{"id":142564,"date":"2026-01-29T12:31:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T12:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/142564\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T12:31:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T12:31:09","slug":"flu-season-in-north-texas-isnt-over-yet-health-experts-predict-cases-could-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/142564\/","title":{"rendered":"Flu season in North Texas isn\u2019t over yet. Health experts predict cases could rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Flu season isn\u2019t over yet in North Texas, despite what looked like a momentary drop in some flu-related metrics after the new year, health officials say<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">This year\u2019s wave of flu infections seems to be matching last year\u2019s \u2014 a \u201cpretty bad season,\u201d said Dr. Philip Huang, Dallas County Health and Human Services director. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cWe\u2019re still in the thick of things right now,\u201d Huang said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Despite a decrease in flu positivity rates since the end of December, Dr. Trish Perl, associate dean at the UT Southwestern O\u2019Donnell School of Public Health, agreed with Huang. She said there are potentially two to six weeks of flu season left this year, though it\u2019s hard to know exactly how the spread will proceed. <\/p>\n<p>Breaking News<\/p>\n<p class=\"dmnc_features-cta-social-article-cta-social-module__3beff secondaryRoman secondaryRoman-20 text-center text-gray-dark\">Get the latest breaking news from North Texas and beyond.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dmnc_features-cta-social-article-cta-social-module__8MgJa flex flex-wrap text-gray-dark secondaryRoman secondaryRoman-10 text-center justify-center\">By signing up, you agree to our\u00a0<a class=\"dmnc_features-cta-social-article-cta-social-module__lU9-l border-b border-gray-dark hover_border-0 focus_border-0 active_border-0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/help\/terms-of-service\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Terms of Service<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"dmnc_features-cta-social-article-cta-social-module__lU9-l border-b border-gray-dark hover_border-0 focus_border-0 active_border-0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/help\/privacy-policy\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Privacy Policy.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s predictably unpredictable,\u201d Perl said. \u201cIt was a little earlier than it has been in the past few years that we\u2019ve had an initial spike. Now it looks like it\u2019s downtrending a little bit, but there are some indications that that may just be a little blip down and it could go back up, so we\u2019re not out of the woods yet.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Health officials also publish some data sources two to three weeks behind, since it can take several weeks to collect and verify flu cases.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">In addition to test positivity, public health experts use several other indicators to monitor flu conditions, including emergency room visits and wastewater data, Perl said. Flu-related ER visits spiked to more than 6,700 during the week ending Dec. 27 in Public Health Region 2\/3, which includes the Dallas-Fort Worth and Wichita Falls metro areas. In the last three years, flu peaks have reached at least 7,700 weekly ER visits, usually later in the winter. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">In general, respiratory virus spikes lead to increased volume in hospital emergency rooms, Perl said. This year\u2019s flu has followed that pattern, especially in December. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cThe ERs were really very, very busy,\u201d Perl said, both with flu patients and those with other issues, all contributing to the strain on hospitals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">North Texas Medical Center, which serves the Gainesville area, saw a decrease in December flu-related ER visits from about 91 in 2024 to 75 in 2025, said Wendy Slaughter, respiratory therapy and telemetry supervisor. Many patients were children or older people with comorbidities, she said, with severe pneumonia symptoms. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">However, that decrease hasn\u2019t eased the seasonal strain from flu cases on that hospital\u2019s 11-bed ER. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cWe just have to do our best to treat them, get them through well enough to go home to continue recovery, so we can free up our bed space,\u201d Slaughter said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Baylor University Medical Center\u2019s ER is also seeing more patients and conducting more testing during flu season, said Dr. Christina Bird, medical director of emergency medicine. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Bird added that Baylor\u2019s emergency department is prepared to handle this year\u2019s spike, which she anticipates will closely follow last season\u2019s trends. Medical experts look to previous flu trajectories to inform what the current outlook could be. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cThe first two weeks of the year, we\u2019re leveling off, which was \u2026 a similar pattern to what I saw last year,\u201d she said. \u201cI expect that we\u2019ll see higher positivity rate as we continue to get through the bulk of what we consider cold and flu season.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">In both the 2022-23 and 2023-24 flu seasons, Region 2\/3 hit a maximum of about 7,700 weekly flu-related ER visits. Last year, the number of maximum weekly visits reached more than 13,000 the week. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">But those peaks don\u2019t always occur in the same month. While the previous two peaks both came in early February, the 2022-23 season\u2019s weekly visits maxed out that November. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">There\u2019s also not always a singular peak per season. The last two flu seasons had a local crest in December followed by a similar or higher spike in February. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Wastewater data is another indicator that suggests the flu could resurge this year, Perl said. Since the December flu spike declined, some readings from wastewater sites have shown small comebacks. Whether this metric precedes or lags behind other flu measurements such as ER visits is still an open research question, Perl said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Many experts worry that a mismatched vaccine and lower vaccination rates contributed to this year\u2019s serious flu season. The 2025-26 flu vaccine did not include antigens against an increasingly dominant variant of influenza A commonly known as subclade K, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/flu\/season\/2025-2026.html#:~:text=Circulating%20influenza%20viruses,countries%20in%20the%20Northern%20Hemisphere.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to the Centers for Disease Control<\/a>. Researchers did not sequence subclade K\u2019s genetic information until after the World Health Organization <a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/publications\/m\/item\/recommended-composition-of-influenza-virus-vaccines-for-use-in-the-2025-2026-nh-influenza-season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">released its recommended list<\/a> of flu strains for vaccine producers in February last year. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Still, epidemiological evidence suggests the 2025-26 flu vaccine protects against severe flu, Perl said. She and Huang said the decline in vaccination rates over the past several years has also resulted in more flu spread this winter. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Survey data from the CDC found 51.9% of children in Texas received the flu vaccine in early January 2023. That coverage has decreased every year since then to 37.8% as of Jan. 3, 2026. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Adult vaccinations are more of a mixed bag, according to the CDC. Texas adults\u2019 coverage rates in mid-December have hovered around 40% for the last five years. Some estimates suggest 80% of healthy people and 90% of high-risk people need to be vaccinated for herd immunity against the flu, though these thresholds can be difficult to achieve, Huang said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">The politicization of vaccines since the COVID-19 pandemic has likely contributed to lower vaccination rates, Huang said. More recently, the threat of immigration enforcement raids has caused many in Hispanic communities to stay home and not receive the flu shot, he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">If it\u2019s not an option to get a flu vaccine, people should at least wash their hands thoroughly, wear a mask, and stay home when sick to prevent spreading the flu, experts say.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">Even now, it\u2019s not too late to get the shot. Perl and Huang said getting a flu vaccine now will not only help prevent hospitalization, it can also counteract viral strains other than subclade K that are still circulating. The vaccine starts offering immunity after about 10 days, and there are likely still weeks left in the 2025-26 flu season. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text-paragraph\">\u201cVaccines \u2026 may not prevent all of the infections, but they prevent some of the severe consequences,\u201d Perl said. \u201cAnd there are severe consequences we see out there.\u201d <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Flu season isn\u2019t over yet in North Texas, despite what looked like a momentary drop in some flu-related&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":142565,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[581,223,859,27,29,28,17486],"class_list":{"0":"post-142564","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-texas","8":"tag-dallas-county","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-public-health","11":"tag-texas","12":"tag-texas-headlines","13":"tag-texas-news","14":"tag-vaccines"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=142564"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142564\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/142565"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=142564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=142564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=142564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}