Feb. 5, 2026, 10:10 a.m. ET

The San Antonio Spurs (34-16) and Dallas Mavericks (19-31) meet Thursday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Spurs lead 1-0

San Antonio beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 116-106 Wednesday as a 10-point home favorite, with the Over (221.5) hitting. F Keldon Johnson led the Spurs with 25 points off the bench, while both G De’Aaron Fox and F Victor Wembanyama recorded double-doubles in the win. San Antonio dominated OKC 56-26 in the paint and 63-46 on the glass.

Dallas suffered a 110-100 loss to the Boston Celtics Tuesday, failing to cover as a 7-point home underdog as the Under (223.5) hit. F Cooper Flagg scored 36 points, but no other Maverick finished with more than 13. The Mavs have lost 5 straight games and have been held under 110 points in 3 of their last 4 losses.

The Mavericks traded F Anthony Davis, G D’Angelo Russell, and G Dante Exum to Washington for F Khris Middleton, C Marvin Bagley III, G AJ Johnson, and G Malaki Branham Wednesday. It is unknown whether the new additions will suit up for this matchup.

The Spurs embarrassed the Mavericks Oct. 22, handing Dallas a 125-92 loss while covering as 3.5-point road underdogs as the Under (224.5) hit. Wembanyama erupted for 40 points and 15 rebounds as San Antonio dominated on the glass, in the paint and in transition.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Mavericks +225 (bet $100 to win $225)Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -7.5 (-105) | Mavericks +7.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)

G Dylan Harper (ankle) outF Jeremy Sochan (quad) out

Mavericks

C Daniel Gafford (ankle) questionableG Kyrie Irving (knee) outC Dereck Lively II (foot) outF P.J. Washington (concussion) outG Brandon Williams (leg) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction

Spurs 115, Mavericks 106

PASS.

The Spurs are clearly the better team and should have no trouble winning as -275 favorites, but the price is too steep to justify the risk. Look to the spread and/or total instead.

LEAN SPURS -7.5 (-105).

San Antonio has covered in 2 of its last 3 road games, while Dallas has failed to cover in each of its last 3 home games. The Spurs have also covered in their last 2 meetings with the Mavericks.

With so much uncertainty surrounding Dallas’ roster, including who will play and how the new pieces will fit, San Antonio’s chances of covering improve. This remains a lean, however, as the Mavericks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

BET UNDER 228.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 8 of San Antonio’s last 10 games, including all of its last 4 road contests. For Dallas, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 games. This season, the Under has been the safer bet for both teams, sitting at 32-19 for the Spurs and 28-22 for the Mavericks. The Under has also hit in each of the last 2 meetings between these teams in Dallas.

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