{"id":228509,"date":"2026-03-31T12:18:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T12:18:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/228509\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T12:18:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T12:18:07","slug":"2026-valero-texas-open-odds-predictions-field-favorites-pga-picks-best-bets-from-10000-simulations-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/228509\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Valero Texas Open odds, predictions, field, favorites: PGA picks, best bets from 10,000 simulations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A two-event stop in Texas concludes this week with the 2026 Valero Texas Open beginning on Thursday at TPC San Antonio &#8211; The Oaks Course. Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are both out this week ahead of major play, but there&#8217;s still a strong Valero Texas Open field headlined by top-10 OWGR players such as Tommy Fleetwood and Collin Morikawa. The latest 2026 Valero Texas Open odds via FanDuel list Fleetwood, Ludvig Aberg and Russell Henley as the +1600 co-favorites, followed by Texas native Jordan Spieth, Morikawa and Robert MacIntyre, all at +2000.<\/p>\n<p>Before locking in any 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, entering any Texas Open one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/golf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">golf betting<\/a> picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters &#8212; its fourth Masters in a row &#8212; as well as last year&#8217;s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sports betting<\/a> picks could have seen massive returns on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New users can claim a special offer by signing up for DraftKings Sportsbook. Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0review right now to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>Now that the 2026 Valero Texas Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard<\/a>, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or Texas Open DFS lineups.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open predictions\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>One major surprise the model is calling for at the Texas Open 2026: It projects that Morikawa finishes outside the top five despite being tied for third in the odds and entering this event as the No. 8 player in the world. Morikawa had a strong run in the late winter, winning at Pebble Beach and finishing T7 at the Genesis Invitational and solo fifth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He&#8217;s only started in one event since that point &#8212; The Players Championship &#8212; and he quickly withdrew due to back pain. With the Masters up next week, he likely won&#8217;t want to push too hard in this one, making him one of the favorites to fade this week.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to fade here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another surprise: The model projects Sepp Straka as a top-10 contender despite him not being in the top group of favorites at +2500. The 32-year-old Austrian has finished inside the top 20 in four of his last five events, including a strong T8 finish at The Players Championship last time out. He struggled during his first two appearances at this tournament, but turned a corner last year, finishing T22 after a strong weekend, so the model likes his value this week.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to pick here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New to sports betting? Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/fanduel-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">FanDuel promo code<\/a>\u00a0review right now to see their latest offers and get started.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 Valero Texas Open picks<\/p>\n<p>The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one at 30-1 who makes a stunning run for the title.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s picks here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win the 2026 Texas Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Texas Open odds below and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that&#8217;s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open odds, favorites\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Get full 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, best bets and predictions here<\/a>.<br \/>(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)<\/p>\n<p>Tommy Fleetwood +1600<br \/>Ludvig \u00c5berg +1600<br \/>Russell Henley +1600<br \/>Jordan Spieth +2000<br \/>Collin Morikawa +2000<br \/>Robert MacIntyre +2000<br \/>Si Woo Kim +2200<br \/>Hideki Matsuyama +2200<br \/>Sepp Straka +2500<br \/>Maverick McNealy +2700<br \/>Michael Thorbjornsen +3000<br \/>Rickie Fowler +3000<br \/>Keith Mitchell +3500<br \/>Ryo Hisatsune +3500<br \/>Alex Noren +3500<br \/>J.J. Spaun +4000<br \/>Sudarshan Yellamaraju +4000<br \/>Denny McCarthy +4000<br \/>Johnny Keefer +4000<br \/>Daniel Berger +4000<br \/>Thorbj\u00f8rn Olesen +4500<br \/>Marco Penge +5000<br \/>Nick Taylor +6000<br \/>Richard Hoey +6000<br \/>Jordan Smith +6500<br \/>Ricky Castillo +6500<br \/>Will Zalatoris +6500<br \/>Brian Harman +6500<br \/>Alex Smalley +7000<br \/>Austin Smotherman +7000<br \/>Mac Meissner +7000<br \/>Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000<br \/>Tony Finau +8000<br \/>Stephan Jaeger +8000<br \/>Davis Thompson +8000<br \/>Max McGreevy +8000<br \/>J.T. Poston +8000<br \/>Billy Horschel +10000<br \/>Eric Cole +10000<br \/>Chris Kirk +10000<br \/>Tom Kim +10000<br \/>Kristoffer Reitan +10000<br \/>Bud Cauley +10000<br \/>Matt Wallace +10000<br \/>Patrick Rodgers +10000<br \/>Andrew Putnam +10000<br \/>Matt McCarty +10000<br \/>William Mouw +10000<br \/>Andrew Novak +10000<br \/>S.H. Kim +10000<br \/>Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000<br \/>Haotong Li +10000<br \/>Mackenzie Hughes +10000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A two-event stop in Texas concludes this week with the 2026 Valero Texas Open beginning on Thursday at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":228510,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[5407,84528,84526,84527,84525,84529,27,29,28,88101,88100,88102],"class_list":["post-228509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-golf","tag-golf-odds","tag-golf-picks","tag-pga-odds","tag-pga-picks","tag-pga-predictions","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news","tag-valero-texas-open-odds","tag-valero-texas-open-picks","tag-valero-texas-open-predictions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228509"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228509\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/228510"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}