{"id":387519,"date":"2026-07-27T09:49:21","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T09:49:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/387519\/"},"modified":"2026-07-27T09:49:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T09:49:21","slug":"texas-longhorns-schedule-game-by-game-prediction-by-espn-fpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/387519\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas Longhorns Schedule: Game-by-game prediction by ESPN FPI"},"content":{"rendered":"

July 26, 2026, 6:03 p.m. CT<\/p>\n

The Texas Longhorns have one of the toughest schedules<\/a> in the nation this year. Texas has tough road games<\/a> at Tennessee, LSU and Texas A&M, mixed with challenging home dates with Ohio State and Ole Miss and Oklahoma in Dallas. But ESPN’s FPI predictor doesn’t mind the difficulty of UT’s schedule<\/a>.<\/p>\n

“Our schedule is real. It is a real football schedule.” – Steve Sarkisian<\/p>\n

Much of Texas’ schedule is familiar. On the non-conference side of things, UTSA is a rematch from two years ago and of course Ohio State completes its home-and-home with Texas.<\/p>\n

In the SEC, Texas A&M, Arkansas and Oklahoma are always on the schedule. This is also the third year in a row the Longhorns<\/a> will face Mississippi State and Florida. Texas fans will get their first looks at Tennessee, Missouri and LSU since joining the league. UT will face all three first-time conference foes on the road.<\/p>\n

There are several games that will be of upmost importance to the\u00a0Longhorns\u00a0CFP chances. Some are must wins. With others, a loss can be overcome as long as there aren’t more than one or two.<\/p>\n

Need a news break? Check out the all new PLAY hub with puzzles, games and more!<\/a><\/p>\n

Here is the ESPN FPI prediction for every Texas Longhorns<\/a> game:<\/p>\n

Sept. 5: Texas State Bobcats (Austin)\"Sep<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 98.4%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 1-0<\/p>\n

The computers project a very easy win in the Longhorns first game of the season at home.<\/p>\n

Sept. 12: Ohio State Buckeyes (Austin)\"Aug<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 53.7%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 2-0<\/p>\n

Despite the Buckeyes being higher in the ESPN FPI ranking, the computers forecast a close win over Ohio State in Austin.<\/p>\n

Sept. 19 UTSA Roadrunners (Austin)\"Nov<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 98.6%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 3-0<\/p>\n

The computers project a resounding victory by Texas over it’s system rival. The percentage is even slightly higher than Texas State.<\/p>\n

Sept. 26: Tennessee Volunteers (Knoxville)\"Tennessee<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 75.5%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 4-0<\/p>\n

The battle of “UTs” opens Texas’ SEC schedule. Knoxville is traditionally a very tough place to play, but ESPN projects a fairly easy win by the Horns.<\/p>\n

Oct. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (Dallas)\"Head<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 75.6%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 5-0<\/p>\n

With an output similar to the Vols game, ESPN believes the Red River Shootout will be a comfortable win for the Longhorns.<\/p>\n

Oct. 17: Florida Gators (Austin)\"Jul<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 87.8%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 6-0<\/p>\n

Florida beat the odds last year and beat Texas. That loss kept UT out of the college football playoff. The computers forecast a resounding revenge victory.<\/p>\n

Oct. 31: Mississippi State Bulldogs (Austin)\"Nov<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 95.8%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 7-0<\/p>\n

Texas plays the Bulldogs for the third straight year. Last year, Hail State took Texas to overtime. But ESPN projects a blowout in 2026.<\/p>\n

Nov. 11: Missouri Tigers\u00a0(Columbia)\"Nov<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 81.9%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 8-0<\/p>\n

The Horns head to Columbia for the first time since the Tigers left the Big 12. ESPN projects a big road win for UT.<\/p>\n

Nov. 14: LSU Tigers\u00a0(Baton Rouge)\"Dec<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 64.0%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 9-0<\/p>\n

A much-anticipated trip to Baton Rouge is a highlight of the back half of the Longhorns schedule. ESPN thinks Sark will get the better of his good friend Lane Kiffin.<\/p>\n

Nov. 21: Arkansas Razorbacks (Austin)\"Jul<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 95.5%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 10-0<\/p>\n

ESPN computers forecast a blowout of rival Arkansas. Texas plays the Hogs for the second straight year at home.<\/p>\n

Nov. 27: Texas A&M Aggies\u00a0(College Station)\"Nov<\/p>\n

ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor: Texas 65.1%<\/p>\n

Projected Record: 11-0<\/p>\n

The Lone Star State Showdown could decide the season for both the Longhorns and Aggies. But not to worry Texas fans. ESPN’s computers believe Texas will get a big win.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"July 26, 2026, 6:03 p.m. CT The Texas Longhorns have one of the toughest schedules in the nation…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":387520,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[33,103858,9485,35,44,45,1589,16543,40,42,39,43,3054,46,8950,688,4928,4929,27,29,28,36],"class_list":["post-387519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-accessfree","tag-sourcelonghorns-wire","tag-sstssportscollegelonghornsfootball","tag-sstsnfootball","tag-tagamerican-football","tag-tagcollege-sports","tag-tagespn-inc","tag-taglane-kiffin","tag-tagncaa-southeastern-conference","tag-tagoverall-neutral","tag-tagsec-conference-football","tag-tagsec-hub","tag-tagsport-scores-statistics","tag-tagsports-news","tag-tagsteve-sarkisian","tag-tagtexas","tag-tagtexas-longhorns","tag-tagtexas-longhorns-football","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news","tag-typestory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/387519","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=387519"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/387519\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/387520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=387519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=387519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=387519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}