Houston Fourth of July weekend forecast: Hot, humid and mainly dry

HOUSTON – Fourth of July weekend is almost here, and the forecast for Houston and Southeast Texas is looking very summer-like: hot, humid and mainly dry.

There will be a few isolated rain chances around, especially during the afternoon hours, but most outdoor plans should be in good shape. The bigger concern will be the heat, with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s and heat index values climbing into the 100 to 110 degree range.

Heading Out Temperatures:

As we’ve seen for most of the week, we’ll see temperatures warming quickly into the afternoon and then factor in the humidity and we’ll add anywhere from 8-10 degrees as to what it feels like.

Friday’s Forecast:

Friday will bring plenty of sunshine and heat. Highs will climb into the mid-to-upper 90s, but it will feel hotter once you factor in the humidity.

Heat index values could climb as high as 105 to 110 degrees in some spots, so take it easy if you are spending time outside. Rain chances are low, around 10%, but an isolated afternoon shower cannot be ruled out.

Friday AfternoonFourth of July Forecast:

Saturday, the Fourth of July, is looking hot, humid and mainly dry for Houston and Southeast Texas.

Highs will climb into the mid-to-upper 90s again, with heat index values in the 100s. Whether you are heading to a parade, the pool, a World Cup event or fireworks, heat safety is going to matter. Drink plenty of water, take breaks in the shade or A/C, and do not forget the sunscreen.

For fireworks Saturday night, the forecast looks mainly clear, warm, muggy and buggy. Temperatures will still be in the 80s after sunset, so bring the bug spray and be ready to sweat a little.

Watching the Tropics:

The tropics are quiet right now, and there is no tropical development expected over the next seven days. That’s good news heading into the Fourth of July weekend.

That said, this is the time of year when we start watching the tropics a little more closely. July is not the peak of hurricane season, but storms can and do form this month. Houston knows that well. Hurricane Beryl made landfall in Texas on July 8, 2024, bringing damaging wind, heavy rain and widespread power outages to Southeast Texas.

So while there is no tropical threat in the forecast right now, it is a good reminder to stay weather-aware and make sure your hurricane kit is ready before the season gets busier. Tropical activity typically ramps up more in August and September, but July is when we start paying closer attention to any disturbances moving through the Atlantic, Caribbean and the Gulf.

10 Day Forecast:

The heat is not going anywhere anytime soon. Highs will stay in the low-to-mid 90s through next week, with overnight lows in the upper 70s.

Rain chances stay fairly low Friday and Saturday, then come up a little Sunday into early next week. We are not looking at a washout, but scattered afternoon showers and storms will be possible as the ridge weakens a bit.

Bottom line: Fourth of July weekend looks good for most outdoor plans, but it will feel very hot and humid. Keep the water, sunscreen and bug spray close by.

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