March 1, 2026, 10:52 a.m. ET
The Oklahoma City Thunder (46-15) visit the Dallas Mavericks (21-38) on Sunday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is at 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Thunder lead 2-0
The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 and 6 of their last 8 overall. They last played on Friday, a 127-121 overtime win over the visiting Denver Nuggets as 6.5-point favorites with the Over (234.5) cashing. Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander returned after missing 9 games with an abdominal injury and scored 36 points to go with 9 assists.
The Mavericks have lost 2 in a row and 12 of their last 14. They also played on Friday, losing 124-105 to the visiting Memphis Grizzlies as 5-point favorites with the Under (241.5) cashing. The Mavs never led in the game and trailed by as many as 34.
The two teams last met on Dec. 5 in Oklahoma City. The Thunder beat Dallas 132-111 as 15.5-point favorites. The Over (229.5) cashed, as Gilgeous-Alexander scored 33.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Thunder at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Thunder -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Mavericks +700 (bet $100 to win $700)Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -15.5 (-110) | Mavericks +15.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Thunder at Mavericks key injuries
Thunder
C Branden Carlson (back) outG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal) outC Thomas Sorber (knee) out for seasonG Jalen Williams (hamstring) out
Mavericks
F Marvin Bagley III (neck) outF Cooper Flagg (foot) outG Kyrie Irving (knee) out for seasonC Dereck Lively II (foot) out for seasonF Naji Marshall (finger) questionableF Caleb Martin (back) questionableF P.J. Washington (ankle) doubtful
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 129, Mavericks 111
The first-place Thunder now have the reigning MVP back in the lineup against a team that has lost 12 of 14.
The Thunder are 21-8 on the road this season. Dallas is 14-18 at home but has lost its last 7 home games.
Dallas has allowed 120 or more points in 8 of its last 9 games.
Expect a Thunder win, but -1100 odds are never worth the action. Bet the spread.
PASS.
The Mavs covered the 9-point spread as underdogs in a 7-point loss to the Thunder on Oct. 27. The Thunder won by 21 points in Oklahoma City in their last meeting.
The Mavs have not covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 losses.
The Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 outright wins.
BET THUNDER -15.5 (-110).
The Mavericks have allowed 126.3 points per game over their last 9.
The Over is 4-0 in the Thunder’s last 4 and 8-2 in their last 10 games.
BET OVER 234.5 (-110).
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