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<\/p>\nF&M poll shows Shapiro ahead as Pennsylvania voters grow more negative on economy, Trump<\/p>\n
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tAND BEYOND COMING UP IN MY TEN DAY FORECAST. THANKS, CHRISTINE. NEW. THIS MORNING WE HAVE THE RESULTS OF THE LATEST FRANKLIN AND MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL, WHICH WERE RELEASED JUST THIS MORNING. SO WE\u2019RE GETTING A LOOK AT THESE NUMBERS. POLITICAL ANALYST BERNARD YOST FROM FRANKLIN AND MARSHALL COLLEGE JOINING US LIVE TO BREAK DOWN THESE RESULTS. YOU HELPED ENGINEER THIS POLL. SO YOU\u2019RE JUST THE PERSON TO TALK TO ABOUT THESE NUMBERS. AND WE\u2019RE SEEING SOME SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THESE RESPONSES, WHICH IS NOT TOO TYPICAL, JUST IN A MATTER OF MONTHS. HOW QUICKLY A SENTIMENT HAS CHANGED. LET\u2019S TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMY. THAT WAS THE TOP ISSUE THAT VOTERS SAID THEY\u2019RE FACING RIGHT NOW. AND WHEN IT COMES TO IF YOU THINK THAT YOUR FAMILY IS FINANCIALLY DOING BETTER OR WORSE THAN YOU WERE A YEAR AGO, YOU SEE HERE BETTER OFF, ONLY 14%, WORSE OFF, 47%. THESE NUMBERS CHANGED EVEN A BIT SINCE YOU ASKED THIS QUESTION IN MARCH, WITH MORE PEOPLE SAYING THEY\u2019RE WORSE OFF. YEAH, THIS THIS IS A KEY INDICATOR THAT WE TRACK YEAR AFTER YEAR. AND IT ALSO TELLS US IT OFTEN TELLS US HOW SATISFIED PEOPLE ARE WITH THE INCUMBENT ADMINISTRATION AND HOW PEOPLE ARE CERTAINLY HOW THEY\u2019RE FEELING ABOUT THEIR FINANCES. IT\u2019S A KEY INDICATOR. IT HAS MOVED A LOT, AND LARGELY BECAUSE I THINK RESPONSES TO INFLATION. PEOPLE ALSO TELL US THAT THE ECONOMY IS THE BIGGEST PROBLEM CONFRONTING THEM TODAY, RISING PRICES, HOUSING PRICES, GAS PRICES, ALL OF THAT FACTORS IN. AND THIS IS OFTEN A PARTIZAN QUESTION, MATT, MEANING THAT REPUBLICANS FEEL BETTER THAN DEMOCRATS WHEN REPUBLICANS HOLDING THE WHITE HOUSE. BUT WE\u2019VE EVEN SEEN SLIP SLIPPAGE AMONG REPUBLICANS WHO ARE NOW MORE LIKELY TO SAY THEY\u2019RE WORSE OFF FINANCIALLY THAN BETTER OFF. THAT WASN\u2019T TRUE IN MARCH, IN MY LAST POLL. THESE NUMBERS ARE ROUGHLY WHERE THEY WERE RIGHT BEFORE THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN 2024. SO WE\u2019RE KIND OF RIGHT BACK TO THAT FEELING. WE ARE. AND I MEAN, I\u2019VE SORT OF REFLECTS THE STASIS WE\u2019RE IN. I MEAN, EVERYONE\u2019S LOOKING FOR SOLUTIONS, BUT MOST PEOPLE FEEL THAT OUR GOVERNMENT ISN\u2019T DELIVERING THOSE SOLUTIONS. AND THIS IS AN EXAMPLE OF THAT. AND NO DOUBT THESE NUMBERS ARE DRAGGING PRESIDENT TRUMP\u2019S APPROVAL IN PENNSYLVANIA. AND THIS WAS THE ISSUE THAT GOT HIM TO WIN PENNSYLVANIA. ACCORDING TO MOST POLLS IN THAT ELECTION. SO LET\u2019S TAKE A LOOK AT WHERE WE ARE HERE. THE MAJORITY OF VOTERS IN THIS POLL, 71%, THINK HE\u2019S DOING A FAIR OR POOR JOB. HIS NUMBERS ON THE ECONOMY AND INFLATION ARE EVEN LOWER THAN THEY\u2019VE ALL DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY. WE DON\u2019T USUALLY SEE THE KIND OF MOVEMENT THIS QUICKLY IN THESE KINDS OF INDICATORS. NORMALLY THERE\u2019S A SLOW TREND OVER TIME. WE\u2019VE HAD A LOT OF CHANGE HERE. IT\u2019S LARGELY BECAUSE OF WHAT HAPPENED IN IRAN AND THE AND THE CONSEQUENCES OF THAT, PARTICULARLY AROUND THE ECONOMY. THE PROBLEM FOR THE PRESIDENT HERE IS THAT WHEN YOUR NUMBERS ARE THIS LOW, YOU\u2019RE STARTING TO LOSE YOUR OWN SUPPORTERS. SO IN OUR MARCH POLL, WHEN HIS NUMBERS WERE ABOUT TEN POINTS HIGHER, IT WAS ABOUT 80% OF REPUBLICANS SAID HE WAS DOING AN EXCELLENT OR GOOD JOB, ABOUT 60%. SO HE\u2019S NOT JUST LOSING SUPPORT BROADLY, HE\u2019S ALSO SEEING SOME EROSION WITHIN HIS OWN BASE. AND WE\u2019RE SEEING THE EXTREMES CHANGE TO THAT EXCELLENT NUMBER, WHICH WOULD BE HIS MOST FERVENT SUPPORTERS. THAT EXCELLENT NUMBER CAME DOWN JUST SINCE MARCH, AND THE POOR NUMBER, WHICH IS THE LOWEST, WENT UP. AND HE\u2019S BEEN A POLARIZING FIGURE SINCE THE START, BUT EVEN MORE SO NOW. SURE. SO THAT\u2019S HOW PRESIDENT TRUMP IS BEING AFFECTED BY THE ECONOMY. LET\u2019S LOOK AT GOVERNOR SHAPIRO\u2019S VIEW HERE, BECAUSE IT IS MUCH DIFFERENT. IT DOESN\u2019T APPEAR THAT THE ECONOMY IS DRAGGING SHAPIRO\u2019S APPROVAL AT ALL. IT\u2019S SPLIT 48%, 48%, AND THIS IS ROUGHLY WHERE HE\u2019S BEEN IN HIS ENTIRE TIME IN OFFICE. YEAH, HIS NUMBERS ARE REALLY SOLID. HE\u2019S AS POPULAR A SECOND TERM OR FIRST TERM INCUMBENT AS WE\u2019VE HAD IN THIS STATE. YOU KNOW, HE DOESN\u2019T GET THE BLAME FOR WHAT\u2019S HAPPENING IN THE ECONOMY. WHEN WE ASK PEOPLE ABOUT THE ECONOMY AND AND THAT BEING THE BIGGEST PROBLEM AND WHO CAN FIX IT? PEOPLE THINK DEMOCRATS CAN FIX IT. THEY THINK IT\u2019S THEIR TURN NOW. AND SO NONE OF THIS NEGATIVE. AND THERE\u2019S A LOT OF NEGATIVE SENTIMENT IN THIS POLL. NONE OF THAT REALLY CARRIES OVER TO THE TO THE GOVERNOR. AND HE\u2019LL BE ON THE BALLOT IN NOVEMBER. WE CAN LOOK AGAIN AT THIS IS THE NEW RESULTS IN OUR IN OUR NEXT SLIDE HERE, SHOWING YOU THE HEAD TO HEAD. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY, WHO THE PEOPLE WOULD SUPPORT IN PENNSYLVANIA, 50% RIGHT NOW FOR SHAPIRO, 28% FOR GARRITY, HIS REPUBLICAN CHALLENGER. GARRITY\u2019S NUMBERS HAVE NOT CHANGED AT ALL SINCE MARCH. SHAPIRO ACTUALLY WENT UP A LITTLE BIT, A LITTLE BIT. THIS NUMBER TO ME AND THIS RACE TO ME, REALLY HASN\u2019T GOTTEN STARTED YET. THESE NUMBERS HAVE STAYED PRETTY CONSISTENT SINCE WE STARTED ASKING ABOUT IT. BUT IF STACY GARRITY IS GOING TO HAVE A CHANCE, SHE\u2019S GOING TO HAVE TO START CHANGING THESE NUMBERS. I THINK THAT STARTS WITH BECOMING BETTER KNOWN SO THAT MORE PENNSYLVANIA VOTERS ACTUALLY KNOW WHO SHE IS AND WHAT SHE STANDS FOR, BUT HE\u2019S IN A REALLY GOOD POSITION, IN PART BECAUSE HIS PARTY ISN\u2019T IN CONTROL OF THE WHITE HOUSE. THAT\u2019S OFTEN A BENEFIT FOR GOVERNORS, AND ALSO MANY OF THE STRUCTURAL THINGS THAT WE\u2019VE SEEN IN THIS POLL, INCLUDING CONCERNS ABOUT THE ECONOMY, ETC., ETC., THAT MANY REPUBLICANS ARE GOING TO HAVE TO DEAL WITH BECAUSE PRESIDENT TRUMP IS IN POWER. SURE, ONE NONPOLITICAL QUESTION TO SHOW YOU FROM THE POLL, THIS WAS INTERESTING BECAUSE THIS IS BEING DISCUSSED IN THE STATE CAPITOL RIGHT NOW. WHEN IT COMES TO CELL PHONE USE IN SCHOOLS. THE QUESTION WAS ASKED, SHOULD STUDENTS HAVE ACCESS TO THEIR PHONES WHILE THEY\u2019RE IN SCHOOL, OR SHOULD SCHOOLS BE ABLE TO LIMIT THAT ACCESS TO PHONES? LOOK AT THAT. YOU RARELY SEE AN ISSUE WHERE 89% OF PEOPLE AGREE ON IT, AND THEY WANT SCHOOLS TO BE ABLE TO TO LIMIT PHONE USE. AS YOU CAN SEE, IT\u2019S HUGELY POPULAR. I DON\u2019T KNOW HOW OFTEN WE GET THINGS WITH 90% SUPPORT, BUT MOST PEOPLE THINK THIS IS A GOOD IDEA AND WE\u2019LL SEE. IT\u2019S BEING DISCUSSED AT THE STATE CAPITOL. YOU KNOW, MAYBE IT\u2019S TIED TO THE TO THE STATE BUDGET. WE\u2019RE NOT SURE. BUT OVERWHELMING SUPPORT FROM FROM VOTERS IN PENNSYLVANIA, ACTUALLY, THAT\u2019S AN IMPORTANT POINT. WE ASKED A NUMBER OF OF ISSUE QUESTIONS IN THE POLL. THERE\u2019S A LOT MORE SUPPORT ON CERTAIN ISSUES THAN THAN YOU WOULD THINK. WE\u2019RE OFTEN WE OFTEN TALK ABOUT ALL THE DIVISIVENESS IN OUR POLITICS. WE\u2019VE. WE\u2019VE GOT EVIDENCE THAT THERE\u2019S A LOT OF THINGS THAT MANY PEOPLE SUPPORT. THIS IS ONE OF THEM. OKAY. AND YOU CAN SEE THE REST. WE HAVE THE FULL POLL RESULTS ON OUR WEBSITE, WGAL.COM, SO YOU CAN REALLY GET INTO IT TO SEE HOW SENTIMENT\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n
F&M poll shows Shapiro ahead as Pennsylvania voters grow more negative on economy, Trump<\/p>\n
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\n\t\t\tUpdated: 11:19 AM EDT Jun 18, 2026\n\t\t<\/p>\n