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Elusive Rain Chances
LLubbock

Elusive Rain Chances

  • May 12, 2026

LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) – Today’s weather pattern will stay locked in place through Sunday. That means more of the same — hot, breezy, and bone-dry. Well, with a few possible exceptions.

Highs will climb into the mid to upper 90s each day, with some spots peaking around the 100-degree mark. A few isolated thundershowers or storms may pop up in the heat of late afternoon, but don’t count on rain to cool things down. Any storms that do develop are expected to be few and far between and will likely fizzle out around sunset.

Another Mild Night

Tonight into early Wednesday morning will be warm and breezy. Winds will shift from the south-southwest this evening toward the southeast by dusk, keeping temperatures from dropping much overnight.

A mild night for the area.A mild night for the area.(KCBD First Alert)

Lows will end up about five to ten degrees above our seasonal averages.

More Heat

Wednesday will be nearly identical to today. Highs will reach the mid to upper 90s again with south-southwest winds continuing to pump warm air into the region. A few isolated high-based storms may develop over the southern Texas Panhandle, but the lack of deep moisture will keep any activity limited and brief.

Another sunny and hot day with highs around ten degrees above average.Another sunny and hot day with highs around ten degrees above average.(KCBD First Alert)

Plan your day around the sun and heat rather than around rain.

Comfort and Health

Here’s where things can get serious. Many locations may see highs near or just above 100 degrees.

A South Plains and West Texas heat wave through the weekend.A South Plains and West Texas heat wave through the weekend.(KCBD First Alert)

With prolonged summer-like heat this early our bodies have not had time to acclimate to the heat which will bake the area through the weekend. Think about heat safety, keeping you and your loved ones comfortable and healthy through this heat wave.

The upper level area of high pressure, a ridge, will prevent any meaningful rain.

Heat Safety

A few reminders about the heat.

Stay Hydrated: Drink plenty of water throughout the day, even if you don’t feel thirsty. Avoid alcohol and caffeine, which can dehydrate you faster. Keep water with you when you’re outside.

Limit Outdoor Activity: If you will be outside, stay in the shade when possible and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest time of day (typically 2 p.m. to 6 p.m.).

It's the time of year to start implementing these heat safety tips.It’s the time of year to start implementing these heat safety tips.(KCBD First Alert)

Dress for the Heat: Wear light-colored, loose-fitting clothing and a wide-brimmed hat.

Check on Vulnerable People: Elderly relatives, neighbors living alone, and those with chronic health conditions, are at higher risk during extreme heat. Check on them regularly, especially during the hottest part of the day.

Never Leave Children or Pets in Vehicles: Temperatures inside a parked car can reach deadly levels in minutes, even with windows cracked open. This is non-negotiable. Just don’t do it, even if you think you will be gone for a minute or two.

Heat IllnessHeat Illness(kcbd)

Know the Signs of Heat Illness: Watch for heavy sweating, weakness, dizziness, nausea, or a rapid pulse. If someone shows signs of heat exhaustion, move them to a cool place, have them drink water, and cool their skin with water or cool packs. Heat stroke is a medical emergency—call 911 if someone becomes confused, stops sweating, or loses consciousness.

Adjust Your Plans: Reschedule outdoor events if possible. If you must be outside, take frequent breaks in air conditioning or shade. Keep your home cool by closing blinds during the day and using fans or air conditioning.

Looking Ahead

There’s a hint in the forecast guidance that a change may be brewing for next week that could be more favorable for rain. But this many days out, that’s just a tease. We’ll keep a close eye on the pattern and update you as we get closer.

Probability of measurable precipitation remains very low through the weekend.Probability of measurable precipitation remains very low through the weekend.(KCBD First Alert)

For now, prepare for a hot, dry weekend. Stay safe, stay hydrated, and stay with us for updates as conditions develop.

On This Date

On this date in 2005: A significant outbreak of severe thunderstorms with at least eight tornadoes occurred across the South Plains and southern Texas Panhandle. Numerous waves of severe thunderstorms developed throughout the afternoon and continued until well after midnight.

In addition to the tornadoes, very large hail was common, including a few softball-size hailstones that accompanied a large tornado near South Plains. By far the most devastation was from two nighttime tornadoes that impacted the southwest and northwest sides of Ralls (in Crosby County).

(Source: National Weather Service, Lubbock)

Copyright 2026 KCBD. All rights reserved.

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