A financial presentation slide titled 'ERIE INDEMNITY (ERIE): DIVIDEND SAFETY ANALYSIS' with the Erie Indemnity logo. The slide is divided into three columns: 'DIVIDEND METRICS & CONTEXT' showing Annual Dividend ($5.46/share), Dividend Yield (1.89%), Most Recent Increase (7.1% Dec 2025), Consecutive Increases (10+ Years), and Stock Price (-30% in 2025) with a downward arrow. The middle column, 'PAYOUT & CASH FLOW COVERAGE', features two bar charts: Earnings Payout Ratio (TTM) at 44% (below 60% healthy threshold) and FCF Payout Ratio (2024) at 49% (with Operating Cash Flow Coverage 2.6x). The right column, 'FINANCIAL STRENGTH & CONCLUSION', lists Debt-to-Equity (0% Zero Debt), Cash on Hand ($569M), Total Investments ($1.20B), Policyholder Surplus ($9.6B), and concludes with 'DIVIDEND SAFETY RATING: VERY SAFE'. The background shows a blurry corporate meeting room with chairs and a table.

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Quick Read

Erie Indemnity raised its dividend 7.1% to $5.46 annually despite the stock falling nearly 30% in 2025.

The company carries zero debt and generated $486M in free cash flow in 2024 against $238M in dividends paid.

Erie Insurance Exchange maintains a $9.6B policyholder surplus and kept the 25% management fee rate for 2026.

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Erie Indemnity (NASDAQ:ERIE) operates as the management company for Erie Insurance Exchange, one of the nation’s largest property and casualty insurers. The company just raised its dividend 7.1% despite the stock falling nearly 30% in 2025. Can Erie Indemnity afford to keep paying shareholders? I think so, and here’s why:

Metric

Value

Annual Dividend

$5.46 per share

Dividend Yield

1.89%

Consecutive Years of Increases

10+ years

Most Recent Increase

7.1% (December 2025)

5-Year Dividend CAGR

7.1%

The dividend stands at $1.4625 per quarter, payable January 21, 2026.

The Payout Ratios Look Comfortable

Erie Indemnity paid $5.46 per share in dividends over the trailing twelve months against earnings of $12.39 per share. That’s a 44% earnings payout ratio, well below the 60% threshold I consider healthy. In Q3, the company paid $63.6 million in dividends against net income of $183 million, a 35% payout ratio.

Metric

TTM Value

Assessment

Earnings Payout Ratio

44%

Healthy

FCF Payout Ratio (2024)

49%

Healthy

Operating Cash Flow Coverage

2.6x (2024)

Strong

The free cash flow picture is equally solid. In 2024, Erie generated $611.3 million in operating cash flow and spent $124.8 million on capex, leaving $486.4 million in free cash flow. Against $237.5 million in dividends paid, that’s a 49% FCF payout ratio. Operating cash flow covered dividends 2.6 times.

The cash flow payout ratio improved from 80% in 2020 to 39% in 2024. The business generates more cash relative to its dividend obligation.

Zero Debt and a Fortress Balance Sheet

Erie Indemnity carries no debt. The company has $569 million in cash and $1.20 billion in total investments against $2.31 billion in shareholder equity. With no interest expense, every dollar of operating cash flow is available for dividends, reinvestment, or building reserves.

Metric

Value

Assessment

Debt-to-Equity

0%

Exceptional

Cash on Hand

$569M

Strong Buffer

Total Investments

$1.20B

Ample Liquidity

Policyholder Surplus

$9.6B

Very Strong

The Erie Insurance Exchange maintains $9.6 billion in policyholder surplus, up $300 million in 2025.

Management Remains Committed Despite Challenges

In December 2025, the Board announced it would “maintain the management fee rate charged to Erie Insurance Exchange at 25% for 2026” and approved a “7.1% increase in the regular quarterly cash dividend.” The board stated “this decision reflects an ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and consideration of the financial standing of both entities.”

That 25% management fee is Erie Indemnity’s primary revenue source. The board’s decision to maintain it for 2026 provides revenue stability.

The Exchange faced headwinds with its combined ratio hitting 100.6% in Q3, though that improved from 113.7% a year earlier. Management implemented rate increases and launched ErieSecure Auto in Ohio in August 2025 with expansion to Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Virginia in December.

This Dividend Is Very Safe

Dividend Safety Rating: Very Safe

Erie Indemnity pays out 44% of earnings and 49% of free cash flow, carries zero debt, and sits on over half a billion in cash. The 7.1% dividend increase in December demonstrates management’s confidence despite a difficult year for the stock.

The dividend looks rock solid, though watch for deterioration in the combined ratio or challenges to the 25% management fee.

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