On September 23, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co ERIE shares fell 3.7% to a current price of $225.77. The stock has experienced a challenging year, trading within a 52-week range of $204.63 to $330.54. The recent downturn highlights a significant decline in share value, with the stock down 27.3% over the past year.
GF Value™ verdict: Current price of $225.77 is 40.0% below the GF Value™ estimate of $376.16.GF Score™ is 66/100, indicating an above-average rating in terms of overall investment quality.Most notable signal: Over the past 12 months, insiders have significantly bought $1.3 million more in shares than they have sold.Is ERIE Overvalued or Undervalued?
According to the GF Value™, Erie Indemnity Co is currently undervalued, with a significant margin of safety of 40.0% when comparing the current price of $225.77 to the fair value estimate of $376.16. The GF Value™ serves as GuruFocus’ proprietary intrinsic value estimate, which is based on historical trading multiples, past business growth, and projections for future performance. This substantial difference suggests that ERIE shares may present an attractive opportunity for value-oriented investors.
However, while the GF Value™ indicates that the stock is undervalued, it’s essential to consider the potential risks associated with this assessment. The company’s performance in the market has been volatile, as demonstrated by its declining stock price over the past year. Investors should take into account the broader market conditions and the company’s operational performance when evaluating the attractiveness of this investment.
How Does ERIE’s Valuation Compare to Its History?MetricCurrentHistoricalP/E (TTM)20.6×35.7xForward P/E17.6xN/A
Currently, ERIE’s P/E (TTM) of 20.6x is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 35.7x, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount relative to its historical valuation. This analysis aligns with the GF Value™ assessment of the stock being significantly undervalued, reinforcing the notion that there may be considerable upside potential for investors considering ERIE.
What Does ERIE’s GF Score™ Tell Us?
The GF Score™ evaluates a company’s overall investment quality based on various factors, including financial strength, profitability, growth potential, valuation, and momentum. Erie Indemnity Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting an above-average rating. Its strongest sub-rank is in financial strength, rated at 9/10, while the weakest area is in momentum, rated at 2/10.
MetricRatingGF Score™66/100Financial Strength9/10Profitability7/10Growth4/10Valuation4/10Momentum2/10
The strong financial strength rating suggests that ERIE is well-positioned to withstand economic challenges, which can provide a level of assurance regarding the sustainability of its dividends. However, the low momentum score indicates potential weaknesses in recent performance trends, which may impact investor sentiment.
What Are Gurus and Insiders Doing with ERIE?
Currently, 4 gurus hold shares of Erie Indemnity Co, with 2 adding to their positions and 4 trimming their holdings in recent quarters. This mixed activity among gurus reflects varying levels of confidence in the stock’s future performance.
In addition, insider activity has been notably positive, with insiders purchasing $1.4 million worth of shares and only selling $0.1 million over the past year, resulting in a net buying of $1.3 million. This trend of insider buying can be interpreted as a strong vote of confidence in the company’s future prospects and suggests that insiders believe the stock is undervalued at its current price.
What This Means for Investors
Considering the current GF Value™ assessment, Erie Indemnity Co appears to be significantly undervalued, presenting a potential opportunity for investors seeking value in a dividend stock. The company’s strong financial health and positive insider activity further support the attractiveness of this investment. However, potential investors should remain cautious of the stock’s recent performance trends and the overall market conditions. For further insights, visit the Erie Indemnity Co ERIE stock page and explore more on the GF Value™ page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is ERIE’s GF Score™?
ERIE’s GF Score™ is 66/100, indicating above-average investment quality based on various performance metrics.
Is ERIE overvalued or undervalued?
ERIE is classified as undervalued, with a GF Value™ of $376.16 compared to its current price of $225.77.
What is ERIE’s P/E ratio?
ERIE’s P/E (TTM) is 20.6x, which is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 35.7x, suggesting it is trading at a discount compared to its historical valuations.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].