NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Flyers
The Pittsburgh Penguins square off against the Philadelphia Flyers in their season opener at Xfinity Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Wednesday, September 30.
Back Flyers to Beat Penguins
The -143 about the Flyers look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the Penguins can be beaten, so this is our prediction.
Last H2H Saw Flyers Triumph in Overtime
Pittsburgh Penguins continue to lean on their veteran core of Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Kris Letang, while adding Nick Robertson and Trevor van Riemsdyk during the offseason. Philadelphia Flyers strengthened their roster with goaltender Joseph Woll, defenseman Simon Benoit and former Penguin Noel Acciari, while Samuel Ersson and Garnet Hathaway moved on.
Pittsburgh was eliminated from the playoffs following a 1-0 overtime defeat against Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference First Round. The result gave Philadelphia a 4-2 series victory. Pittsburgh goalie Arturs Silovs made 31 saves (.969), while the Penguins were shut out despite registering 42 shots.
Philadelphia’s season ended with a 3-2 overtime home defeat against Carolina Hurricanes at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Second Round. The loss completed a 4-0 series sweep for Carolina. Tyson Foerster and Alex Bump scored for Philadelphia, while goalie Dan Vladar made 37 saves (.925).
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw the Flyers claim a 1-0 win over the Penguins at Xfinity Mobile Arena. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Flyers have won six.
Starting Goalies
Arturs Silovs (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
25/26
21-13-8
3
.891
2
Dan Vladar (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
25/26
33-20-7
2.4
.909
2
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks
This Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.
Game Prediction
We are having a bet on Philadelphia Flyers in this NHL clash and they should have the edge. You can back our pick at odds of -143 on the Moneyline and we think this offers good value.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Penguins vs Flyers stats:
Flyers have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.Flyers have won 11 of their last 20 games.Penguins have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.Penguins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.Flyers have won 6 of their last 10 games against Penguins.Flyers Moneyline Probability
According to the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 58.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
Those who are looking for more value when backing Philadelphia should consider the Puck Line. Place a wager on them to cover the spread that makes the most appeal at the odds.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Our Game Prediction
Flyers Moneyline @ -143
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 29, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:56, 29 September 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Giving Flyers Plenty of Respect
The Philadelphia Flyers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -143 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 59% chance of winning. The market suggests that Pittsburgh Penguins are least likely to win at +118.
1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +114.
If you’re looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Pittsburgh Penguins Stats
Philadelphia Flyers Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.60 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 4.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.10 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 24.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 11.8
Blocks: 15.6
Faceoff Wins : 26.9
Hits: 25.2
Giveaways: 16.3
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 30.1
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 7.3
Blocks: 13.2
Faceoff Wins : 26.5
Hits: 19.7
Giveaways: 16
Takeaways: 5.6
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 24.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 7
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 19
Blocks: 11.7
Faceoff Wins : 30.7
Hits: 42.5
Giveaways: 16.2
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 27
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 11.8
Blocks: 11.3
Faceoff Wins : 29.2
Hits: 33.4
Giveaways: 15.6
Takeaways: 4.9
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Prediction Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Sep 30, 01:21 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts, supported by proprietary internal models, advanced performance metrics and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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