(WHTM) – Republican Congressman Scott Perry and Democrat Janelle Stelson are tied in a new poll released just over a week before a pivotal general election rematch.
The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll released on Oct. 25 showed Perry and Stelson tied at 48% among likely voters in Pennsylvania’s 10th District.
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Recent polls conducted by Franklin & Marshall College and Susquehanna Polling and Research both had Stelson leading Perry by three points. Both surveys were conducted before the race’s lone debate, which was hosted by abc27 on Oct. 14.
The newest poll, conducted from Oct. 16-22, showed Stelson and Perry with identical overall favorable ratings of 45%. Perry’s unfavorable rating was 45% compared to Stelson’s 41%.
Despite a deluge of ads hitting voters in the final weeks of the campaign, the poll also found most voters had already made up their minds, with 56% saying they knew who they’d support before September. Twenty-one percent said they decided in October, and two percent said they had not yet decided.
There’s also a notable gap in cross-party voting; 12% of registered Republicans surveyed said they’ll support Stelson, while 6% of registered Democrats said they’ll vote for Perry.
Geographically, Stelson’s largest base of support was among Cumberland County voters (53%), while Perry’s was in his home York County (56%). Stelson also led in Dauphin County with 51%.
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The top issue for voters in the district is the economy at 20%, followed by inflation/cost of living at 12%. Immigration, control of Congress/support for a party, healthcare, and the state of democracy/corruption rounded out the top five.
The poll also found a majority of 10th District residents disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance, with 56% saying they somewhat or strongly disapprove. Sixty-one percent said they disapproved of how the president is handling the economy.
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The 10th District race could be the closest congressional campaign in Pennsylvania this year. The Times/Inquirer/Siena poll found Democrats leading Republican incumbents in the 1st, 7th, and 8th Congressional Districts.
Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (D) leads Congressman Rob Bresnahan by five points in the 8th District poll, 51% to 46%. Firefighter union leader Bob Brooks (D) also leads Congressman Ryan Mackenzie by five points in the Lehigh Valley region, 49% to 44%.
Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie (D) leads Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick by two points (48% to 46%) in the 1st District, which covers all of Bucks County and part of Montgomery County.
As of 8 a.m. on Oct. 23, the Pennsylvania Department of State has reported 771,806 absentee or mail ballots being returned to county boards of election. That’s more than 61% of all approved absentee and mail ballots distributed.
Election Day is Nov. 3, 2026. Pennsylvania voters had until Oct. 19 to register to vote and Oct. 27 to request a mail-in or absentee ballot. Polling places are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m., barring a judicial order.
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