Democratic Representative Jasmine Crockett has the potential to win her party’s primary if she enters the U.S. Senate race for Texas, though she would fierce stiff competition, polls and betting odds show.

Crockett, who was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022, has attracted national attention for her opposition to President Donald Trump and other Republicans. In October, she told Politico she was considering a Senate run.

“I am seriously weighing it to the extent that I am about to spend a lot of money to get data,” she said. “I’m a data-driven person. I will tell you that I personally believe that Texas needs to do something different if they want a different result. That’s just the bottom line.”

If she runs, she would face off in the primary against state legislator James Talarico and former U.S. Representative Colin Allred, who won the Democratic nomination for the 2024 Senate race in Texas. Representative Joaquin Castro and former Representative Beto O’Rourke have also been named as potential candidates.

Newsweek contacted Crockett’s team for comment by email outside normal business hours.

Why It Matters

Republicans hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate, and Democrats are looking for opportunities to flip seats and seize control of the chamber.

However, any Democrat—including Crockett—would face difficulties in Texas, which has voted for Republican presidential candidates since the 1980s. The state backed President Donald Trump with 56.1 percent of the vote in November 2024 and Senator Ted Cruz with 53 percent of the vote.

What To Know

According to the betting platform Polymarket, in a hypothetical Democratic primary, Talarico would win 45 percent of the vote, Crockett would follow closely with 42 percent, and Allred would trail with 17 percent.

Meanwhile, according to a recent poll by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University, Crockett would win a primary with 31 percent. Talarico and O’Rourke, who won the party’s nomination for the 2018 Senate race in Texas but has not declared his candidacy for next year’s election, were tied for second place with 25 percent each.

Crockett also led with 35 percent in a July survey of 566 likely Democratic voters conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee. In this survey, Allred received 20 percent of the vote, and O’Rourke and Castro both received 13 percent.

What People Are Saying

Representative Jasmine Crockett said on SiriusXM’s The Lurie Daniel Favors Show in October: “Every other day there’s a poll that comes out that makes it clear that I can win the primary for the U.S. Senate race in Texas. And I am looking.”

What Happens Next

Crockett said she would make a “special announcement” in Dallas on Monday, 90 minutes before the deadline for candidates in the Senate race to file their paperwork. This has fueled speculation that she will stand in the election.

The primaries for the Senate race in Texas are scheduled to take place in March 2026, with the general election following on November 3.