Vikings at Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Dec. 14, 2025, 12:18 a.m. ET

The Minnesota Vikings (5-8) and Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1) meet for a prime-time game Sunday in Week 15. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is set for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Vikings vs. Cowboys odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Minnesota broke its 4-game skid with a dominant 31-0 shutout of the Washington Commanders in Week 14 to cover as a 1-point home favorite as the Under (44) hit. QB J.J. McCarthy threw 3 TDs without turning the ball over as the Vikings gained 313 total yards of offense and picked up 25 first downs. Minnesota forced 3 turnovers in the win.

Dallas lost 44-30 to the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football in Week 14, failing to cover as a 4-point road underdog as the Over (55) cashed. The Cowboys turned the ball over 3 times, including 2 picks of QB Dak Prescott, while also racking up 7 penalties for 76 yards in the loss. Detroit went 4-of-5 in the red zone against Dallas.

Both Dallas and Minnesota are still alive in the playoff race, making this a must-win for both teams. Dallas won the last meeting 40-2 in 2022 and leads the all-time series 19-15.

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Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Vikings +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Cowboys -275 (bet $275 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Vikings +5.5 (-110) | Cowboys -5.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -105 | U: -115)Vikings at Cowboys key injuries

Vikings

OT Christian Darrisaw (knee) questionable

Cowboys

OT Tyler Guyton (ankle) outDE Jadeveon Clowney (hamstring) questionableCB Trevon Diggs (knee) questionableTE Jake Ferguson (calf) questionableVikings at Cowboys picks and predictionsPrediction

Cowboys 24, Vikings 13

PASS.

I like the Cowboys to cover here as -275 favorites as they have the much more potent offense while also having a very solid run defense. However, they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites, so pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

BET COWBOYS -5.5 (-110).

McCarthy had a good game in Week 14, but he is still a very unproven quarterback who struggles to make a lot of throws and struggles to read defenses, so look for the Cowboys to give him trouble in this prime-time game in Dallas. Look for the Cowboys to find success running the ball, and look for the Dallas defense to outshine their offense here.

The Cowboys have covered the spread in their last 3 matchups against the Vikings and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 outings overall.

LEAN UNDER 48 (-115).

Neither of these defenses is great statistically at stopping opponents from scoring, but that won’t be obvious when watching this game. Dallas’ ability to clog the run and force McCarthy to beat them will make it hard for the Vikings to drive the ball. On the other side, the Vikings are a much more stout defensive unit that always makes life tough on opponents.

The Under has hit in 5 straight games for the Vikings and has hit in back-to-back matchups between these squads.

Be aware that the Over is 8-2 in Dallas’ last 10 games and that Dallas gives up the second-most points per game in the league (29.7).

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Vikings at Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

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