{"id":228431,"date":"2026-03-31T11:05:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T11:05:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/228431\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T11:05:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T11:05:12","slug":"valero-texas-open-betting-tips-whos-our-expert-backing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/228431\/","title":{"rendered":"Valero Texas Open betting tips: Who&#8217;s our expert backing?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tHere\u2019s everything you need to know about the Valero Texas Open, including who our resident betting expert is backing for glory\u2026<\/p>\n<p>While most eyes wander closer to Augusta National, golfers will have one final shot at securing a place in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.todays-golfer.com\/news-and-events\/majors\/the-masters\/power-rankings-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Masters<\/a> at the Valero Texas Open.<\/p>\n<p>The second consecutive tournament in the Lone Star State brings the return of TPC San Antonio, where Open champion Brian Harman added to his collection of PGA Tour wins in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>A strong field has assembled as part of preparations for the first major of the season, with 18 of the world\u2019s top 50 in the Official World Golf Rankings competing on the Oaks Course. <\/p>\n<p>The big names include certified Masters contenders such as Tommy Fleetwood, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg and Robert MacIntyre.<\/p>\n<p>So before diving into my Valero Texas Open betting tips for the week, here\u2019s everything else you need to know\u2026<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open key details<\/p>\n<p>Dates:\u00a0April 2-5<br \/>Venue:\u00a0Oaks Course, TPC San Antonio<br \/>Course:\u00a0Par 72 \u2013 7,438 yards<br \/>Format:\u00a072-hole stroke play with halfway cut<br \/>Purse:\u00a0$9,800,000<br \/>Defending champion:\u00a0Brian Harman<\/p>\n<p>Valero Texas Open tee times<\/p>\n<p>Tee times and groupings for the 2026 Valero Texas Open can be found\u00a0on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PGA Tour website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Valero Texas Open prize money<\/p>\n<p>You can see the full purse breakdown <a href=\"https:\/\/www.todays-golfer.com\/news-and-events\/tour-news\/valero-texas-open-prize-money\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>How to watch the Valero Texas Open<\/p>\n<p>Thursday:\u00a0Golf Channel from 4pm<br \/>Friday:\u00a0Golf Channel from 4pm<br \/>Saturday:\u00a0Golf Channel from 1pm<br \/>Sunday:\u00a0Golf Channel from 1pm<br \/>(All times ET)<\/p>\n<p>UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports.<\/p>\n<p>Thursday:\u00a0Sky Sports Golf from 1.15pm, Sky Sports Main Event from 11pm<br \/>Friday:\u00a0Sky Sports Golf from 1.15pm, Sky Sports Main Event from 10.30pm<br \/>Saturday:\u00a0Sky Sports Golf from 3.15pm, Sky Sports Main Event from 8.30pm<br \/>Sunday:\u00a0Sky Sports Golf from 6pm<br \/>(All times GMT)<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open betting tips<\/p>\n<p>The Banker: Sepp Straka <\/p>\n<p>20\/1 e\/w (Coral, Ladbrokes, Boylesports 10 Places 1\/5 Odds)<\/p>\n<p>I spent a good amount of time here detailing why Nicolai Hojgaard was going to win and justifying his price. Then he decided to withdraw, which means the next man I was wrestling with comes to the fore instead.<\/p>\n<p>Sepp Straka went off the boil at the end of last year, but it was more to do with personal circumstances than anything els. He\u2019s right back on the wagon again in 2026 and showing form that suggests a fifth PGA Tour win isn\u2019t too far away.<\/p>\n<p>Before his first win in 2022, I think many people thought he was capable of sneaking a win or two, but I can\u2019t imagine many thought three years later he\u2019d be a four-time winner who has beaten both Shane Lowry and Justin Thomas twice. His other win over Alex Smalley and Brendon Todd at the John Deere was perhaps less impressive, but it was the first of two times he won right before a major.<\/p>\n<p>He won the 2023 John Deere Classic which was held two weeks before the Open Championship, rather than in it\u2019s traditional spot one week before, but he also won the Truist Championship last year, a week before the PGA. This goes to show he\u2019s never one to look a week ahead, and is instead focused on the job at hand, which is winning golf tournaments.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s not many better than him at doing that in this field, at least in recent years, and I am encouraged by the fact he finished 22nd here in 2022 once he teed it up as a winner here for the first time, bouncing back from a couple of poor showings on his first two visits to TPC San Antonio.<\/p>\n<p>A pair of top-5s in the Houston Open when a far less player suggest he can play well in the state when in form, and that he most certainly is. Since missing the cut in his first start of the year at The American Express, Straka\u2019s form reads 18-2-50-13-8, and that doesn\u2019t tell the whole story. Yes, a 2nd and three more top 20 finishes in his last five starts is enough of a headline, but dig deeper and you will find further reasons for encouragement.<\/p>\n<p>In his worst start in that span, he was 19th at the halfway mark at the Genesis, before eventually finishing 50th, and that goes to show even on an off week, he was able to hang for a couple of rounds. At Pebble Beach he just couldn\u2019t quite keep pace, but he chased down Collin Morikawa as best he could, sitting 2nd after 54 and eventually 72 holes. He didn\u2019t even start poorly, he opened with a pair of 66s, and closed with rounds of 67 and 68, he simply lost out by one stroke. When 13th at Bay Hill, he was 3rd after 54 holes, and last time out at The Players, he lead after round 1 and stayed inside the top 10 for the rest of the week, eventually finishing 8th.<\/p>\n<p>Simply put, the Austrian is clearly in contending form, and once you get past the first half a dozen in the market here, the quality really starts to thin out, and for the most part, those around him in the betting will have one eye on next week. Not Straka though.<\/p>\n<p>The last two years he\u2019s gone into the Masters having not played since the Valspar, and he\u2019s clearly trying to change his preparation, and I think that will see him go all out for a confidence-boosting victory.<\/p>\n<p>Straka ranks 12th in SG Approach and 13th in SG Tee to Green this season, and while he could improve his short game, there\u2019s plenty in his efforts in recent weeks that suggest that\u2019s on the right trajectory as well. He gained in all four strokes gained categories at The Players, something he\u2019d also done at Pebble Beach, and he only marginally lost strokes around the green at Bay Hill, so he looks in good shape coming into this one.<\/p>\n<p>While I\u2019ve got you, I helped TG\u2019s Alex Perry put together the annual Masters Power Rankings, where we rate every single player in the field. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.todays-golfer.com\/news-and-events\/majors\/the-masters\/power-rankings-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">You can read that here if you like<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The Outsider: Denny McCarthy <\/p>\n<p>40\/1 e\/w (Betfred 8 Places 1\/5 Odds)<\/p>\n<p>Denny McCarthy tops the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.todays-golfer.com\/news-and-events\/tour-news\/highest-pga-tour-earners-without-a-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">leaderboard for most money earned without getting a win<\/a> \u2013 and I think he\u2019s fairly priced this week for an overdue breakthrough. Indeed it was here where he last suffered heartbreak as he lost to Akshay Bhatia in a playoff, and that came a year after losing out to Viktor Hovland in extra holes at the Memorial.<\/p>\n<p>Outside of his near-miss here two years ago, McCarthy has played here five times, three times finishing inside the top 20. His last three visits here read 18-2-18, and both times he finished 18th, he was inside the top 8 going into Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>All we need him to do then is hold his round 3 position for some each-way money, but we also hope he can go on and win, something he\u2019s clearly shown signs of being capable of, particularly here.<\/p>\n<p>Sure, McCarthy is winless in 221 starts on the PGA Tour, and yes his $21,815,839 earnings is the most of any PGA Tour player without a win, but he can put that right here, on a course where\u2019s been in contention in two of the past three years, and inside the top 10 going into Sunday each time.<\/p>\n<p>His form has turned around at the right time as well. After finishing no better than 40th in his first seven events of the season, he\u2019s now finished 26th and 12th the past two weeks. His 12th last week, where he shot four rounds of 68 or better is particularly encouraging, given he lacks the required distance of a top contender at the Houston Open.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s not a factor here, and given he\u2019s ended the week ranking 11th and 19th in SG Approach in his past two starts, he\u2019s certainly in the ball striking form needed to contend here at the Valero Texas Open.<\/p>\n<p>His season-long stats don\u2019t paint the prettiest picture, but he\u2019s looked good this past fortnight, and now returns to one of his favourite courses. This is the time to bet McCarthy for a breakthrough win again.<\/p>\n<p>The Long Shot: Billy Horschel <\/p>\n<p>110\/1 e\/w (Coral, Ladbrokes 10 Places 1\/5 Odds)<\/p>\n<p>The case for Billy Horschel is simple. He\u2019s triple-digits, he\u2019s got three top 4 finishes at this course over the years, and he\u2019s one of the most prolific winners in the field.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent of his top 4 finishes came in 2016 and while he\u2019s missed three of four cuts since, an 11th in 2018 was a reminder of what he can do here, and more importantly, he\u2019s shown some positive signs coming into this one.<\/p>\n<p>Even when finishing 68th at the Valspar, and missing the cut in the Houston Open, Horschel hit his irons solidly, and his irons at the American Express were his best since 2023. So despite still recovering from injury, his iron play looks plenty steady.<\/p>\n<p>A poor putting week cost him last week in Houston, and given this course is both far more suitable, and one where he\u2019s putted excellently before, I am more than happy to chance the 8-time PGA Tour winner at one his favourite courses.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s rare Horschel has this sort of form at a course and doesn\u2019t go on to win the trophy at least once, and a win this week would also get him into The Masters, an event he is currently going to be watching at home for just the third time since 2014, unless he can get the job done here.<\/p>\n<p>The Bonus Bet: Adrien Dumont De Chassart <\/p>\n<p>80\/1 e\/w (Coral, Ladbrokes 10 Places 1\/5 Odds)<\/p>\n<p>I looked at William Mouw, Jhonattan Vegas, Karl Vilips, and even Chad Ramey in this spot, but in the end I found enough holes in each, that I instead preferred the 26-year-old Belgian, who\u2019s looking for his first PGA Tour win, after winning twice on the Korn Ferry.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, Dumont De Chassart is still looking for his first win, but what we have seen from him in recent weeks is consistency, something we have not been able to attribute to him when on the PGA Tour thus far. He\u2019s always had contending and winning upside, but he\u2019s never been one to string results together, well that was until now.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024, a year after picking up his first win on the PGA Tour, Dumont De Chassart was expected to make a splash on the PGA Tour. Instead, he made just 12 out of 27 cuts, yet still managed to finish 6th at the Puerto Rico Open and 3rd in Bermuda.<\/p>\n<p>He dropped back down to the Korn Ferry Tour last year, reeled off five-straight top 13 finishes across May and June and recorded 7 top 20s in 8 starts from May to July. He finally capped off a promising season with another win in October, and it was back for another spin on the PGA Tour.<\/p>\n<p>Since returning, he is now 6 from 8 for made cuts in 2026 and has shown signs of really good iron play in three of his last five starts. His best iron week yet came at the Houston Open, and he\u2019s never really showed that upside on approach until now, so I think we should stand up and take notice.<\/p>\n<p>All facets of his game looked good enough in Houston, but his iron play and putting clearly offer the most encouragement.<\/p>\n<p>If he continues on this upward trajectory, which has seen him post four top 26 finishes in a row, he has to be one to keep in mind most weeks.<\/p>\n<p>When 24th at the season-opener in Hawaii, he was 1st at halfway, and he was in contention after 54 holes two weeks ago in Florida as well, sitting in 6th place going into the final round of the Valspar.<\/p>\n<p>Consistency is going to keep him on the Tour and it looks like he knows that this time around, after likely being too aggressive on his first visit to the big time in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>If he can pair this solid run of form, with his tenacious ability to get in contention, then a win in Texas this week doesn\u2019t look out of the question.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s everything you need to know about the Valero Texas Open, including who our resident betting expert is&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":228432,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[27,29,28],"class_list":["post-228431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228431\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/228432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}