The prediction season continues to shift into high gear as we enter the final days until the 2026 midterm election.<\/p>\n
Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball<\/a>, a comprehensive, nonpartisan political analysis and handicapping newsletter from the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, chimed in today and moved two critical Pennsylvania congressional races to the left.<\/p>\n The closely-watched 1st Congressional District contest between Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-01) and Bucks County commissioner Bob Harvie is now a toss-up according to the group. <\/p>\n And the 8th Congressional District race between Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R-08) and mayor of Scranton Paige Cognetti shifts from toss-up to leans Democrat.<\/p>\n One of the purplest districts in the country, PA-01 has been shifting left according to pollsters in this cycle.<\/p>\n \u201cThe aforementioned Siena Pennsylvania polling had Fitzpatrick down 2 points, a surprising finding given his electoral resilience,\u201d wrote Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman. \u201cTo reflect the possibility of a Democratic megawave that pushes the party past 235 seats, we are moving several seats from Leans Republican to Toss-up. We may end up pushing many if not all of these races back to Leans Republican in our final ratings, though.\u201d<\/p>\n In the northeastern Pennsylvania (NEPA) race, Cognetti has been riding the wave of unpopularity over President Donald Trump\u2019s policies to her advantage.<\/p>\n \u201cScranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (D) has led Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) by five and four points, respectively, in a pair of recent nonpartisan surveys, one from the Philadelphia Inquirer\/New York Times\/Siena University<\/a> and the other from Emerson College<\/a> for Sean Trende\u2019s new Poll Vault Substack,\u201d the authors wrote.<\/p>\n The \u201cCrystal Ball\u201d now shows Democrats with a 225-193 edge in the chase for the majority with 17 races considered toss-ups.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The prediction season continues to shift into high gear as we enter the final days until the 2026…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":315626,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[28,30,29],"class_list":["post-315625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-pennsylvania","tag-pennsylvania","tag-pennsylvania-headlines","tag-pennsylvania-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=315625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315625\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/315626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=315625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=315625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-pa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=315625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}