Jan. 17, 2026, 12:10 a.m. ET

The No. 2 Arizona Wildcats (15-0, 2-0 Big 12) and the TCU Horned Frogs (11-4, 1-1) meet Saturday at Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Arizona vs. TCU odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

The TCU Horned Frogs saw their 6-game winning streak end Tuesday with a 104-100 OT loss at the Kansas Jayhawks. TCU covered as a 6.5-point road underdog, and the Over (143.5) hit. The Horned Frogs led by 16 midway through the second half. G Liutauras Lelevicius scored a career-high 23 points, shooting 7-of-9 with 5 3-pointers.

Arizona is coming off a 101-76 home victory over the Kansas State Wildcats Wednesday. G Brayden Burries had a game-high 28 points, while C Motiejus Krivas scored a career-high 25. Arizona has covered back-to-back games, both as a favorite of 17.5 points or more.

Arizona and TCU are tied 2-2 all-time. Arizona won the most recent meeting 90-81 Dec. 30, 2024. TCU covered as a 14.5-point underdog in the Wildcats’ Big 12 debut, and the Over (146) hit.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Arizona at TCU odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Arizona -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | TCU +240 (bet $100 to win $240)Against the spread (ATS): Arizona -6.5 (-115) | TCU +6.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Arizona at TCU picks and predictionsPrediction

Arizona 76, TCU 71

PASS.

This TCU team will cause problems for Arizona, which has been running roughshod over its competition. I’ll take my wager to the spread.

BET TCU +6.5 (-105).

This is the kind of spot where the Horned Frogs usually show up, especially under Jamie Dixon. Even coming off a tough OT loss at Kansas, TCU proved it can go toe-to-toe with elite teams, and building that kind of lead on the road says a lot about its ceiling.

Arizona has been dominant, but some of those big margins have been helped by a ton of free throws. That’s something TCU can at least make uncomfortable with its physical frontcourt and home crowd behind it. Schollmaier Arena has been a tough place for ranked teams, and TCU has a history of rising in these spots.

The Horned Frogs have covered 3 straight and have already shown they can trade punches with top competition. With Arizona coming in undefeated and laying points, I’m happy grabbing TCU at home and trusting it to keep this one close.

BET UNDER 154.5 (-110).

Arizona has been lighting up the scoreboard, but this feels like the spot where that pace finally slows. TCU under Dixon plays physical, half-court basketball and isn’t afraid to turn games into grind-it-out battles. That style can disrupt Arizona’s flow, especially in the paint.

TCU has gone Under in 5 of its last 7 games and consistently holds opponents in check. If the Horned Frogs control tempo and force Arizona to work for everything, this turns into a slower, more physical game than Arizona has seen. That setup favors the Under Saturday.

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