Saturday night’s top-five clash in Austin puts two young quarterbacks under a bright spotlight, with No. 1 Ohio State’s Julian Sayin facing No. 4 Texas and Arch Manning in a matchup that should draw plenty of prediction-market action. Sayin looked sharp in Ohio State’s 56-3 opener, completing 21 of 25 passes for 320 yards and three touchdowns, while Manning answered with 305 yards and four scores in Texas’ 59-7 win over Texas State. The degree of difficulty jumps fast for both Heisman trophy hopefuls, though, because each defense brings far more speed and pressure than they saw in Week 1.
For traders, the quarterback duel could decide where the value develops: Sayin has Jeremiah Smith as a game-breaking target, while Manning gets the home crowd and Ryan Wingo, who opened the season with 121 receiving yards. That signal-caller showdown also creates several ways to play the matchup beyond picking a winner. Underdog Pick’em has posted game lines along with a deep menu of Manning and Sayin projections for Saturday night.
Underdog Pick’em options for Ohio State vs. Texas
Saturday’s showdown between No. 1 Ohio State and No. 4 Texas gives Underdog Pick’em users a loaded board, with game lines alongside a deep set of quarterback projections for Arch Manning and Julian Sayin.
Game linesMarketOhio StateTexasMoneylineOhio State to winTexas to winSpread+2.5-2.5Total pointsHigher 49.5Lower 49.5Arch Manning propsPropProjectionRush + Rec TDs0.5Pass yards247.5Rush yards26.5Pass TDs1.5Pass attempts30.5Completions19.5INTs thrown0.5Pass + rush yards277.5Longest completion44.5Longest rush12.5Rush attempts9.5
Manning’s board covers nearly every part of his expected workload, from passing volume and efficiency to his ability to create yards and scoring chances on the ground.
Julian Sayin propsPropProjectionRush + Rec TDs0.5Pass yards244.5Pass TDs1.5Pass attempts30.5Completions21.5INTs thrown0.5Longest completion41.5Longest rush3.51Q pass yards61.51Q pass TDs0.51H pass yards132.51H pass TDs0.5
Underdog’s Ohio State-Texas board offers plenty of angles beyond the side and total, with Manning and Sayin providing a broad mix of full-game and split-game quarterback props for Saturday’s top-five matchup.
Odds and prices move based on market activity, new information, or in-game updates.
Underdog Promo Code CUSE secures a $50 Picks bonus in these simple steps.Underdog Promo Code.CFB betting preview: Texas Longhorns vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Use the interactive widget below to track the latest spread, total, moneyline odds and implied probabilities for Saturday’s Texas-OSU matchup in Austin, TX.
Here are the key details for Saturday’s marquee CFB matchup, including the latest traditional odds:
Game detailsTeams: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas LonghornsDate: Saturday, September 12, 2026Time: 7:30 PM ETVenue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium | Austin, TXTV: ABC, Disney+CFB standings: Current CFB regular season standingsNCAA/CFB news: Check the latest updates from the official NCAA CFB news siteExpert Prediction: OSU vs. Texas
Dimers’ 10,000 simulations make this about as tight as a top-five matchup can get. The model gives Texas a 51% win probability compared with 49% for Ohio State and projects the Longhorns to escape Austin with a 26-25 win. With only one point separating the teams in the simulated score, the numbers point toward a four-quarter fight between Arch Manning and Julian Sayin rather than a comfortable win for either side.
Best Bet: OSU +1.5
Ohio State +1.5 is our best bet for this ballgame because it offers some appeal in a matchup the market and models both expect to stay close. The Buckeyes have won the past two meetings with Texas, including a 14-7 victory last season, and Ohio State opened 2026 by holding Ball State to 165 total yards and 45 rushing yards in a 56-3 rout. Sayin also looked ready for the bigger stage, completing 21 of 25 passes for 320 yards with four total touchdowns, while Jeremiah Smith piled up 151 receiving yards before halftime. Dimers projects only a one-point Texas victory, so getting 1.5 points with a Buckeyes team that has repeatedly matched up well with the Longhorns gives Ohio State a little extra cushion in what could come down to the final possession.
For further insights, explore Dimers’ expert college football player props and college football futures, as well as constantly updated college football odds and the latest college football news.
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Manning and Sayin give Saturday night’s showdown plenty of star power, but they also create some of the most interesting ways to approach the game beyond the final score. The Underdog Pick’em board has passing, rushing and touchdown projections for both quarterbacks, giving users several angles to follow as No. 1 Ohio State and No. 4 Texas battle in Austin.
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