{"id":307556,"date":"2026-05-25T03:08:39","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T03:08:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/307556\/"},"modified":"2026-05-25T03:08:39","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T03:08:39","slug":"texas-gop-primary-suddenly-looks-like-a-wipeout-ahead-of-tuesday-runoff","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/307556\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas GOP primary suddenly looks like a wipeout ahead of Tuesday runoff"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Senate GOP primary runoff in Texas is suddenly shaping up to be a wipeout, according to prediction markets, as Republican voters prepare to choose Tuesday who will face Democrat James Talarico<\/a> in November.<\/p>\n

In what was once a toss-up Senate primary race, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Sen. John Cornyn battled for an endorsement from President Donald Trump. Paxton won<\/a> that fight, and the shift in markets quickly followed suit.<\/p>\n

As of Sunday afternoon, Paxton led incumbent John Cornyn by nearly 90% on the online prediction market Kalshi<\/a>. And on Polymarket, Paxton had a 96% chance<\/a> of winning Tuesday\u2019s election.<\/p>\n

Just days earlier, on May 18, Kalshi had Paxton with a 63.7% chance of winning the nomination and Cornyn at 37.2%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s endorsement came on May 19. And by the next morning, the market had completely split. Paxton surged to 90.1%, with Cornyn at 10.3%.\u00a0Texas Republican primary runoff polling<\/a> also showed Paxton surging ahead of Cornyn in the days immediately following Trump\u2019s endorsement.<\/p>\n

\tRecommended<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\"Nora\t\t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\tNora McKee<\/a>\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\t\tNora McKee is the D.C. coordinator for MS NOW.\t\t<\/p>\n

\"MS<\/p>\n

\u00a9\u00a02026 Versant Media, LLC<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Senate GOP primary runoff in Texas is suddenly shaping up to be a wipeout, according to prediction…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":307557,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[27,29,28],"class_list":["post-307556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/307556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=307556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/307556\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/307557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=307556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=307556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=307556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}