Dec. 30, 2025, 6:47 p.m. ET

The Cheez-It Citrus Bowl features the No. 17 Michigan Wolverines (9-3) from the Big Ten and the No. 14 Texas Longhorns (9-3) from the SEC. Kickoff Wednesday from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida, is at 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA football odds around the Michigan vs. Texas odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Wolverines went 7-2 in conference play, winning 5 of their last 6, but ending the regular season with a 27-9 home loss Nov. 29 to the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes as 9-point underdogs with the Under (43) cashing on Nov. 29. They were held to only 163 yards of offense and possessed the ball under 20 minutes of the game.

Michigan’s interim head coach for the game will be Biff Poggi, who is stepping in after Sherrone Moore was fired. Former Utah coch Kyle Whittingham, who was hired as Michigan coach Friday, could be on the sidelines potentially as a spectator getting to know kids though.

The Longhorns also went 7-2 in conference play, finishing fifth in the SEC. They finished the final 7 games going 6-1 and won their final 2, closing the regular season on Nov. 29 with a 27-17 home win over the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies as 2.5-point underdogs with the Under (54.5) cashing. QB Arch Manning threw a touchdown pass and rushed for another.

The teams last met in 2024 with Texas winning 31-12 win as 6.5-point favorites with the Over (42) cashing.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Watch NCAA football on Fubo!Michigan vs. Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:46 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Michigan +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Texas -300 (bet $300 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +7 (-105) | Texas -7 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -102 | U: -118)Michigan vs. Texas picks and predictionsPrediction

Texas 27, Michigan 17

The Wolverines went 0-3 straight up in their 3 games as underdogs in the regular season against 3 ranked opponents (Oklahoma Sooners, USC Trojans, Ohio State). They failed to score more than 13 points in any of those games.

Texas was 8-1 straight up as favorites.

Expect a Texas win, although the -300 odds on the ML make the spread a much better bet.

PASS.

All 3 of Michigan’s losses this season were by double digits.

Texas did go only 4-7-1 ATS this season, but 7 of their 9 wins were by at least 7 points.

BET TEXAS -7 (-115).

The highest total for Michigan’s 3 losses was 44 against Oklahoma. Both teams held opponents to under 20 points per game this season.

Michigan allowed 27.3 points in their 3 losses.

BET UNDER 48.5 (-118).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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