Three of those moves involved Pennsylvania races:<\/p>\n
PA-01. Brian Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Bob Harvie (D) moves from Likely R to Lean R.<\/p>\n
PA-07. Ryan Mackenzie (R) vs. Bob Brooks (D) moves from Toss Up to Lean D.<\/p>\n
PA-10. Scott Perry (R) vs. Janelle Stelson (D) moves from Toss Up to Lean D.<\/p>\n
The other hotly-contested Keystone State congressional race remained in the Toss Up category in PA-08 between Rob Bresnahan (R) and Paige Cognetti (D).<\/p>\n
As CPR views the overall race for control of the U.S. House, it sees 185 as Solid Democrat and 174 as Solid Republican; 16 as Likely Democrat and 18 as Likely Republican; 12 as Lean Democrat and 9 as Lean Republican; and 21 as Toss Ups.<\/p>\n
Putting the likelys and the leaners in their respective camps, Democrats have a 213-201 advantage and would need to win just five of the Toss Up contests to take majority control of the chamber.<\/p>\n
\u201cWith these new moves, we\u2019re also adjusting our range: the most likely outcome is now that Democrats will pick up nine to 19 seats,\u201d wrote Covey. \u201cThat would give them 224 seats on the lower end and 234 on the upper end. At this point, Democrats only need to win 20% of the Toss Ups to get to a majority, assuming the seats that favor Democrats in our ratings<\/a> all break their way.<\/p>\n \u201cHouse races are won in the districts, one by one, with battle-tested candidates and messages that work,\u201d NRCC spokesman Mike Marinella said in a statement. \u201cPundits in D.C. can keep guessing, but voters on the ground have a clear contrast between common sense and crazy,\u201d he said, adding that \u201cin November, we\u2019re going to win.\u201d<\/p>\n