keep the Colts offense on the sidelines, exploit matchup advantages and even lean on special teams for an edge.
Also, as good as the Colts have been, they haven’t had the toughest schedule.
The Colts have faced the Titans twice, the Dolphins, the Raiders, the Cardinals (which was a shootout at home) — I think the Steelers can keep up.
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Colts vs Steelers Prediction, Betting Analysis
This game sets up as a classic Mike Tomlin spot.
Tomlin has been historically profitable as an underdog of 3+ points – covering the spread more than 65% of the time, and often by significant margins.
Even against winning teams at home, Tomlin has been nearly unbeatable in this type of situation.
The Colts are going to score points in this game — there’s no doubt about that. However, this line is inflated.
The Colts defense is shaky. Meanwhile, the Steelers have the right matchup, injuries to exploit and situational history to suggest they can keep this game close.
Getting the Steelers at +3.5 feels like a gift here.
Pick: Steelers +3.5 (-120)
Spread
My Steelers vs Colts betting prediction is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread at +3.5.
Moneyline
I’m not betting either side of the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no play on the over/under.
Colts vs Steelers Betting TrendsColts vs Steelers Weather
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