Feb. 21, 2026, 9:52 a.m. ET

The No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-7, 9-4 Big 12) host the Kansas State Wildcats (11-15, 2-11) Saturday afternoon for a 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX) tip from United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

Kansas State snapped a 6-game losing streak on Tuesday with a 90-74 victory over Baylor, covering as a 3.5-point home underdog with the Over (159.5) hitting. G P.J. Haggerty scored a game-high 34 points while G Nate Johnson added 33 in the victory, with the duo combining for 26-of-39 shooting from the floor.

Texas Tech saw its 3-game winning streak ended in a 72-67 loss against Arizona State on Tuesday, failing to cover as a 7.5-point road favorite with the Under (157.5) hitting. F JT Toppin scored a team-high 20 points (before suffering a season-ending torn ACL) while G Christian Anderson (18 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists) packed the stat sheet in the losing effort.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Kansas State at Texas Tech odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Kansas State +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Texas Tech -900 (bet $900 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +12.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -12.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kansas State at Texas Tech picks and predictionsPrediction

Texas Tech 84, Kansas State 67

PASS.

There is no value on the Red Raiders to win at home against a Wildcats team that is just 2-11 in conference play this season.

LEAN TEXAS TECH -12.5 (-110).

While the Red Raiders have played close games in back-to-back contests, they have played well at home this season, going 12-1 in front of their home crowd. Against the Wildcats, the Red Raiders have a great chance to not only get back in the win column but do it in a major way. Texas Tech has won 3 of its last 5 home games by 13 or more points.

The Wildcats have dropped 3 of their last 5 games by at least 14 points, including once by 29 and another by 34. They have not played well on the road this season, sporting a 1-7 record.

BET UNDER 157.5 (-110).

The Wildcats have scored 64 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3 and in 5 of their last 7. They have allowed 78 or fewer points in back-to-back games and in 4 of their last 8.

The Red Raiders will not be able to carry the scoring load to the extent that the Wildcats will be lacking, especially with Toppin out. They have scored 78 or fewer points in each of their last 5 games and allowed 75 or fewer in 8 of their last 10.

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