{"id":275924,"date":"2026-05-02T11:41:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T11:41:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/275924\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T11:41:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T11:41:08","slug":"2026-wurth-400-odds-predictions-time-nascar-at-texas-picks-from-proven-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/275924\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Wurth 400 odds, predictions, time: NASCAR at Texas picks from proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With 10 races in the rearview mirror, the Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the 2026 Wurth 400 on Sunday. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET with Tyler Reddick atop the NASCAR standings. He&#8217;s one of nine NASCAR Texas winners over the last nine races at the track, which certainly won&#8217;t make it easy to make Wurth 400 DFS picks or 2026 NASCAR at Texas predictions. Meanwhile, Carson Hocevar is coming off his first Cup Series win last week which has given him a bump up the latest NASCAR Texas odds.<\/p>\n<p>However, it&#8217;s Denny Hamlin who is the +500 favorite, followed by Reddick (+600) and Kyle Larson (+600). Despite last week&#8217;s Talladega win, Hocevar is still only priced at +1600 to make it back-to-back victories. The latest 2026 Wurth 400 odds have Brad Keselowski, who has eight top 10s over his last nine Texas starts, as a +2500 longshot. Before locking in any NASCAR Texas predictions or NASCAR DFS lineups,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">you need to see the projected leaderboard from Mike McClure&#8217;s proven model<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025. Anyone following his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/nascar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NASCAR betting<\/a> picks at their favorite\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0could have seen huge returns.<\/p>\n<p>Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR Wurth 400.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">He&#8217;s only sharing his best bets at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>2026 NASCAR at Texas predictions<\/p>\n<p>For NASCAR at Texas 2026, McClure is fading Tyler Reddick (+600), saying he doesn&#8217;t even crack the top 5 despite being one of the favorites. It&#8217;s been a historic season for 23XI Racing and Reddick, who is the first driver since 1987 to win five of the first nine races. However, since linking up with Michael Jordan&#8217;s team, Reddick hasn&#8217;t had the same TMS success as when with Richard Childress Racing. Reddick was runner-up in his first NASCAR Texas start with RCR and then won the race in his last Texas trip with Childress. Yet, he has just a 16.7 average finish at the track since joining 23XI, with his two worst finishes across 10 career Texas Motor Speedway starts coming with Jordan&#8217;s team.<\/p>\n<p>Another surprise: Joey Logano (+2700) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. The three-time Cup Series champion has had a rough start to the season, which has led to these long odds, but one can&#8217;t overlook what he&#8217;s done at Texas Motor Speedway. Logano is one of three active drivers with multiple Texas victories as he enters Sunday&#8217;s race as the defending winner. Even when he doesn&#8217;t win, Logano often finds himself in competition for a checkered flag as he has three top 5s over his last five NASCAR Texas starts. Over his last 23 trips to the DFW track, Larson&#8217;s placed in the top 5 an astounding 14 times, which is a 61% clip.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which other drivers the model is backing at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/kalshi-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kalshi promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 Wurth 400   picks<\/p>\n<p>McClure is also high on two other longshots of at least +2700 who make a run for the top of the leaderboard, including a massive longshot of at least +7000, potentially netting any backer a huge payday.             <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">You can only see who it is here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>So who wins the 2026 Wurth 400, and which massive longshots could stun NASCAR at Texas? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 NASCAR Wurth 400 picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year<\/a>, and find out.<\/p>\n<p>2026 NASCAR at Texas odds, lineup<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-wurth-400-odds-picks-nascar-projected-leaderboard-from-proven-model\/#ttag=04292026_agg_cbssports_picks_autoracing_nascarcupseries_model_Wurth400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See full NASCAR Wurth 400 picks at SportsLine<\/a><\/p>\n<p>(Odds from FanDuel, subject to change)<br \/>Denny Hamlin +500 <br \/>Kyle Larson +600 <br \/>Tyler Reddick +600 <br \/>Ryan Blaney +900 <br \/>Christopher Bell +1000 <br \/>William Byron +1100 <br \/>Chase Elliott +1400 <br \/>Chase Briscoe +1400 <br \/>Carson Hocevar +1600 <br \/>Bubba Wallace +1800 <br \/>Ty Gibbs +1900 <br \/>Chris Buescher +2200 <br \/>Brad Keselowski +2500 <br \/>Joey Logano +2700 <br \/>Ross Chastain +4000 <br \/>Ryan Preece +5000 <br \/>Austin Cindric +5000 <br \/>Alex Bowman +5000 <br \/>Daniel Suarez +6000 <br \/>Corey Heim +7000 <br \/>Kyle Busch +8000 <br \/>Erik Jones +10000 <br \/>Josh Berry +10000 <br \/>Michael McDowell +10000 <br \/>Zane Smith +12500 <br \/>Austin Dillon +12500 <br \/>Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +17500 <br \/>Connor Zilisch +20000 <br \/>AJ Allmendinger +20000 <br \/>Noah Gragson +25000 <br \/>John Hunter Nemechek +25000 <br \/>Riley Herbst +25000 <br \/>Shane van Gisbergen +25000 <br \/>Todd Gilliland +30000 <br \/>Chad Finchum +50000 <br \/>Ty Dillon +50000 <br \/>Cole Custer +50000 <br \/>Cody Ware +50000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With 10 races in the rearview mirror, the Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the 2026&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":275925,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[37700,73875,73874,102104,102105,102106,27,29,28,102108,102107],"class_list":["post-275924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-nascar","tag-nascar-odds","tag-nascar-picks","tag-nascar-texas-odds","tag-nascar-texas-picks","tag-nascar-texas-predictions","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news","tag-wurth-400-picks","tag-wurth-400-predictions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=275924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275924\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/275925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=275924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=275924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=275924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}