Dark skies with rain clouds hover over downtown San Antonio as storms moved nearby earlier this year on Feb. 14. Similar skies are possible Thursday and into the upcoming weekend.
San Antonio Express-News/Anthony Franze
A cluster of thunderstorms, which first developed across West Texas Wednesday night, is expected to continue sliding eastward across the state during the first half of the day on Thursday.
However, most of the moisture associated with this weather system will stay north of San Antonio, from the Hill Country and into Austin. Although, chances for significant rainfall on Thursday have decreased for the Alamo City, a few scattered showers and weak storms remain possible.
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Much higher rain chances are expected to arrive across the region by the weekend, thanks to a strong cold front expected to push through South Texas. But will the rain continue into Easter Sunday? Here’s a closer look at what you can expect.
Thursday’s forecast
While significant rainfall isn’t expected Thursday, the best chance of scattered showers is still expected during the morning, mainly between 6 and 11 a.m. San Antonio has a 30% to 40% chance of rain during this time, with higher chances expected north of the city. Most of the activity will be light, but a few embedded thunderstorms are also possible.
Shown is the potential future weather radar for 9 a.m. Thursday, as a few scattered showers and storms move close to San Antonio.
Pivotal Weather
Rain chances will decrease by the afternoon, but an isolated shower is still possible. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy, and afternoon temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than in the previous few days, topping out in the lower to mid-80s.
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Friday: Rain chances will stay quite low though Friday, with only a 10% to 20% chance of precipitation in San Antonio. Temperatures Friday will stay well above average for early April, as temps near 70 degrees in the morning will rise into the mid- to upper 80s by the afternoon.
If you plan on travelling across the state for Easter weekend, Friday afternoon and evening is likely to be the best time to do so, as rain chances will increase substantially on Saturday.
Cold front Saturday
A significant cold front is still expected to slide through South Texas, likely sometime between 1 and 4 p.m. Saturday afternoon. As the front arrives, it’ll bring a high chance of scattered thunderstorms to the San Antonio metro area. Overall rain chances on Saturday remain at 60% to 70%.
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A few storms could be strong, but with relatively low atmospheric instability, widespread severe weather is not expected.
By Saturday evening, temperatures will fall steadily as 20-mph north winds carry cooler air into the region. San Antonio is expected to fall into the 60s after 6 p.m. before dropping into the 50s overnight.
Easter Sunday rain? A few lingering scattered showers and storms will be possible Easter morning, with overall rain chances around 40% through 9 a.m. Rain chances will decrease throughout the day, falling to around 20% by the late afternoon.
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Temperatures on Easter are expected to be significantly below average, as afternoon highs are likely to hover in the mid-60s. Breezy conditions are also expected, with gusts as strong as 20-25 mph through the early afternoon.
Temperatures will below average through the first half of next week. Temps on Monday will likely reach the upper 60s to near 70 degrees, rising a couple degrees into the lower 70s by Tuesday. Warmer weather will return soon, as highs approach 80 degrees by Thursday and Friday.