{"id":216553,"date":"2026-03-23T13:24:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T13:24:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/216553\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T13:24:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T13:24:17","slug":"south-texas-is-way-too-dry-but-heres-when-storm-chances-may-finally-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/216553\/","title":{"rendered":"South Texas is way too dry, but here’s when storm chances may finally rise."},"content":{"rendered":"

Week after week, month after month, San Antonio continues to\u00a0record significantly below average precipitation<\/a>. So far this March, the Alamo City has recorded just 0.44-inch of rainfall, way below the March average of 2.31 inches.<\/p>\n

March will likely go down as the seventh consecutive month with below-average rainfall<\/a>. During that time (since Sept. 1), San Antonio has accumulated just 5.13 inches of rain, which is less than 30% of the city’s normal rainfall during that time frame.<\/p>\n

Astonishingly, San Antonio has not recorded even a half-inch of rain on a single day since Oct. 24 \u2013 149 days ago. That is San Antonio’s fifth-longest such dry streak in the past 80 years.<\/p>\n

The lack of rain has continued to result in falling lake levels throughout South-Central Texas. Canyon Lake has fallen by more than a foot and a half since the start of the year, and it is now less than 60% full for the first time since before the July 2025 Hill Country floods<\/a>. Medina Lake has fallen by more than two feet so far this year, and is now merely 4% full.<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, rain chances will stay very low for much of this week. However, weather models are starting to hint at potential higher rain chances by next week. Here’s the latest.<\/p>\n

Monday’s forecast<\/p>\n

San Antonio will be treated to very pleasant weather Monday morning, as temps likely hover in the upper 50s to low 60s between 5 and 9 a.m. Mostly sunny skies will allow temps to rise steadily into the upper 70s by noon.<\/p>\n

Thankfully, high pressure is expected to weaken on Monday, leading to slightly cooler afternoon temperatures than what the region experienced over the weekend. San Antonio will top out in the mid- to upper 80s<\/a>, with light southeast winds coming in at 5-10 mph. Rain chances, though, will stay slim to none.<\/p>\n

\"Shown<\/p>\n

Shown are the expected high temperatures across South Texas on Monday. (Pivotal Weather)<\/p>\n

Hot and dry this week<\/p>\n

Weather conditions are expected to stay very similar on Tuesday, albeit with a touch more cloud cover. San Antonio will start the day near 60 degrees before afternoon highs once again reach into the upper 80s.<\/p>\n

By Wednesday and Thursday, high pressure will again strengthen over Texas, leading to a slight uptick in temperatures. Highs will top out in the low 90s, while low temps are expected to sit in the low to mid-60s. Rain chances will also stay near zero, as high pressure suppresses cloud formation.<\/p>\n

Changes coming soon?<\/p>\n

Weather models are now indicating that a cold front will likely move through the region sometime between Friday afternoon and Saturday morning. There is still a good deal of uncertainty in regards to how strong the front could be, but it does have the potential to be significant, possibly bringing a 10-20 degree drop to both high and low temperatures.<\/p>\n

This could also be the start of a changing weather pattern that brings higher storm chances into South Texas. According to the Climate Prediction Center, San Antonio has about an 80% chance of near to above-average rainfall during the week of March 30-April 5.<\/p>\n

Additionally, April marks a time of the year where the threat of large hail and damaging winds increases across Texas. Be sure to stick with expressnews.com\/weather<\/a> for daily updates as the upcoming forecast becomes more clear.<\/p>\n

This article originally published at South Texas is way too dry, but here’s when storm chances may finally rise.<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Week after week, month after month, San Antonio continues to\u00a0record significantly below average precipitation. So far this March,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":216554,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[8273,373,82,1474,27,29,28,84499],"class_list":["post-216553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-climate-prediction-center","tag-rain-chances","tag-san-antonio","tag-south-texas","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news","tag-weather-models"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=216553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216553\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/216554"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=216553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=216553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=216553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}