{"id":314377,"date":"2026-10-26T07:39:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T07:39:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/314377\/"},"modified":"2026-10-26T07:39:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T07:39:09","slug":"pennsylvania-governor-race-2026-shapiro-vs-garrity-multistate-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/314377\/","title":{"rendered":"Pennsylvania Governor Race 2026: Shapiro vs. Garrity \u2014 MultiState Elections"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026 governor races<\/a> \u203a Pennsylvania<\/p>\n

General election November 3, 2026 \u00b7 Updated October 19, 2026<\/p>\n

Solid DIncumbent: Josh Shapiro (D)<\/p>\n

Analysis<\/p>\n

Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) is a heavy favorite for a second term. A Quinnipiac poll of likely voters (Oct. 1 to 5) put his job approval at 63 percent<\/a> and had him leading 59 to 34, with independents backing him 62 to 23. His opponent, state Treasurer Stacy Garrity (R), is a retired Army Reserve colonel<\/a> who has centered her message on natural gas drilling (“unleash the liquid fuel that we have at our feet”) and on casting Shapiro as a careerist. At their only debate, the two split on taxing skill games<\/a>, the slot-style gaming machines: Shapiro backs a 52 percent tax matching the rate on slots, while Garrity favors a $500 monthly fee per machine. Garrity also faulted Shapiro for never delivering the $250 gas-tax rebate he promised in 2022. Ken Krawchuk (L) is also on the ballot but was not invited to the debate. Shapiro also has a large money edge, with $19.8 million on hand<\/a> in mid-September to just over $1.3 million for Garrity. The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Pluribus News all rate the race Solid Democratic, so the open question is the size of his margin.<\/p>\n

The rating is MultiState’s consensus, the average of the
\n Cook Political Report<\/a>,
\n Sabato’s Crystal Ball<\/a>
\n and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.<\/p>\n

Pennsylvania governors since 1991<\/p>\n

Democrats have held the office since 2015. The last Republican was Tom Corbett (2011\u20132015).<\/p>\n

19911995200020052010201520202025<\/p>\n

Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner’s lead over the runner-up, in points.<\/p>\n

Elected 2014 (+9.8), reelected 2018 (+17.1)<\/p>\n

Elected 2010 (+9.0), lost reelection 2014<\/p>\n

Elected 2002 (+9.0), reelected 2006 (+20.7)<\/p>\n

Elected 1994 (+5.5), reelected 1998 (+26.4), resigned 2001<\/p>\n

Elected 1986 (+2.3), reelected 1990 (+35.3)<\/p>\n

See the full Pennsylvania governor timeline and every election since 1954 \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"2026 governor races \u203a Pennsylvania General election November 3, 2026 \u00b7 Updated October 19, 2026 Solid DIncumbent: Josh…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":314378,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[28,30,29],"class_list":["post-314377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-pennsylvania","tag-pennsylvania","tag-pennsylvania-headlines","tag-pennsylvania-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=314377"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314377\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/314378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=314377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=314377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=314377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}