Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings are true contenders to win the WNBA Finals this season, posting an 18-9 record before the All-Star break to hold the No. 4 seed in the league.

On Wednesday, they have an interesting test against the Atlanta Dream, who may end up facing Dallas in the first round of the playoffs. Atlanta stumbled into the break, losing six of 10 games, but it did pick up three wins in a row to climb back to 16-10 in the 2026 season. 

Angel Reese, Allisha Gray and Co. are set as slight underdogs in this matchup on Wednesday night, but they had a win by double digits (at home) the first time these teams faced off in 2026. 

Dallas has been a much better team at home (8-4) than it was in 2025, and it has one of the best net ratings in the WNBA over its last 10 contests. Can Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and this up-and-coming Dallas group earn a win over another playoff contender?

Let’s dive into the odds, a player prop to bet and my prediction for Wednesday night’s matchup. 

Dream vs. Wings Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

Dream +1.5 (-118)Wings -1.5 (-102)

Moneyline

Total

179.5 (Over -110/Under -110)Dream vs. Wings How to WatchDate: Wednesday, July 29Time: 8:00 p.m. ESTVenue: College Park CenterHow to Watch (TV): USA Network, KFAA-TV, Victory+ Sports NetworkDream record: 16-10Wings record: 18-9Dream vs. Wings Injury ReportsDream Injury ReportTe-Hina Paopao — outIndya Nivar — outWings Injury ReportDream vs. Wings Best WNBA Prop BetsWings Best WNBA Prop BetAzzi Fudd OVER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+141)

Azzi Fudd was coming off the bench the last time these teams faced off, shooting 1-for-4 from beyond the arc and scoring just seven points. 

The No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 WNBA Draft won the 3-Point Contest at All-Star Weekend, and she’s quickly become one of the best shooters in the W, averaging 2.0 made 3s per game while shooting over 38 percent from beyond the arc.

Fudd went into the break by making three or more shots from deep in five straight games, yet she’s +141 to do that again on Wednesday night. 

I think this number is a steal, as the Dream are 10th in the WNBA in opponent 3s made per game and dead last in opponent 3-point percentage. Fudd has a much bigger role in the Dallas offense than the first time these teams met, so I believe we’re getting a little value at this number. 

Dream vs. Wings Prediction and Pick

Earlier today, I shared in my WNBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why Dallas is worth a look at home: 

Atlanta won the first meeting between these teams back in May, but the Wings have played much better basketball as of late.

Dallas is up to fifth in the league in net rating, fourth in offensive rating and sixth in defensive rating, sitting ahead of the Dream in two of those categories. While Atlanta has been slightly better on defense this season, it has a negative net rating (minus-1.0) over its last 10 games. 

The Dream are just 4-6 during that stretch despite entering the break on a three-game winning streak, and they’re just one game over .500 on the road.

Dallas is 8-4 straight up at home, and I think it’s a little undervalued at this price with Paige Bueckers expected to be in the lineup even though she missed a game before the break against New York. 

Atlanta has the second-worst against the spread record on the road (5-8) this season, so I don’t love it in a pick’em scenario against this Dallas team. 

At home, the Wings have the third-best net rating (plus-10.3) in the WNBA this season. 

Pick: Wings Moneyline (-114 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey’s WNBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on  BetStamp here.

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