Jan. 14, 2026, 1:16 p.m. ET
The Denver Nuggets (27-13) face the Dallas Mavericks (15-25) Wednesday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mavericks lead 2-0, with a 131-121 home win Dec. 1 and a 131-130 road win Dec. 23
The Nuggets have won 2 straight after a 122-116 win at the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday. They were 2.5-point road favorites. G Jamal Murray led the charge with 35 points, on 5-for-8 shooting from downtown, and he added 9 assists. Five players scored at least 16 points, and F Peyton Wilson busted out with 31. They need continued support from unlikely suitors as C Nikola Jokic (knee) remains out.
The Mavs snapped a 2-game slide with a 113-105 win over the Brooklyn Nets Monday as 3.5-point home favorites. F Cooper Flagg had 27 points, 5 boards and 5 assists as the likely Rookie of the Year continues improving. F Naji Marshall added 22 points and 9 assists. They’re operating without F/C Anthony Davis (finger).
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Nuggets at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +1.5 (-110) | Mavericks -1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries
Nuggets
G Tamar Bates (foot) outG Christian Braun (ankle) outF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) questionableF Cam Johnson (knee) outC Nikola Jokic (knee) outG Jamal Murray (ankle) questionableC Jonas Valanciunas (calf) out
Mavericks
G Max Christie (illness) doubtfulF Anthony Davis (finger) outG Dante Exum (knee) outG Kyrie Irving (knee) outF Dereck Lively II (foot) outF P.J. Washington (ankle) questionableG Brandon WIlliams (illness) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction
Nuggets 110, Mavericks 105
There’s some uncertainty here with Gordon and Murray on a back-to-back. If they’re in, I love Denver at this price. Murray played 37 minutes 24 hours ago to help drive the team to that win. Murray played Dallas on the back end of a back-to-back Dec. 23 and dropped 31 points in 37 minutes. He played 3 games in 4 days during that stretch, and his output went up each game from 16 to 27 to 31.
I’m going to drink that Kool-Aid and go with the NUGGETS (+105).
Skip the spread here as the ML provides more value.
PASS.
Denver is 5-5 O/U in its last 10, and Dallas is 3-7. The Over is 2-0 in this matchup this season, but Jokic being out changes everything. I’ll take the UNDER 226.5 (-110) as some books have it pegged at 224.5.
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