The Dallas Mavericks (24-50, 14-23 Home) have lost 12 consecutive games at American Airlines Center, the longest home losing streak the franchise has seen since the 1993-94 season. Monday night they host the Minnesota Timberwolves (45-29, 20-15 Away), who arrive shorthanded in ways that matter—Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable with right knee inflammation, and while the official NBA injury report I checked late Sunday night showed him as questionable, other outlets have him closer to doubtful, suggesting this may be an upgrade in status and a genuine game-time decision. Jaden McDaniels is out. Ayo Dosunmu is questionable with a calf issue. Minnesota just got blown out 109-87 by Detroit on Saturday without Edwards. This is as winnable a home game as Dallas is going to see the rest of the season. Let’s look at three things before the Mavericks take on a Timberwolves team that might be missing its entire identity.

The streak and the opportunity

Twelve straight home losses sounds like the product of a team that has given up. Watch the film and it looks like the opposite. The Mavericks play hard every night, which is both admirable and a little inconvenient from a lottery-odds standpoint. PJ Washington fights for every rebound. Daniel Gafford—listed as probable tonight despite a shoulder issue—plays hard every time out. Naji Marshall, also probable after battling illness, is the kind of player who gives everything he has regardless of what the standings say. This roster doesn’t know how to tank, which is either a character strength or a mild organizational headache depending on your perspective.

Tonight represents a genuine chance to break the streak against a Minnesota team running on fumes. Without Edwards, the Wolves shot 39% from the field against Detroit and looked every bit as lost as that number suggests. Rudy Gobert holds the defense together regardless of personnel, but the offensive engine without Ant is a sputtering thing. Bones Hyland and Terrence Shannon are quality rotation players. They are not Anthony Edwards. If Dallas plays with the same effort it has shown all season and catches a few bounces, the AAC might finally have something to celebrate.

Minnesota without its whole personality

Anthony Edwards is 24 years old and already one of the five most watchable players in basketball. The way he attacks the rim, the confidence that borders on theatrical, the defensive intensity when he decides to apply it—he has become the face of a Timberwolves franchise that is genuinely competing for playoff seeding with real stakes still in play. Minnesota sits 1.5 games behind Denver for the fourth seed and is still jockeying with Houston. These are not meaningless games for them even if the opponent is lottery-bound Dallas.

Which makes the injury timing particularly rough. Edwards has been out since knee soreness flared during practice, and the Wolves just absorbed a humbling loss to a Detroit team that came in as the Eastern Conference’s best. Without him, Minnesota’s offensive identity essentially disappears. Gobert does what Gobert does—protect the rim, set screens, clean the glass—but someone has to create shots, and that someone has been Edwards all season. Whether he suits up or not tonight will be the game’s defining variable. If he’s out, the Mavericks have an opportunity that doesn’t come around often. If he plays even limited minutes, the calculation changes considerably.

The ROY race is real and so is the co-ROY conversation

Kon Knueppel of the Charlotte Hornets has made more three-pointers this season than any rookie in NBA history. More than Keegan Murray’s previous record. More than Damian Lillard made in his debut season. More than Stephen Curry made in any of his first five years in the league. He’s shooting 43.5% from deep on eight attempts a night, averaging 19.1 points while helping Charlotte reach .500 and make a legitimate playoff push. He is currently the betting favorite for Rookie of the Year.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.7 assists on a team that has won 24 games. His per-game numbers are better. His highlight reel is bigger. He carries a heavier load on a worse team with fewer weapons around him. He also missed eight games with a foot sprain, and in the ROY conversation, availability is part of the argument.

Here’s what makes it genuinely interesting: Jason Kidd, Flagg’s coach, shared the 1995 Rookie of the Year award with Grant Hill in what remains the last co-ROY vote in league history. The man who lived it is now watching his player potentially be part of the next one. The symmetry is almost too neat. Flagg told reporters recently that he and Knueppel don’t even discuss the award—they were Duke roommates, they’re still close, they talk about their games but not the trophy. That’s either genuine humility or the most disciplined media training in recent rookie history. Probably some of both.

I remember hearing about co-MVP for Grant and Kidd back in the day. It always felt deserved yet somewhat of a copout by voters. I believe it is better to let one guy win and the other use missing out as fuel for the rest of their career. If he has any hope of catching his former roomie, these final games matter for Flagg—not just as development reps but as a chance to close the season with a statement. The voters are watching. So is the new GM, whoever that turns out to be.

The Mavericks and Timberwolves tip off at 7:30 PM CT from American Airlines Center on Monday. Watch on locally on KFAA. Go Mavs.