{"id":228692,"date":"2026-06-26T11:15:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T11:15:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/228692\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T11:15:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T11:15:36","slug":"would-could-super-el-nino-mean-for-eastern-pennsylvania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/228692\/","title":{"rendered":"Would could \u2018Super El Nino\u2019 mean for eastern Pennsylvania"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Warming in the Pacific Ocean has already brought El Ni\u00f1o back to our lives. What\u2019s yet to be determined is exactly how strong the warming will get and whether whispers of a \u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d will turn into a reality, bringing potentially intense global weather to bear this summer and fall.<\/p>\n<p>To be clear, Super El Ni\u00f1o is not a term all meteorologists use. The official scientific scale that measures how intense a warming cycle is, is weak, moderate, strong or very strong. What is potentially on the horizon is a very strong El Ni\u00f1o, one that could reach levels not seen since the 2015-16 season.<\/p>\n<p>Defining an El Ni\u00f1o is fairly straightforward \u2014 it means the water in a particular section of the Pacific Ocean has heated up. Once scientists identify that the water has warmed to El Ni\u00f1o level, the question becomes how long the warming cycle will last (typically nine to 12 months) and how intense it will get.<\/p>\n<p>And when meteorologists start talking about historic warming in the Pacific Ocean, the world pays attention. What starts in the Pacific ripples outward.<\/p>\n<p>Across the United States, effects vary. Strong El Ni\u00f1o cycles in the past have led to extreme drought in the Great Plains, while parts of the South saw much higher precipitation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEl Ni\u00f1o events in 1965-66, 1982-83 and 1997-98 are three of the strongest events in recorded history defined as \u2018Super El Ni\u00f1os.\u2019 Following those events, especially dry conditions led to, or exacerbated drought across many areas of the Plains,\u201d AccuWeather said in a Tuesday news release that warned of a potential \u201cmini-Dust Bowl\u201d scenario.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn some cases, those conditions remained for years, even after the El Ni\u00f1o ended. AccuWeather experts believe there is a 70% chance the current El Ni\u00f1o could become a Super El Ni\u00f1o later in 2026,\u201d the news release said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/news\/media-centre\/wmo-prepare-el-nino\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">An El Ni\u00f1o also shifts global weather patterns<\/a>. Typically the warmer water fuels Pacific Ocean hurricanes while dampening the Atlantic hurricane season. Extreme drought conditions have been seen in areas such as the Sahel in northern Africa, southern Africa, Oceania, India and Central America.<\/p>\n<p>What would a Super El Ni\u00f1o look like for eastern Pennsylvania? Here\u2019s a look at what experienced forecasters think we could be in for:<\/p>\n<p>Bring an umbrella to the beach<\/p>\n<p>Both Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill and Rich Woolley, a forecaster for Weather Trends International, say the most notable weather trend for our region  this summer might be more rainy days at the shore, especially later in the summer.<\/p>\n<p>Many mid-Atlantic coastal areas popular with area vacationers are suffering from significant droughts, especially in the Delmarva beach areas, Merrill said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat we expect this summer is that the rainfall will start to pick up, especially during the second half of the summer, and we\u2019ll likely have above-average rainfall,\u201d Merrill said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe first part of the summer season for vacationers going to the Delmarva, there\u2019s going to be pockets of rain, but that will be followed by an extended period of dry weather. And then, as we get into late July into August, there will likely be more days of rain and fewer days of dry weather.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Slightly dampened summer heat<\/p>\n<p>Although Woolley said he expects to see summer temperatures below average, he acknowledged that the starting point for \u201caverage temperatures\u201d locally has risen as climate change has moved the goal posts on what is considered a normal starting point.<\/p>\n<p>That means we likely won\u2019t see the intense, sustained highs we saw last summer, but that also means we\u2019re not necessarily in for \u201ccool\u201d weather.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt may not be cooler than average, may still be above average, but not like what we\u2019ve seen the last couple years where they\u2019re just hot \u2014 so, just boiling hot,\u201d Woolley said.<\/p>\n<p>The pattern we\u2019ve seen in the early summer \u201cis telling us a tale,\u201d Woolley said, explaining he believes the area will continue to see cooler weeks interspersed with \u201ca pop of heat\u201d that lasts for two or three days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Warming in the Pacific Ocean has already brought El Ni\u00f1o back to our lives. What\u2019s yet to be&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":228693,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[119,121,120,182,139,432,1133],"class_list":["post-228692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-allentown","tag-allentown","tag-allentown-headlines","tag-allentown-news","tag-local-news","tag-news","tag-top-stories-tmc","tag-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228692\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/228693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}