LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) – Lubbock and the surrounding areas are currently stuck beneath a ridge of high pressure that’s keeping skies mostly quiet and temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Forecast tonight(KCBD)
Saturday saw highs in the mid to upper 70s and some spots nearing 80s.
Forecast early tomorrow(KCBD)
A cutoff low near Baja Mexico is sending over a weak disturbance Saturday night, and a pulse of moisture above the surface (roughly from about 5,000 to 18,000 feet up).
Tonight, a cutoff low near Baja Mexico is sending over a weak disturbance, and a pulse of moisture above the surface (roughly from about 5,000 to 18,000 feet up).(KCBD)
That’s enough for a chance of isolated sprinkles or very light mainly across the Caprock late Saturday evening. But don’t expect this to be a meaningful event.
Light rain chances tonight(KCBD)
The layer of air near the surface (where we are) is dry which means any rain that falls will struggle to make it through that dry layer and will likely evaporate before it reaches the ground
Lows tonight(KCBD)
Expect temperatures overnight to drop in the mid to upper 40s and a few low 50s.
Sunday will be another exceptionally warm day with highs climbing into the mid to upper 70s.
Highs tomorrow(KCBD)
That cutoff low near Baja will be on the move. As it travels east, it opens up into a wave which could bring additional rain chances Monday and Tuesday.
Rain chances(KCBD)
However, its exact track is up in the air. Some model runs take it farther north and others keep it farther north. This will decide whether we see steadier showers or we’ll stay mostly dry.
At the moment, rain chances are being kept at a minimum.
Monday will also be breezy, with southwest winds pulling even warmer air into the region.
Winds will be breezy on Monday(KCBD)
Warm, dry air can work against rain development, which is another reason those chances next week remain questionable even if showers do develop.
Temperatures will stay above normal through most of next week.
Looking toward late next week and next weekend, ensembles are hinting at a pattern shift that could bring cooler and wetter conditions back into play. But it’s still too far off to nail down any specifics.
Warmth is the confident part of this forecast.
Above average temperatures next week(KCBD)
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