{"id":308580,"date":"2026-05-26T01:31:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T01:31:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/308580\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T01:31:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T01:31:14","slug":"ap-decision-notes-what-to-expect-in-the-texas-us-senate-rep","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/308580\/","title":{"rendered":"AP Decision Notes: What to expect in the Texas US Senate Rep&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday, the electoral version of the Texas two-step.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Also on the ballot are primary runoffs in more than a dozen congressional districts, plus state contests for lieutenant governor, attorney general and others.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">U.S. Sen. <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/texas-senate-republicans-cornyn-paxton-hunt-01f1ffaf8a890e3017af407abe502e8f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">John Cornyn<\/a> was the <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/projects\/elections-2026\/texas-primary-us-senate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">top vote-getter<\/a> in the March 3 primary, but strong showings by two GOP challengers forced the four-term incumbent to Tuesday\u2019s head-to-head matchup with state Attorney General Ken Paxton, the second-place finisher who received President <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-texas-senate-endorsement-paxton-cornyn-adb4c7213fc2d0db0b29d0ab65d49384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Donald Trump\u2019s endorsement<\/a> on May 19.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">The contest is Trump\u2019s next opportunity to <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/election-takeaways-massie-kentucky-georgia-alabama-8eb9f54741ce0313ab15b291bd742c16\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">purge the party<\/a> of incumbents he views as insufficiently loyal to him and his agenda. It also sets the stage for a general election where Democrats are increasingly optimistic about their chances to score an upset in the heavily Republican state as they look to retake control of the U.S. Senate. Historically, voters have tended to punish the incumbent president\u2019s party at the ballot box in midterm election years.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">The winner will face Democratic state <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/james-talarico-texas-senate-cornyn-crockett-08c8716aed7e66c29d7e29f2c035ac5d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Rep. James Talarico<\/a> in the general election.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Trump seemed open to <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/texas-republicans-senate-runoff-cornyn-paxton-263f058c839e8ef8c6c374804d6875ce\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">endorsing Cornyn<\/a> following the primary, and he did not excoriate the incumbent in his endorsement of Paxton, as he\u2019s done recently with Republican incumbents in <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/indiana-trump-redistricting-primary-senate-9bf5b270d77714e1149ab6a6567071a0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Indiana<\/a>, <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/cassidy-senate-louisiana-trump-letlow-retribution-republicans-e62a790a9ca22055038b0ff7309a0ad4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Louisiana<\/a> and <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/massie-gallrein-trump-kentucky-republican-primary-03a658b1a45593ad04ebf6283a3fdb47\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Kentucky<\/a>. But he said Cornyn \u201cwas not supportive of me when times were tough.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Cornyn was <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-texas-senate-endorsement-paxton-cornyn-adb4c7213fc2d0db0b29d0ab65d49384#:~:text=Cornyn%20and%20Trump,passed%20him%20by.%E2%80%9D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">critical of Trump<\/a> ahead of the president\u2019s 2024 campaign.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Since much of the Texas primary campaign has focused on the candidates\u2019 loyalty to Trump, the counties where the president has the most support could play a decisive role. Although many of the counties Trump won in 2024 with 80% or more of the vote are rural and sparsely populated, collectively they made up about a fifth of the GOP primary vote. Paxton beat Cornyn in these counties, 45% to 40%, while Cornyn performed better than Paxton in the rest of the state.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">In counties Trump carried with between 50% and 80% of the vote, Cornyn received about 42% of the vote, edging Paxton by a percentage point. Republican primary voters in the 12 counties Democrat Kamala Harris carried in 2024 preferred Cornyn, 44% to 40%. These counties made up 25% of the overall primary vote, larger than the share of Trump\u2019s 80%-plus counties.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Only two incumbent U.S. senators from Texas have lost a primary in the last 100 years.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">In 2025, Republicans <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/california-texas-redistricting-trump-map-congress-b6222dd39c494c9ab48beafabc66dc35\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">redrew the state\u2019s congressional districts<\/a> at <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-congress-house-republicans-texas-redistricting-d18e8280a32872d9eefcbb26f66a0331\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Trump\u2019s urging<\/a> as part of an effort to maintain control of the U.S. House.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Among the notable primary runoffs that resulted from the new congressional map, Democratic U.S. Reps. <a data-wisiwig-link=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/congress-special-election-houston-redistricting-59fe9c414540572bb783b5e98eb586e1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" class=\"text_$sec cursor_pointer transition-prop_color duration_$fast ease_east-out hover:text_$sec_D hover:duration_$fast hover:ease_east-out hover:transition-prop_color\">Christian Menefee<\/a> and Al Green will face each other in the redrawn 18th Congressional District. In the new 33rd Congressional District, Democratic U.S. Rep. Julie Johnson faces a challenge from her predecessor, former Democratic U.S. Rep. Colin Allred.<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Here are some of the key facts about the election and data points the AP Decision Team will monitor as the votes are tallied:<\/p>\n<p>When do polls close?<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Polls close statewide at 7 p.m. local time, which is 8 p.m. ET and 9 p.m. ET. Most polls are in Central time and close at 8 p.m. ET, while polls in the westernmost part of the state are in Mountain time and close at 9 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s on the ballot?<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">The AP will provide vote results and declare winners in Republican primary runoffs for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, railroad commissioner, Court of Criminal Appeals, state Senate and state House and in Democratic primary runoffs for U.S. House, lieutenant governor, attorney general, state Board of Education and state House.<\/p>\n<p>Who gets to vote?<\/p>\n<p data-wisiwig-body1=\"true\" class=\"txtStyle_body1 mb_$body1\">Voters who did not participate in a party primary on March 3 may vote in the runoff for either party. Voters who did cast a ballot in a party primary may only vote in the runoff of the same party as they did in the primary. In other words, Democratic primary voters may not vote in a Republican primary runoff or vice versa. Voters in the non-partisan primary may vote in either party\u2019s runoff.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":308581,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[168,170,169],"class_list":["post-308580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-lubbock","tag-lubbock","tag-lubbock-headlines","tag-lubbock-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/308580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=308580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/308580\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/308581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=308580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=308580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=308580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}