The San Antonio Spurs (12-5) and Denver Nuggets (13-4) meet in NBA Cup group play Friday. Tip-off from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Denver won 2-1
San Antonio picked up a 115-102 win over the Portland Trail Blazers Wednesday, covering as a 1-point road underdog with the Under (239.5) hitting. G De’Aaron Fox had 37 points and 8 assists to lead the Spurs, as C Victor Wembanyama remains out with a calf injury. The Spurs committed just 9 turnovers and forced 18, which led to 21 points.
Denver beat the Memphis Grizzlies 125-115 Monday, covering as a 6.5-point road favorite with the Over (235.5) cashing. G Jamal Murray and F Peyton Watson combined for 56 points and 11 made 3-pointers. The Nuggets shot 51% from the field and 51% from deep while holding the Grizzlies to just 46% and 34%, respectively.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Spurs at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:38 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Spurs +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Nuggets -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +7.5 (-110) | Nuggets -7.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Spurs at Nuggets key injuries
Spurs
G Stephon Castle (hip) outG Jordan McLaughlin (hamstring) outC Victor Wembanyama (calf) out
Nuggets
G Christian Braun (ankle) outF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Spurs at Nuggets picks and predictionsPrediction
Nuggets 119, Spurs 108
PASS.
The Nuggets will have no problem winning as -325 favorites against this banged-up Spurs team, but Denver is not worth the risk as such a heavy favorite. Pass and bet the spread and/or the total instead.
LEAN SPURS +7.5 (-110).
Missing Braun and Gordon is a big loss for Denver, as they are the 2 best defenders in its starting lineup. Look for either Fox or G Devin Vassell to find offensive success and keep this game close, because the Nuggets simply won’t have the defenders to stop both.
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS over its last 5 games, while the Nuggets are just 2-3 ATS during the same span. The Spurs are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 matchups against the Nuggets.
This is a lean because the Spurs will have no answer for C Nikola Jokic defensively, so he could very well have a perfect game and turn this into a blowout.
BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games and is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups between these squads. Both teams rank in the top 10 in scoring defense and top 12 in defensive rating, making the Under the safer bet when combined with recent trends.
Be aware that the Over is 4-1 in Denver’s last 5 games and that the Nuggets have the best offense in the league, making the Over always a threat.
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