March 8, 2026, 1:19 a.m. ET
The Houston Rockets (39-23) and San Antonio Spurs (46-17) meet Sunday at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Rockets vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Spurs lead 2-1
The Rockets beat the Portland Trail Blazers 106-99 Friday, covering as a 6.5-point home favorite with the Under (221.5) cashing. Houston has traded off winning and losing over its last 5 games and is 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in those. It is 28-34 ATS on the season.
The Spurs edged the LA Clippers 116-112 Friday, but failed to cover as a 7-point home favorite as the Over (222.5) hit. San Antonio has been the hottest team in the NBA, going 14-1 since Feb. 1. The Spurs are 10-4-1 ATS in that span and are 34-27-2 ATS on the season.
The Spurs beat the Rockets 121-110 in the first meeting Nov. 7 in San Antonio. The teams split 2 games in Houston, the Rockets winning 111-106 Jan. 20 and the Spurs winning 111-99 Jan. 28.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Rockets at Spurs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:09 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Rockets +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Spurs -210 (bet $210 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Rockets +5.5 (-110) | Spurs -5.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Rockets at Spurs key injuries
Rockets
C Steven Adams (ankle) outF Jae’Sean Tate (knee) outG Fred VanVleet (knee) out
Spurs
F Harrison Barnes (ankle) outC Mason Plumlee (reconditioning) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Rockets at Spurs picks and predictionsPrediction
Spurs 114, Rockets 107
PASS.
The Spurs (-180) should come out on top, but they aren’t worth almost 2 times your money here. Avoid this play.
BET SPURS -5.5 (-110).
The Spurs are 3-2-1 ATS at home since the start of February. The Rockets have been a bit too inconsistent to consider. They have allowed at least 115 points in 2 straight road games to inferior offenses (Miami Heat and Washington Wizards, 13th and 29th in offensive rating). Houston has gone 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games.
Take SPURS -5.5 (-110).
BET UNDER 222.5 (-110).
This should be an ultra-competitive game, which typically results in more defense and less scoring, and neither side plays at a fast tempo. The Spurs sit 13th and the Rockets 29th in pace.
San Antonio has gone Under in 5 of its last 7 games as well. Houston is 2-2 O/U in its last 4 games and has scored 106 points or fewer in 2 of those contests.
Take UNDER 222.5 (-110).
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